1 tugas uas statistik

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Tabel untuk menghitug regresi linear berganda secara manual No Y 1 15 30 55 81 450 825 1215 1650 4455 2430 225 900 2 20 25 49 74 500 980 1480 1225 3626 1850 400 625 3 49 90 20 260 4410 980 12740 1800 5200 23400 2401 8100 4 12 25 59 79 300 708 948 1475 4661 1975 144 625 5 30 45 40 140 1350 1200 4200 1800 5600 6300 900 2025 6 26 50 43 145 1300 1118 3770 2150 6235 7250 676 2500 7 13 22 58 69 286 754 897 1276 4002 1518 169 484 8 30 65 42 170 1950 1260 5100 2730 7140 11050 900 4225 9 49 100 23 267 4900 1127 13083 2300 6141 26700 2401 10000 10 15 34 54 100 510 810 1500 1836 5400 3400 225 1156 11 25 49 44 150 1225 1100 3750 2156 6600 7350 625 2401 12 44 85 29 250 3740 1276 11000 2465 7250 21250 1936 7225 13 36 70 33 200 2520 1188 7200 2310 6600 14000 1296 4900 14 22 40 23 115 880 506 2530 920 2645 4600 484 1600 15 18 35 20 100 630 360 1800 700 2000 3500 324 1225 16 20 43 24 118 860 480 2360 1032 2832 5074 400 1849 17 23 69 24 210 1587 552 4830 1656 5040 14490 529 4761 18 39 80 38 230 3120 1482 8970 3040 8740 18400 1521 6400 19 15 29 23 75 435 345 1125 667 1725 2175 225 841 20 49 95 40 270 4655 1960 13230 3800 10800 25650 2401 9025 21 41 85 20 241 3485 820 9881 1700 4820 20485 1681 7225 22 32 70 41 200 2240 1312 6400 2870 8200 14000 1024 4900 23 27 45 45 130 1215 1215 3510 2025 5850 5850 729 2025 24 16 33 54 90 528 864 1440 1782 4860 2970 256 1089 25 38 80 38 230 3040 1444 8740 3040 8740 18400 1444 6400 26 23 66 49 165 1518 1127 3795 3234 8085 10890 529 4356 27 14 29 51 70 406 714 980 1479 3570 2030 196 841 28 40 78 23 200 3120 920 8000 1794 4600 15600 1600 6084 29 23 50 29 140 1150 667 3220 1450 4060 7000 529 2500 30 12 24 60 78 288 720 936 1440 4680 1872 144 576 X1 X2 X3 X1Y X2Y X3Y X1.X2 X2.X3 X1.X3 Y 2 (X1) 2

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1 Tugas UAS Statistik

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Hitung Manual RegresiTabel untuk menghitug regresi linear berganda secara manualNoYX1X2X3X1YX2YX3YX1.X2X2.X3X1.X3Y2(X1)2(X2)2(X3)211530558145082512151650445524302259003025656122025497450098014801225362618504006252401547634990202604410980127401800520023400240181004006760041225597930070894814754661197514462534816241530454014013501200420018005600630090020251600196006265043145130011183770215062357250676250018492102571322586928675489712764002151816948433644761830654217019501260510027307140110509004225176428900949100232674900112713083230061412670024011000052971289101534541005108101500183654003400225115629161000011254944150122511003750215666007350625240119362250012448529250374012761100024657250212501936722584162500133670332002520118872002310660014000129649001089400001422402311588050625309202645460048416005291322515183520100630360180070020003500324122540010000162043241188604802360103228325074400184957613924172369242101587552483016565040144905294761576441001839803823031201482897030408740184001521640014445290019152923754353451125667172521752258415295625204995402704655196013230380010800256502401902516007290021418520241348582098811700482020485168172254005808122327041200224013126400287082001400010244900168140000232745451301215121535102025585058507292025202516900241633549052886414401782486029702561089291681002538803823030401444874030408740184001444640014445290026236649165151811273795323480851089052943562401272252714295170406714980147935702030196841260149002840782320031209208000179446001560016006084529400002923502914011506673220145040607000529250084119600301224607828872093614404680187214457636006084313485342102890115671402890714017850115672251156441003213254885325624110512004080212516962523047225333270322402240102476802240768016800102449001024576003441842824334441148996323526804204121681705678459049352960411671740118948432460684710020841360016812788936214051130840107127302040663052004411600260116900371120607022066077012004200140012140036004900382039241687804803360936403265524001521576282243915292097435300145558019402813225841400940940209540250190080050003800100002375040090251600625004115305780450855120017104560240022590032496400422549451501225112537502205675073506252401202522500433369342002277112266002346680013800108947611156400004425804721020001175525037609870168006256400220944100451430531004207421400159053003000196900280910000461635511005608161600178551003500256122526011000047214022150840462315088033006000441160048422500482590402002250100050003600800018000625810016004000049387528200285010647600210056001500014445625784400005034652520022108506800162550001300011564225625400005124302010072048024006002000300057690040010000522140221508404623150880330060004411600484225005334652524722108508398162561751605511564225625610095420392220078044040008584400780040015214844000055112560692756607591500414017251216253600476156255544180137511004500242079209900625302519363240057214040100840840210016004000400044116001600100005820755115015001020300038257650112504005625260122500593269371802208118457602553666012420102447611369324006021804825016801008525038401200020000441640023046250061163454905448641440183648603060256115629168100623057411001710123030002337410057009003249168110000634589262104005117094502314546018690202579216764410064428028275336011761155022407700220001764640078475625652245501129901100246422505600504048420252500125446638753120028501178760023256200150001444562596140000674080272703200108010800216072902160016006400729729006842852820035701176840023805600170001764722578440000691635539556084815201855503533252561225280990257012205915024070818001180885030001444003481225007111246017026466018701440102004080121576360028900721735468959578215131610409431152891225211679217313255385325689110513254505212516962528097225741520459030067513509004050180022540020258100752025505050010001000125025001250400625250025001,9063,9982,95111,709117,93568,857339,205146,204428,079726,16656,920255,152128,3292,133,723

