contoh menghitung as hujan rencana
TRANSCRIPT
Contoh Menghitung Intensitas Hujan Rencana
No Tahun Durasi (menit)
5 10 15 30 45 60 120
1 1959 20 25 30 50 52 53 55
2 1960 18 22 32 46 46 47 51
3 1961 21 26 28 40 43 44 50
4 1962 11 20 25 30 35 38 45
5 1963 22 - 25 38 40 40 44
6 1964 21 31 42 62 78 80 89
7 1965 11 15 18 28 38 40 41
8 1966 27 30 34 43 50 54 72
9 1976 17 20 32 43 59 75 107
10 1978 17 25 36 60 72 85 98
11 1979 15 24 29 37 50 56 99
12 1980 14 28 62 82 82 91 175
13 1981 20 40 50 65 70 80 113
14 1982 10 10 16 47 - 69 80
15 1983 18 36 54 73 - 93 93
16 1984 15 27 35 47 61 67 79
17 1985 15 25 35 55 71 95 149
18 1986 31 46 62 72 - 100 105
19 1987 27 32 37 60 - 88 93
20 1988 15 26 36 51 71 81 102
21 1989 16 26 30 44 55 80 100
22 1990 10 21 31 52 59 59 65
23 1991 12 20 31 41 48 50 62
24 1992 15 22 32 58 80 85 92
25 1993 24 32 43 80 90 98 116
MAX 31 46 62 82 90 100 175
Tentukan besarnya intensitas hujan, yaitu perkalian antara tinggi hujan dengan 60 menit dibagi durasi hujan
No Tahun Durasi (menit)
5 10 15 30 45 60 120
1 1959 240.0 150.0 120.0 100.0 69.3 53.0 27.52 1960 216.0 132.0 128.0 92.0 61.3 47.0 25.53 1961 252.0 156.0 112.0 80.0 57.3 44.0 25.04 1962 132.0 120.0 100.0 60.0 46.7 38.0 22.55 1963 264.0 100.0 76.0 53.3 40.0 22.06 1964 252.0 186.0 168.0 124.0 104.0 80.0 44.57 1965 132.0 90.0 72.0 56.0 50.7 40.0 20.58 1966 324.0 180.0 136.0 86.0 66.7 54.0 36.09 1976 204.0 120.0 128.0 86.0 78.7 75.0 53.5
10 1978 204.0 150.0 144.0 120.0 96.0 85.0 49.011 1979 180.0 144.0 116.0 74.0 66.7 56.0 49.512 1980 168.0 168.0 248.0 164.0 109.3 91.0 87.513 1981 240.0 240.0 200.0 130.0 93.3 80.0 56.5
14 1982 120.0 60.0 64.0 94.0 69.0 40.015 1983 216.0 216.0 216.0 146.0 93.0 46.516 1984 180.0 162.0 140.0 94.0 81.3 67.0 39.517 1985 180.0 150.0 140.0 110.0 94.7 95.0 74.518 1986 372.0 276.0 248.0 144.0 100.0 52.519 1987 324.0 192.0 148.0 120.0 88.0 46.520 1988 180.0 156.0 144.0 102.0 94.7 81.0 51.021 1989 192.0 156.0 120.0 88.0 73.3 80.0 50.022 1990 120.0 126.0 124.0 104.0 78.7 59.0 32.523 1991 144.0 120.0 124.0 82.0 64.0 50.0 31.024 1992 180.0 132.0 128.0 116.0 106.7 85.0 46.025 1993 288.0 192.0 172.0 160.0 120.0 98.0 58.0
N 25.0 24.0 25.0 25.0 21.0 25.0 25.0Max 372.0 276.0 248.0 164.0 120.0 100.0 87.5
Rata-Rata 212.2 157.3 141.6 104.3 79.4 69.9 43.5Std. Deviasi 66.4 46.2 46.2 29.0 21.1 20.2 16.3
Tentukan besarnya intensitas hujan rancangan per kala ulang tahun YT = /X + (Sr.KT)
KT Tr Durasi (menit) KT.Sd 5 10 15 30 45 60 120
