03_desain_riset

Upload: goes-wids-sapoetra

Post on 04-Jun-2018

217 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    1/30

    Rahmad 2006 1

    Pertemuan 5

    Oleh :

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    2/30

    Research Design

    Conclusive

    Research Design

    Descriptive

    Research

    Casual

    Research

    Cross-Sectional

    Design

    Longitudinal

    Design

    Single Cross-

    Sectional Design

    Multiple Cross-

    Sectional Design

    Exploratory

    Research Design

    A Classification of Marketing Research Designs

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    3/30

    Objective:

    Character-istics:

    Findings/Results:

    Outcome:

    To provide insights andunderstanding.

    Information needed is definedonly loosely. Research process isflexible and unstructured. Sampleis small and non-representative.Analysis of primary data isqualitative.

    Tentative.

    Generally followed by furtherexploratory or conclusiveresearch.

    To test specific hypotheses andexamine relationships.

    Information needed is clearlydefined. Research process is formaland structured. Sample is large andrepresentative. Data analysis isquantitative.

    Conclusive.

    Findings used as input into decisionmaking.

    ExploratoryExploratory ConclusiveConclusive

    Difference between Exploratory and Conclusive Research

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    4/30

    ObjectiveObjective::

    CharacteristicsCharacteristics::

    MethodsMethods::

    Discovery of ideasDiscovery of ideasand insightsand insights

    Flexible, versatileFlexible, versatile

    Often the front endOften the front end

    of total researchof total research

    designdesign

    Expert surveysExpert surveysPilot surveysPilot surveys

    Secondary dataSecondary data

    Qualitative researchQualitative research

    Describe marketDescribe marketcharacteristics orcharacteristics or

    functionsfunctions

    Marked by the priorMarked by the prior

    formulation of specificformulation of specific

    hypotheseshypotheses

    Preplanned andPreplanned and

    structured designstructured design

    Secondary dataSecondary data

    SurveysSurveys

    PanelsPanels

    Observation and otherObservation and other

    datadata

    Determine cause andDetermine cause andeffect relationshipseffect relationships

    Manipulation of oneManipulation of one

    or more independentor more independent

    variablesvariables

    Control of otherControl of other

    mediating variablesmediating variables

    ExperimentsExperiments

    ExploratoryExploratory DescriptiveDescriptive CausalCausal

    A Comparison of Basic Research DesignsA Comparison of Basic Research Designs

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    5/30

    Non-sampling

    Error

    Non-sampling

    Error

    Non-response

    Error

    Non-response

    Error

    Interviewer

    Errors

    Interviewer

    Errors

    Respondent

    Error

    Respondent

    Error

    Researcher

    Error

    Researcher

    Error

    Total Error

    Total Error

    Random Sampling

    Error

    Random Sampling

    Error

    Surrogate Information Error

    Measurement Error

    Population Definition Error

    Sampling Frame ErrorData Analysis Error

    Surrogate Information Error

    Measurement Error

    Population Definition Error

    Sampling Frame Error

    Data Analysis Error

    Respondent Selection Error

    Questioning Error

    Recording Error

    Cheating Error

    Respondent Selection Error

    Questioning Error

    Recording Error

    Cheating Error

    Inability Error

    Unwillingness Error

    Inability Error

    Unwillingness Error

    Response

    Error

    Response

    Error

    Potential Sources of Error in Research DesignsPotential Sources of Error in Research Designs

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    6/30

    Rahmad 2006 6

    Exploratory Research Design:Exploratory Research Design:Secondary DataSecondary Data

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    7/30

    Primary DataPrimary Data Secondary DataSecondary Data

    Collection purpose For the problem at hand For other

    problems

    Collection process Very inoled Rapid ! easy

    Collection cost "igh Relatiely lo#Collection time $ong Short

    % Comparison o& Primary ! Secondary Data% Comparison o& Primary ! Secondary Data

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    8/30

    CriteriaCriteria 'ssues 'ssues Remar(s Remar(s

    Speci&ications! methodology

    Error !