Data diatas dapat diringkas menjadi: Y= 1,906X1.X2= 146,204X1= 3,998X2.X3= 428,079X2= 2,951X1.X3= 726,166X3= 11,709Y2= 56,920X1Y= 117,935(X1)2= 255,152X2Y= 68,857(X2)2= 128,329X3Y= 339,205(X3)2= 2,133,723Persamaan regresi dengan 3 (tiga) prediktor yaitu:Y = a + b1X1 + b2X2 + b3X3 + eY = an + b1X1 + b2X2 + b3X3X1Y = aX1 + b1X12 + b2X1X2 + b3X1X3X2Y = aX2 + b1X1X2 + b2X22 + b3X2X3X3Y = aX3 + b1X1X3 + b2X2X3 + b3X32

Hasil SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression StatisticsMultiple R0.8900069829R Square0.7921124296Adjusted R Square0.7833284477Standard Error4.9835520706Observations75ANOVAdfSSMSFSignificance FRegression36718.84548858082239.615162860390.17692012140Residual711763.341178085824.8357912406Total748482.1866666667

CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%Intercept14.22424692053.35457137814.24025764170.00006620127.535421658920.91307218217.535421658920.9130721821X Variable 10.29985241430.05573203315.3802525660.00000090810.18872589790.41097893070.18872589790.4109789307X Variable 2-0.18641110190.0533430797-3.49456954610.0008221637-0.2927741805-0.0800480233-0.2927741805-0.0800480233X Variable 30.01626703310.02130525680.7635220380.4476818684-0.02621444180.0587485079-0.02621444180.0587485079Persamaan regresi dengan 3 (tiga) prediktor yaitu:Y = a + b1X1 + b2X2 + b3X3 + eBerdasarkan hasil pengolahan data menggunakan Excel, maka:a. Persamaan Regresi Linear Berganda Y = a + b1X1 + b2X2 + b3X3 Sehingga berdasarkan hasil perhitungan menggunakan Excel, persamaan regresi menjadi:Y = 14,2242 + 0,2998X1 0,1864 X2 + 0,0162 X3b. Nilai R2 dan R Nilai R2 = 0,7921 atau dibulatkan menjadi 0,79, sedangkan Nilai R = 0,89c. Standart Error (SE) Nilai Standar Error = 4,98 Nilai Standar Error (SE) untuk masing-masing variabel, yaitu:- Variabel X1 = 0.056- Variabel X2 = 0.053- Variabel X3 = 0.021d. Nilai t hitung untuk masing-masing variabel (uji secara parsial), yaitu:- Variabel X1 = 5.38- Variabel X2 = -3.49- Variabel X3 = 0.76e. Nilai F untuk untuk secara Simultan, yaitu Nilai F untuk untuk secara Simultan yaitu sebesar 90,17