0 2 - - - - - - - 0.84 5 55.8 38.8 38.8 24.3 17.7 17.0 13.7 1.28 10 85.0 59.1 59.2 37.1 27.0 25.9 20.8 1.64 20 108.9 75.7 75.8 47.5 34.6 33.1 26.7 1.71 25 113.6 79.0 79.0 49.5 36.1 34.6 27.8 2.05 50 136.2 94.7 94.7 59.4 43.3 41.4 33.4 2.19 75 145.5 101.1 101.2 63.4 46.3 44.3 35.7 2.33 100 154.8 107.6 107.7 67.5 49.2 47.1 37.9
Tr Ytr Durasi (menit)
5 10 15 30 45 60 120
2 73.26514 212.2 157.3 141.6 104.3 79.4 69.9 43.5 5 92.1757 268.0 196.0 180.4 128.6 97.1 86.9 57.2
10 102.0812 297.2 216.3 200.8 141.4 106.4 95.8 64.3 20 110.1858 321.1 233.0 217.4 151.8 114.0 103.1 70.2 25 111.7616 325.8 236.2 220.6 153.8 115.5 104.5 71.3 50 119.4159 348.3 251.9 236.3 163.7 122.7 111.3 76.9 75 122.5677 357.6 258.4 242.8 167.7 125.6 114.2 79.2
100 125.7194 366.9 264.8 249.3 171.8 128.6 117.0 81.4
Durasi (menit) 1440 2880
180 360 720
55 55 55 75 -
57 67 71 87 115
66 87 116 124 -
52 73 76 100 -
62 70 118 120 -
91 98 100 100 -
44 91 125 166 270
80 90 91 - -
107 135 183 206 249
102 115 115 115 149
114 126 126 126 126
185 192 192 192 192
120 204 228 253 260
103 131 131 157 247
96 96 96 96 116
83 85 91 91 128
149 149 247 253 282
123 129 130 130 130
93 96 138 138 155
101 117 174 174 198
100 108 142 142 226
68 81 100 115 123
89 130 137 137 185
100 103 104 104 135
118 151 211 276 429
185 204 247 276 429
Tentukan besarnya intensitas hujan, yaitu perkalian antara tinggi hujan dengan 60 menit dibagi durasi hujan
Durasi (menit) 1 hari 2 hari
180 360 720
18.3 9.2 4.6 3.119.0 11.2 5.9 3.6 2.422.0 14.5 9.7 5.217.3 12.2 6.3 4.220.7 11.7 9.8 5.030.3 16.3 8.3 4.214.7 15.2 10.4 6.9 5.626.7 15.0 7.635.7 22.5 15.3 8.6 5.234.0 19.2 9.6 4.8 3.138.0 21.0 10.5 5.3 2.661.7 32.0 16.0 8.0 4.040.0 34.0 19.0 10.5 5.4
34.3 21.8 10.9 6.5 5.132.0 16.0 8.0 4.0 2.427.7 14.2 7.6 3.8 2.749.7 24.8 20.6 10.5 5.941.0 21.5 10.8 5.4 2.731.0 16.0 11.5 5.8 3.233.7 19.5 14.5 7.3 4.133.3 18.0 11.8 5.9 4.722.7 13.5 8.3 4.8 2.629.7 21.7 11.4 5.7 3.933.3 17.2 8.7 4.3 2.839.3 25.2 17.6 11.5 8.925.0 25.0 25.0 24.0 19.061.7 34.0 20.6 11.5 8.931.4 18.5 11.0 6.0 4.110.6 6.1 4.1 2.3 1.7
Tentukan besarnya intensitas hujan rancangan per kala ulang tahun YT = /X + (Sr.KT)
Durasi (menit) 1440 2880
180 360 720 - - - - - 8.9 5.1 3.4 1.9 1.4 13.6 7.8 5.2 3.0 2.2 17.4 10.0 6.7 3.8 2.8 18.1 10.4 7.0 4.0 2.9 21.7 12.5 8.4 4.7 3.5 23.2 13.3 9.0 5.1 3.7 24.7 14.2 9.5 5.4 3.9
Durasi (menit) 1 hari 2 hari
180 360 720