    %ccuracy

    Currency

    Ob)ectie

    *ature

    Dependability

    Data collection method+ responserate+ ,uality ! analysis o& data+

    sampling techni,ue ! si-e+

    ,uestionnaire design+ &ield #or(.

    Examine errors in approach+

    research design+ sampling+datacollection ! analysis+ ! reporting.

    /ime lag bet#een collection !

    publication+ &re,uency o& updates.

    0hy #ere the data collected1

    De&inition o& (ey ariables+ units o&

    measurement+ categories used+

    relationships examined.

    Expertise+ credibility+ reputation+

    ! trust#orthiness o& the source.

    Data should be reliable+alid+ ! generali-able to

    the problem.

    %ssess accuracy by

    comparing data &romdi&&erent sources.

    Census data are updated

    by syndicated &irms.

    /he ob)ectie determines

    the releance o& data.

    Recon&igure the data to

    increase their use&ulness.

    Data should be obtained

    &rom an original source.

    Criteria &or Ealuating Secondary DataCriteria &or Ealuating Secondary Data

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    9/30

    % Classi&ication o& Secondary Data% Classi&ication o& Secondary Data

    Secondary Data

    'nternal External

    Ready

    to 2se

    Re,uires

    Further

    processing

    Published

    3aterials

    Computeri-ed

    Databases

    Syndicated

    Serices

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    10/30

    StatisticalData

    Published

    Secondary Data

    4eneral usinessSources

    4oernmentSources

    4uides Directories 'ndexes CensusData

    Other4oernment

    Publications

    % Classi&ication o& Published Secondary Sources% Classi&ication o& Published Secondary Sources

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    11/30

    ibliographicDatabasesibliographicDatabases

    Computeri-ed

    Databases

    On6$ine O&&6$ine

    *umericDatabases

    Full6/extDatabasesFull6/extDatabases

    DirectoryDatabasesDirectoryDatabases

    Special6Purpose

    Databases

    Special6Purpose

    Databases

    % Classi&ication o& Computeri-ed Databases% Classi&ication o& Computeri-ed Databases

    'nternet

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    12/30

    2nit o&

    3easurement

    % Classi&ication o& Syndicated Serices% Classi&ication o& Syndicated Serices

    "ouseholds7

    Consumers

    'nstitutions

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    13/30

    Syndicated Serices: ConsumersSyndicated Serices: Consumers

    "ouseholds 7

    Consumers

    Sureys

    3ail Diary

    Panels

    Electronic

    scanner sericesPurchase 3edia

    Psychographic

    & Lifestyles General

    Advertising

    Evaluation

    olume

    !rac"ing #ata

    $canner #iary

    Panels

    $canner #iary

    Panels %ith

    a'le !

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    14/30

    Syndicated Serices: 'nstitutionsSyndicated Serices: 'nstitutions

    'nstitutions

    Retailers 0holesalers 'ndustrial &irms

    %udits

    Direct

    'n,uiries

    Clipping

    SericesCorporate

    Reports

    Corporate

    Reports

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    15/30

    Type Characteristics Advantages Disadvantages UsesSurveys Surveys conducted

    at regular intervals

    Most flexible way of

    obtaining data;

    information on

    underlying motives

    Interviewer errors;

    respondent errors

    Market

    segmentation,

    advertising theme

    selection and

    advertising

    effectiveness

    Diary

    PurchasePanels

    Households provide

    specific informationregularly over an

    extended period of

    time; respondent

    asked to record

    specific behaviors as

    they occur

    Recorded purchase

    behavior can belinked to the

    demographic /

    psychographic

    characteristics

    Lack of

    representativeness;response bias;

    maturation

    Forecasting sales,

    market share andtrends; establishing

    consumer profiles,

    brand loyalty and

    switching;

    evaluating test

    markets, advertising,

    and distribution

    Diary

    Media

    Panels

    Electronic devices

    automatically

    recording behavior,

    supplemented by a

    diary

    Same as diary

    purchase panel

    Same as diary

    purchase panel

    Establishing

    advertising rates;

    selecting media

    program or air time;

