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ANALISIS BIAYA PEMELIHARAAN JALAN PROPINSI DI PROPINSI PAPUA

DENGAN SIMULASI MONTE CARLO

ROAD MAINTENANCE BUDGED ANALYSIS OF ROAD'S PROVINCE IN

PAPUA WITH MONTE CARLO'S SIMULATION

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Road is very vital for transportation which connect between rural area with others.UU No. 22 1999 lo!al authority"# UU No. 2$ 1999 bud%et balancin%between central and local authority" and UU No. 21 2&&1 special autono'yfor (apua (rovince" established power and financial sharin% to local authority.)herefore bud%et allocation in autono'y era can be allocated by local authorityitself. Road surely needs re%ular 'aintenance and fundin% fro' local authority.

)his research have %oal to 'a!e fundin% plannin% for road 'aintenance in (apuawith analitical 'ethod be%ins with *R* calculation and plannin% or road 'aintenancewith +onte ,arlo -i'ulation. Road 'aintenance will be focused in routine andre%ular. ith two approach above# we have found fundin% needed for 2&&/ is Rp.2&0#/9#$2$#&& analitical" and Rp. 2&/#2/1#39$#40# +onte ,arlo si'ulation".)he results is based on 1&&5 fundin% fro' total bud%et allocation for road'aintenance.

+onte ,arlo si'ulation %ive us value of routine and re%ular 'aintenance whichclose enou%h with analitical calculation. )he result will be 'ore accurate if theproportion of routine dan re%ular 'aintenance is balanced. +onte ,arlo -i'ulationsotware %ive us value out put to very fast for prodectin% routine and re%uler'aintanainces roads in (rovince (apua# especially for routine and re%ular'aintanainces. 6ut it have to supported by the result survey condition of road withrepresentatif.

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