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  • 8/10/2019 Bias Penelitian

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    Evaluating the Role of Bias

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    Bias slide #2

    Definition of Bias

    Bias is a systematic error that results in anincorrect (invalid) estimate of the measure ofassociation

    A. Bias can create spurious association whenthere really is none (bias away from the null)

    B. Bias can mask an association when there

    really is one (bias towards the null)

    C. Bias is primarily introduced by the

    investigator or study participants

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    Bias slide #3

    Definition of Bias(contd)

    D. Bias does not mean that the investigator isprejudiced.

    E. Bias can arise in all study types: experimental,

    cohort, case-control

    F. Bias occurs in the design and conduct of a

    study. It can be evaluated but not fixed in the

    analysis phase.

    G. Two main types of bias are selection and

    observation bias.

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    Bias slide #4

    Selection Bias

    A. Results from procedures used to select

    subjects into a study that lead to a result

    different from what would have been obtained

    from the entire population targeted for study

    B. Most likely to occur in case-control or

    retrospective cohort because exposure andoutcome have occurred at time of study

    selection

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    Bias slide #5

    Selection Bias in a Case-Control Study

    A. Occurs when controls or cases are more

    (or less) likely to be included in study if

    they have been exposed -- that is,

    inclusion in study is not independent of

    exposure

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    Bias slide #6

    Selection Bias in a Case-Control Study

    B. Result: Relationship between exposure and

    disease observed among study participants is

    different from relationship between exposure and

    disease in individuals who would have been

    eligible but were not included.

    The odds ratio from a study that suffers from

    selection bias will incorrectly represent therelationship between exposure and disease in the

    overall study population

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    Question: Do PAP smears prevent cervical cancer? Casesdiagnosed at a city hospital. Controls randomly sampledfrom household in same city by canvassing the

    neighborhood on foot. True relationship:CervicalCancerCases

    Controls

    Had PAPsmear

    100 150

    Did nothave PAP

    smear

    150 100

    Total 250 250

    OR = (100)(100) / (150)(150) = .44 There is a 54% reduced risk of

    cervical cancer among women who had PAP smears vs. women

    who did not. (40% of cases had PAP smears versus 60% of controls)

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    Bias slide #8

    Recall: Cases from the hospital and controls

    come from the neighborhood around the

    hospital.

    Now for the bias: Only controls who were at

    home at the time the researchers camearound to recruit for the study were actually

    included in the study. Women at home were

    less likely to work and less likely to have

    regular checkups and PAP smears.

    Therefore, being included in the study as a

    control is not independent of the exposure.

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    Bias slide #9

    Cervical

    CancerCases

    Controls

    Had PAP

    smear

    100 100

    Did not

    have PAPsmear

    150 150

    Total 250 250

    OR = (100)(150) / (150)(100) = 1.0

    There is no association between PAP smears and the

    risk of cervical cancer. Here, 40% of cases and 40% of

    controls had PAP smears.

    The resulting data are as follows:

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    Bias slide #10

    Ramifications of using women who were at

    home during the day as controls:

    These women were not representative of

    the whole study population that produced

    the cases. They did not accuratelyrepresent the distribution of exposure in

    the study population that produced the

    cases, and so they gave a biased estimateof the association.

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    Bias slide #11

    Selection Bias in a Cohort Study

    Selection bias occurs when selection of

    exposed and unexposed subjects is notindependent of outcome (so, it can only

    occur in a retrospective cohort study)

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    Bias slide #12

    Selection Bias in a Cohort Study

    Example:

    A retrospective study of an occupational exposure

    and a disease in a factory setting.

    The exposed and unexposed groups are enrolled on

    the basis of prior employment records.The records are old, and many are lost, so the

    complete cohort working in the plant is not available

    for study.

    If people who did not develop disease and were

    exposed were more likely to have their records lost,

    then there will be an overestimate of association

    between the exposure and the disease.