    establishing viewer

    profiles

    Oerie# o& Syndicated SericesOerie# o& Syndicated Serices

    $an)utan$an)utan

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    16/30

    /ype Characteristics %dantages Disadantages 2ses$canner

    olume

    !rac"ing

    #ata

    (ousehold

    purchases are

    recorded through

    electronic scanners

    in supermar"ets

    #ata reflects actual

    purchases) timely

    data* less e+pensive

    #ata may not 'e

    representative)

    errors in recording

    purchases) difficult

    to lin" purchases toelements of

    mar"eting mi+ other

    than price

    Price trac"ing*

    modeling*

    effectiveness of in,

    store promotions

    $canner

    #iary

    Panels

    %ith &a'le

    !

    $canner panels of

    households that

    su'scri'e to ca'le

    !

    #ata reflect actual

    purchases) sample

    control) a'ility to

    lin" panel data to

    householdcharacteristics

    #ata may not 'e

    representative)

    -uality of data

    limited

    Promotional mi+

    analyses* copy

    testing* ne% product

    testing* positioning

    Audit

    services

    erification of

    product movement

    'y e+amining

    physical records or

    performing

    inventory analysis

    Relatively precise

    information at the

    retail and %holesale

    levels

    &overage may 'e

    incomplete)

    matching of data on

    competitive activity

    may 'e difficult

    .easurement of

    consumer sales and

    mar"et share*

    competitive activity*

    analy/ing

    distri'ution patterns0

    trac"ing of ne%

    products

    1ndustrial

    Product

    $yndicated

    $ervices

    #ata 'an"s on

    industrial

    esta'lishments

    created through

    direct in-uiries of

    companies* clippingservices* and

    cor orate re orts

    1mportant source of

    information on

    industrial firms*

    particularly useful in

    initial phases of the

    pro2ects

    #ata are lac"ing in

    terms of content*

    -uantity* and -uality

    #etermining mar"et

    potential 'y

    geographic area*

    defining sales

    territories* allocating

    advertising 'udget

    $an)utan8$an)utan8

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    17/30

    'nternational

    Organi-ations

    DomesticOrgani-ations in

    the 2nited States

    DomesticOrgani-ations in

    the 2nited States

    'nternational Secondary Data

    'nternationalOrgani-ations in

    the 2nited States

    Organi-ations in

    Foreign Countries

    4oernment

    Sources

    *ongoernment

    Sources4oernments

    /rade

    %ssociations

    % Classi&ication o& 'nternational Sources% Classi&ication o& 'nternational Sources

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    18/30

    Rahmad 2006 13

    Descriptive Research Design :Descriptive Research Design :

    Survey and ObservationSurvey and Observation

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    19/30

    SureySurey3ethods3ethodsSureySurey

    3ethods3ethods

    /elephone/elephone PersonalPersonal 3ail3ail

    'n6"ome'n6"ome 3all3all

    'ntercept'ntercept

    Computer6%ssistedComputer6%ssisted

    PersonalPersonal

    'nterie#ing'nterie#ing

    /raditional/raditional

    /elephone/elephoneComputer6%ssistedComputer6%ssisted

    /elephone/elephone

    'nterie#ing'nterie#ing

    3ail3ail

    'nterie#'nterie#3ail3ail

    PanelPanel

    A Classification of Survey MethodsA Classification of Survey Methods

    ElectronicElectronic

    E6mailE6mail 'nternet'nternet

    S D i i R l d hS D i i R l t d t th

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    20/30

    Outgoing Envelope4utgoing envelope si/e* color* return address

    Postage .ethod of addressing

    Cover Letter

    $ponsorship !ype of appeal PostscriptPersonali/ation $ignature

    QuestionnaireLength $i/e Layout 5ormat

    ontent Reproduction olor Respondent anonymity

    Return Envelope!ype of envelope Postage

    Incentives.onetary versus non,monetary Prepaid versus promised amount

    Some Decisions Related to theSome Decisions Related to the

    Mail Interview PackageMail Interview Package

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    21/30

    A lassification of 4'servation .ethods

    Obseration 3ethods

    Personal

    Obseration

    3echanical

    Obseration%udit

    Content

    %nalysis

    /race

    %nalysis

    lassifying

    4'servation

    .ethods

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    22/30

    Criteria Personal 3echanical %udit Content /race

    Obseration Obseration %nalysis %nalysis %nalysis

    Degree o& structure $o# $o# to high "igh "igh 3edium

    Degree o& disguise 3edium $o# to high $o# "igh "igh

    %bility to obsere "igh $o# to high "igh 3edium $o#

    in natural setting

    Obseration bias "igh $o# $o# 3edium 3edium%nalysis ias "igh $o# to $o# $o# 3edium