DataPerhitungan Menggunakan Progran ExcelJumlah Konsumsi/BlnPendapatanUmur Jumlah KekayaanYX1X2X3153055812025497449902026012255979304540140265043145132258693065421704910023267153454100254944150448529250367033200224023115183520100204324118236924210398038230152923754995402704185202413270412002745451301633549038803823023664916514295170407823200235029140122460783485342101325488532703224041842824329604116721405113011206070203924168152920972095402501530578025494515033693420025804721014305310016355110021402215025904020038752820034652520024302010021402215034652524720392220011256069255544180214040100207551150326937180218048250163454903057411004589262104280282752245501123875312004080272704285282001635539512205915011246017017354689132553851520459020255050Y = Jumlah Konsumsi per bulan (Rp. 100.000)X1 = Pendapatan (Rp. 100.000)X2 = Umur (Tahun)X3 = Jumlah Kekayaan (Rp. 100.000)

Sheet2460.331 = -832.798 b1 916.274 b2 2.447.334 b3

168,429,96077,533,531,916,760140,268,133,828,080154,327,993,169,040412,204,367,726,640122,308,110,333,360

72.735.899 = 168.429.960 b1 81.611.338 b2 + 431.456.024b3

832,79860,574,311,215,402140,268,133,828,08067,965,759,063,724359,315,713,875,152356,503,335,04216,959,220,701,3580.086,362,234,105,31652,888,653,851,488121,951,606,998,318

1.906 = 75a + b1 3.998 + b2. 2.951 + b3. 11.709

3,9987,620,188299,85015,984,00411,798,0982,903,211,66846,812,582

117.935 = 3.998a + b1.255.152 + b2.146.204 + b3.726.166

758,845,125299,85019,136,40010,965,30032,105,92554,462,450(1,224,937)0.0(3,152,396)832,7982,871,105,743(7,649,868)

339.205 = 11.709a + b1. 726.166 + b2. 428.079 + b3.2.133.723

3,9981,356,141,59046,812,5822,903,211,6681,711,459,8422,903,211,6688,530,624,554

117.935 = 3.998a + b1.255.152 + b2.146.204 + b3.726.166

11,7091,380,900,91546,812,5822,987,574,7681,711,902,6365,012,377,0118,502,677,694(24,759,325)0.0(84,363,100)(442,794)(2,109,165,343)27,946,860

832,798168,429,960

16.959.220.701.358 = -86.362.234.105.316 b2 + 52.888.653.851.488 b3

71,653,282,988,2241,215,183,840,174,151,500,000,000,0006,188,137,599,843,457,000,000,000,0003,789,645,681,286,893,000,000,000,000548,138,156,626,559,200,00052,032,177,894,426,700,000

-25.288.285.532.000 = 71.653.282.988.224 b2 733.466.148.747.360 b3

86,362,234,105,3162,183,952,835,236,659,500,000,000,0006,188,137,599,843,457,000,000,000,00063,343,775,246,444,030,000,000,000,0002,413,553,265,828,491,700,00036,969,858,813,569,600,000(968,768,995,062,508,000,000,000,000)0.0(59,554,129,565,157,140,000,000,000,000)2,961,691,422,455,051,000,00015,062,319,080,857,100,000+0.0162670860,341,481,204-138.107.843.132.162 = 222.293.752.232.764 b2 + 52.888.653.851.488 b316,959,220,701,358-25.288.285.532.000 = 71.653.282.988.224 b2 733.466.148.747.360 b3 968,768,995,062,508(16,098,879,220,154)59,554,129,565,157,100(0.18641110)0.0162670222,293,752,232,764250889,175,008,931.063,998.000071,653,282,988,224250286,613,131,952.900.29983.1023526482282403.10241,198.600432,951.0000222,293,752,232,764222,293,562,478,5170.1860(0.0313)189,754,247548.886011,709.000015928077135248390000000000000.000.0160187.34401,906.000837.058401,068.941614.2526

(14.2200)1,906.00001,906.0000(27,103.3200)

(0.3000)56,920.0000117,935.00004,269,000.0000(35,380.5000)636,164.0000

0.1864(12.2117)68,857.00001,776.003812,834.944825.0141

(0.0162)1,776.0038339,205.000025.0141(5,495.1210)(55,143.9962)(4,135,799.7150)3,632,836.0000(7,768,635.7150)