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    Bias slide #13

    Diseased Non-

    diseased

    Total

    Exposed 50 950 1000

    Un-

    exposed

    50 950 1000

    RR = (50/1000) / (50/1000) = 1.00

    True relationship, if all records were

    available

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    Bias slide #14

    Diseased Non-diseased Total

    xposed 50 750 800

    n-exposed 50 950 1000

    RR = (50/800) / (50/1000) = 1.25

    If more records were lost in this category (exposed

    subjects who did not get the disease), the bias would be

    even greater.

    200 records were lost, all among exposed who

    did not get the disease

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    Bias slide #15

    Selection Bias: What are the solutions?

    Little or nothing can be done to fix this biasonce it has occurred.

    You need to avoid it when you design andconduct the study by, for example, using thesame criteria for selecting cases andcontrols, obtaining all relevant subject

    records, obtaining high participation rates,and taking in account diagnostic and referralpatterns of disease.

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    Bias slide #16

    Observation Bias

    An error that arises from systematicdifferences in the way information onexposure or disease is obtained from the

    study groups

    Results in participants who areincorrectly classified as either exposed orunexposed or as diseased or notdiseased

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    Bias slide #17

    Observation Bias

    Occurs after the subjects have entered

    the study

    Several types of observation bias: recall

    bias, interviewer bias, loss to follow up,

    and differential and non-differentialmisclassification

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    Bias slide #18

    Observation Bias

    Recall bias - People with disease

    remember or report exposures differently

    (more or less accurately) than those

    without disease.

    Can result in over- or under-estimate ofmeasure of association.

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    Bias slide #19

    Observation Bias

    Solutions: Use controls who are

    themselves sick; use standardized

    questionnaires that obtain complete

    information, mask subjects to study

    hypothesis

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    Classic recall bias:Cases underreport exposure

    TRUTH OBSERVEDSTUDY DATA

    Case Control Case Control

    Exposed 40 20 Exposed 30 20

    Unexposed 60 80 Unexposed 70 80

    Total 100 100 100 100Odds Ratio:

    2.7

    Odds Ratio:

    1.7

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    Bias slide #21

    Observation Bias

    Interviewer bias- Systematic differencein soliciting, recording, interpretinginformation.

    Can occur whenever exposureinformation is sought when outcome isknown (as in case-control), or whenoutcome information is sought whenexposure is known (as in cohort study).

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    Bias slide #22

    Observation Bias

    Interviewer bias

    Solutions: mask interviewers to study

    hypothesis and disease or exposure

    status of subjects, use standardized

    questionnaires or standardized methods

    of outcome (or exposure) ascertainment

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    Bias slide #23

    Observation Bias Loss to follow up - A concern in cohort and

    experimental studies if people who are lost tofollow up differ from those that remain in the

    study.

    Bias results if subjects lost differ from those that

    remain with respect to both the outcome and

    exposure.

    Solution: Since that information cannot be known,

    you must achieve high and equal rates of follow

    up for the exposed and unexposed groups.

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    Bias slide #24

    Misclassification - Subjects exposure or

    disease status is erroneously classified.

    Two types of misclassification: non-differential

    and differential. We will cover only the more

    common form: non-differential

    misclassification.

    Observation Bias

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    Bias slide #25

    Non-differential misclassification

    Inaccuracies with respect to disease

    classification are independent of exposure.

    Or, inaccuracies with respect to exposure are

    independent of disease. Will bias towards the

    null if the exposure is has two categories.

    Non-differential misclassification makes the

    groups more similar.

    Observation Bias

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    Bias slide #26

    Misclassification-

    Example: Study of vaginal spermicides and

    congenital disorders (Jick et al., 1981).

    Solutions: Use multiple measurements,

    most accurate source of information

    Observation Bias

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    Bias slide #27

    When interpreting study results,

    ask yourself these questions

    Given conditions of the study, could bias

    have occurred?

    Is bias actually present? Are consequences of the bias large enough

    to distort the measure of association in an

    important way? Which direction is the distortion?Is it

    towards the null or away from the null?