    3edium

    4eneral remar(s 3ost &lexible Can be Expensie $imited to 3ethod o&

    intrusie communications last

    resort

    A Comparative Evaluation of Observation MethodsA Comparative Evaluation of Observation Methods

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    23/30

    riteria !elephone Personal .ail Electronic

    (igh sample control , ,#ifficulty in locating ,

    respondents at home

    naccessi'ility of homes ,

    7navaila'ility of a large ,

    pool of trained intervie%ersLarge population in rural areas , , ,

    7navaila'ility of maps ,

    7navaila'ility of current , ,

    telephone directory

    7navaila'ility of mailing Lists , Lo% penetration of telephones , ,

    Lac" of an efficient postal system ,

    Lo% level of literacy , , ,

    5ace,to,face communication culture , , ,

    Poor access to computers and nternet8 8 ,

    9ote A denotes an advantage* and a , denotes a disadvantage:

    A Comparative Evaluation of Survey Methods forA Comparative Evaluation of Survey Methods for

    International Marketing ResearchInternational Marketing Research

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    24/30

    Rahmad 2006 2;

    Causal Research Design:Causal Research Design:ExperimentationExperimentation

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    25/30

    % Classi&ication o& Experimental Designs% Classi&ication o& Experimental Designs

    Experimental Designs

    Pre6experimental/rue

    Experimental

    9uasi

    Experimental Statistical

    One6Shot Case

    Study

    One 4roup

    Pretest6Posttest

    Static 4roup

    Pretest6Posttest

    Control 4roup

    Posttest: Only

    Control 4roup

    Solomon Four6

    4roup

    /ime Series

    3ultiple /ime

    Series

    Randomi-ed

    loc(s

    $atin S,uare

    Factorial

    Design

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    26/30

    Treatment GroupsBlock Store Commercial

    Commercial Commercial

    Number Patronage A BC

    1 Heavy

    2 Meium! "o#$ None

    %n Example o& a Randomi-ed loc( Design

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    27/30

    %nterest in t&e StoreStore Patronage Hig&

    Meium "o#

    Heavy B AC

    Meium C BA

    "o# an none A CB

    %n Example o& $atin S,uare Design%n Example o& $atin S,uare Design

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    28/30

    Amount o' Humor

    Amount o' Store No MeiumHig&%n'ormation Humor HumorHumor "o#

    MeiumHig&

    %n Example o& a Factorial Design%n Example o& a Factorial Design

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    29/30

    (actor "aboratory(iel

    Enironment %rti&icial Realistic

    Control "igh $o#

    Reactie Error "igh $o#

    Demand %rti&acts "igh $o#

    'nternal Validity "igh $o#

    External Validity $o# "igh

    /ime Short $ong

    *umber o& 2nits Small $argeEase o& implementation "igh $o#

    Cost $o# "igh

    $aboratory ersus Field Experiments$aboratory ersus Field Experiments

    C i i & S i &

  • 8/14/2019 03_Desain_Riset

    30/30

    Criteria &or the Selection o& /est 3ar(etsCriteria &or the Selection o& /est 3ar(ets

    /est 3ar(ets should hae the &ollo#ing ,ualities:

    1< =e large enough to produce meaningful proections: !hey

    should contain at least 2> of the potentialactual

    population: 2< =e representative demographically:?< =e representative %ith respect to product

    consumption 'ehavior:

    ;< =e representative %ith respect to media usage:

    @< =e representative %ith respect to competition:

    6< =e relatively isolated in terms of media and physical distri'ution:

    < (ave normal

    historical development in the product class 3< (ave