31.4 18.5 11.0 6.0 4.1 40.3 23.6 14.4 8.0 5.5 v 45.0 26.3 16.2 9.0 6.2 48.8 28.5 17.7 9.8 6.8 49.5 28.9 18.0 10.0 7.0 53.2 31.0 19.4 10.8 7.5 54.6 31.9 20.0 11.1 7.8 56.1 32.7 20.5 11.4 8.0
v
v
v
Periode Ulang 2 Tahun
No t I I.t log t log I log t.log I
1 5 212.2 1060.8 45011.9 225059.3 0.7 2.3 1.62 10 157.3 1572.5 24727.6 247275.6 1.0 2.2 2.23 15 141.6 2124.0 20050.6 300758.4 1.2 2.2 2.54 30 104.3 3129.6 10882.7 326479.9 1.5 2.0 3.05 45 79.4 3571.4 6298.8 283446.7 1.7 1.9 3.16 60 69.9 4195.2 4888.8 293328.4 1.8 1.8 3.37 120 43.5 5220.0 1892.3 227070.0 2.1 1.6 3.48 180 31.4 5659.2 988.5 177925.2 2.3 1.5 3.49 360 18.5 6669.6 343.2 123565.5 2.6 1.3 3.2
10 720 11.0 7912.8 120.8 86961.7 2.9 1.0 3.011 1440 6.0 8692.5 36.4 52471.9 3.2 0.8 2.512 2880 4.1 11731.6 16.6 47788.2 3.5 0.6 2.1
Jumlah [ ] 879.2 61539.2 115258.0 2392130.8 24.1 19.3 33.3
1. Talbot
a 8178.13b 41.63
2. Sherman
log a 2.912878322432
a 818.23551n 0.6493792
I2 I2t
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 .. IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
bt
aI
04.33
43.12837
t
I
nt
aI
tttN
tIttIa
logloglog
loglog.loglogloglog 2
2
tttN
ItNtIn
logloglog
log.logloglog2
67.0
464.1519
tI
3. Ishiguro
a 337.09b -1.27
Periode Ulang 5 Tahun
No t I I.t log t log I log t.log I
1 5 268.0 1339.796 71802.2 359010.9 0.7 2.4 1.72 10 196.0 1960.3 38429.2 384291.9 1.0 2.3 2.33 15 180.4 2706.3 32552.2 488282.4 1.2 2.3 2.74 30 128.6 3859.2 16548.2 496446.0 1.5 2.1 3.15 45 97.1 4369.9 9429.9 424347.2 1.7 2.0 3.36 60 86.9 5213.6 7550.6 453033.6 1.8 1.9 3.47 120 57.2 6861.4 3269.3 392318.4 2.1 1.8 3.78 180 40.3 7260.5 1627.0 292856.8 2.3 1.6 3.69 360 23.6 8512.1 559.1 201264.2 2.6 1.4 3.5
10 720 14.4 10388.6 208.2 149893.7 2.9 1.2 3.311 1440 8.0 11487.4 63.6 91639.6 3.2 0.9 2.812 2880 5.5 15803.4 30.1 86717.5 3.5 0.7 2.6
Jumlah [ ] 1106.1 79762.4 182069.5 3820102.0 24.1 20.5 36.0
1. Talbot
I2 I2t
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 .. IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
bt
aI
67.0
464.1519
tI
bt
aI
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 ..
IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
41.1
81.545
tI
a 10710.74b 44.09
2. Sherman
log a 2.996000064322
a 990.83209n 0.6378048
3. Ishiguro
a 436.45b -1.18
Periode Ulang 10 Tahun
04.33
43.12837
t
I
nt
aI
tttN
tIttIa
logloglog
loglog.loglogloglog 2
2
tttN
ItNtIn
logloglog
log.logloglog2
67.0
464.1519
tI
bt
aI
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 ..
IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
41.1
81.545
tI
No t I I.t log t log I log t.log I
1 5 297.2 1485.937 88320.4 441601.9 0.7 2.5 1.72 10 216.3 2163.5 46806.8 468068.4 1.0 2.3 2.33 15 200.8 3011.4 40303.6 604554.2 1.2 2.3 2.74 30 141.4 4241.4 19987.9 599638.5 1.5 2.2 3.25 45 106.4 4788.1 11321.3 509459.6 1.7 2.0 3.46 60 95.8 5747.1 9174.8 550486.9 1.8 2.0 3.57 120 64.3 7721.1 4140.0 496796.8 2.1 1.8 3.88 180 45.0 8099.2 2024.6 364428.8 2.3 1.7 3.79 360 26.3 9477.2 693.0 249490.0 2.6 1.4 3.6
10 720 16.2 11685.5 263.4 189653.3 2.9 1.2 3.511 1440 9.0 12951.4 80.9 116485.9 3.2 1.0 3.012 2880 6.2 17936.2 38.8 111704.0 3.5 0.8 2.7
Jumlah [ ] 1225.0 89307.9 223155.6 4702368.4 24.1 21.1 37.2
1. Talbot
a 12035.37b 44.99
2. Sherman
log a 3.034246774202
a 1082.0486n 0.6335904
I2 I2t
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 .. IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
bt
aI
04.33
43.12837
t
I
nt
aI
tttN
tIttIa
logloglog
loglog.loglogloglog 2
2
tttN
ItNtIn
logloglog
log.logloglog2
67.0
464.1519
tI
3. Ishiguro
a 488.39b -1.15
Periode Ulang 20 Tahun
No t I I.t log t log I log t.log I
1 5 321.1 1605.507 103106.1 515530.7 0.7 2.5 1.82 10 233.0 2329.7 54275.2 542752.2 1.0 2.4 2.43 15 217.4 3260.9 47260.9 708913.2 1.2 2.3 2.74 30 151.8 4554.0 23043.7 691311.0 1.5 2.2 3.25 45 114.0 5130.3 12997.3 584879.2 1.7 2.1 3.46 60 103.1 6183.6 10621.3 637277.3 1.8 2.0 3.67 120 70.2 8424.6 4928.7 591442.5 2.1 1.8 3.88 180 48.8 8785.5 2382.2 428801.9 2.3 1.7 3.89 360 28.5 10266.8 813.3 292796.4 2.6 1.5 3.7
10 720 17.7 12746.5 313.4 225658.9 2.9 1.2 3.611 1440 9.8 14149.3 96.5 139028.9 3.2 1.0 3.112 2880 6.8 19681.3 46.7 134497.2 3.5 0.8 2.9
Jumlah [ ] 1322.2 97117.9 259885.4 5492889.3 24.1 21.5 38.0
1. Talbot
I2 I2t
67.0
464.1519
tI
bt
aI
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 ..
IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
41.1
81.545
tI
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 .. IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
bt
aI
a 13118.44b 45.61
2. Sherman
log a 3.063308363653
a 1156.9334n 0.6307461
3. Ishiguro
a 530.84b -1.14
Periode Ulang 25 Tahun
04.33
43.12837
t
I
nt
aI
tttN
tIttIa
logloglog
loglog.loglogloglog 2
2
tttN
ItNtIn
logloglog
log.logloglog2
67.0
464.1519
tI
bt
aI
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 ..
IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
41.1
81.545
tI
No t I I.t log t log I log t.log I
1 5 325.8 1628.757 106114.0 530569.8 0.7 2.5 1.82 10 236.2 2362.0 55791.6 557915.8 1.0 2.4 2.43 15 220.6 3309.5 48678.0 730169.7 1.2 2.3 2.84 30 153.8 4614.8 23663.1 709893.1 1.5 2.2 3.25 45 115.5 5196.8 13336.6 600148.4 1.7 2.1 3.46 60 104.5 6268.4 10914.8 654890.6 1.8 2.0 3.67 120 71.3 8561.3 5090.0 610803.5 2.1 1.9 3.98 180 49.5 8918.9 2455.1 441926.5 2.3 1.7 3.89 360 28.9 10420.3 837.8 301619.3 2.6 1.5 3.7
10 720 18.0 12952.9 323.6 233023.1 2.9 1.3 3.611 1440 10.0 14382.2 99.8 143643.7 3.2 1.0 3.212 2880 7.0 20020.6 48.3 139174.8 3.5 0.8 2.9
Jumlah [ ] 1341.1 98636.5 267352.8 5653778.3 24.1 21.6 38.2
1. Talbot
a 13328.98b 45.72
2. Sherman
log a 3.068748017393
a 1171.5154n 0.6302443
I2 I2t
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 .. IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
bt
aI
04.33
43.12837
t
I
nt
aI
tttN
tIttIa
logloglog
loglog.loglogloglog 2
2
tttN
ItNtIn
logloglog
log.logloglog2
67.0
464.1519
tI
3. Ishiguro
a 539.09b -1.13
Periode Ulang 50 Tahun
No t I I.t log t log I log t.log I
1 5 348.3 1741.684 121338.5 606692.6 0.7 2.5 1.82 10 251.9 2519.0 63453.9 634538.8 1.0 2.4 2.43 15 236.3 3545.2 55858.8 837881.6 1.2 2.4 2.84 30 163.7 4910.2 26788.5 803654.7 1.5 2.2 3.35 45 122.7 5520.0 15046.9 677111.9 1.7 2.1 3.56 60 111.3 6680.7 12397.6 743856.4 1.8 2.0 3.67 120 76.9 9225.7 5910.7 709278.2 2.1 1.9 3.98 180 53.2 9567.0 2824.9 508488.9 2.3 1.7 3.99 360 31.0 11166.1 962.0 346336.5 2.6 1.5 3.8
10 720 19.4 13955.0 375.7 270474.3 2.9 1.3 3.711 1440 10.8 15513.5 116.1 167130.0 3.2 1.0 3.312 2880 7.5 21668.7 56.6 163031.8 3.5 0.9 3.0
Jumlah [ ] 1433.0 106012.6 305130.2 6468475.7 24.1 22.0 38.9
1. Talbot
I2 I2t
67.0
464.1519
tI
bt
aI
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 ..
IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
41.1
81.545
tI
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 .. IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
bt
aI
a 14351.33b 46.20
2. Sherman
log a 3.094269807121
a 1242.4239n 0.6280073
3. Ishiguro
a 579.16b -1.12
Periode Ulang 75 Tahun
04.33
43.12837
t
I
nt
aI
tttN
tIttIa
logloglog
loglog.loglogloglog 2
2
tttN
ItNtIn
logloglog
log.logloglog2
67.0
464.1519
tI
bt
aI
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 ..
IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
41.1
81.545
tI
No t I I.t log t log I log t.log I
1 5 357.6 1788.183 127904.0 639520.0 0.7 2.6 1.82 10 258.4 2583.6 66752.2 667522.1 1.0 2.4 2.43 15 242.8 3642.2 58959.1 884386.6 1.2 2.4 2.84 30 167.7 5031.8 28131.7 843952.2 1.5 2.2 3.35 45 125.6 5653.0 15781.2 710152.0 1.7 2.1 3.56 60 114.2 6850.4 13035.6 782135.8 1.8 2.1 3.77 120 79.2 9499.3 6266.4 751964.8 2.1 1.9 3.98 180 54.6 9833.9 2984.7 537253.6 2.3 1.7 3.99 360 31.9 11473.1 1015.7 365647.5 2.6 1.5 3.8
10 720 20.0 14367.6 398.2 286706.1 2.9 1.3 3.711 1440 11.1 15979.3 123.1 177317.5 3.2 1.0 3.312 2880 7.8 22347.3 60.2 173403.5 3.5 0.9 3.1
Jumlah [ ] 1470.8 109049.8 321412.1 6819961.6 24.1 22.1 39.2
1. Talbot
a 14772.19b 46.38
2. Sherman
log a 3.104369747721
a 1271.6563n 0.6271725
I2 I2t
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 .. IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
bt
aI
04.33
43.12837
t
I
nt
aI
tttN
tIttIa
logloglog
loglog.loglogloglog 2
2
tttN
ItNtIn
logloglog
log.logloglog2
67.0
464.1519
tI
3. Ishiguro
a 595.66b -1.11
Periode Ulang 100 Tahun
No t I I.t log t log I log t.log I
1 5 366.9 1834.683 134642.4 673212.2 0.7 2.6 1.82 10 264.8 2648.3 70134.1 701340.9 1.0 2.4 2.43 15 249.3 3739.3 62143.2 932147.6 1.2 2.4 2.84 30 171.8 5153.4 29507.9 885235.6 1.5 2.2 3.35 45 128.6 5786.1 16532.9 743979.1 1.7 2.1 3.56 60 117.0 7020.2 13689.6 821375.5 1.8 2.1 3.77 120 81.4 9772.8 6632.5 795898.5 2.1 1.9 4.08 180 56.1 10100.8 3148.9 566809.6 2.3 1.7 3.99 360 32.7 11780.2 1070.8 385482.3 2.6 1.5 3.9
10 720 20.5 14780.3 421.4 303411.0 2.9 1.3 3.711 1440 11.4 16445.1 130.4 187806.3 3.2 1.1 3.312 2880 8.0 23025.9 63.9 184095.1 3.5 0.9 3.1
Jumlah [ ] 1508.6 112087.0 338118.0 7180793.7 24.1 22.2 39.5
1. Talbot
I2 I2t
67.0
464.1519
tI
bt
aI
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 ..
IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
41.1
81.545
tI
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 .. IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
bt
aI
a 15193.00b 46.55
2. Sherman
log a 3.114246048985
a 1300.9064n 0.626382
3. Ishiguro
a 612.15b -1.10
04.33
43.12837
t
I
nt
aI
tttN
tIttIa
logloglog
loglog.loglogloglog 2
2
tttN
ItNtIn
logloglog
log.logloglog2
67.0
464.1519
tI
bt
aI
IIIN
ItIItIa 2
22 ..
IIIN
tINtIIb 2
2 ..
41.1
81.545
tI
0.5 2.2 474.4 100649.61.0 3.2 497.3 78195.41.4 3.9 548.4 77655.52.2 5.5 571.4 59606.82.7 6.7 532.4 42253.73.2 7.7 541.6 37868.54.3 11.0 476.5 20728.65.1 13.4 421.8 13261.86.5 19.0 351.5 6512.58.2 26.8 294.9 3240.9
10.0 37.9 229.1 1382.812.0 53.7 218.6 890.557.0 191.0 5157.9 442246.5
(log t)2 t0.5 I.t0.5 I2t0.5
0.5 2.2 599.2 160554.51.0 3.2 619.9 121523.81.4 3.9 698.8 126074.02.2 5.5 704.6 90638.22.7 6.7 651.4 63257.93.2 7.7 673.1 58486.44.3 11.0 626.4 35813.65.1 13.4 541.2 21828.36.5 19.0 448.6 10607.68.2 26.8 387.2 5586.2
10.0 37.9 302.7 2414.912.0 53.7 294.5 1615.957.0 191.0 6547.4 698401.3
(log t)2 t0.5 I.t0.5 I2t0.5
0.5 2.2 664.5 197490.41.0 3.2 684.2 148016.21.4 3.9 777.5 156095.22.2 5.5 774.4 109478.52.7 6.7 713.8 75945.83.2 7.7 741.9 71067.64.3 11.0 704.8 45351.15.1 13.4 603.7 27162.96.5 19.0 499.5 13149.38.2 26.8 435.5 7068.0
10.0 37.9 341.3 3069.712.0 53.7 334.2 2081.557.0 191.0 7275.3 855976.1
(log t)2 t0.5 I.t0.5 I2t0.5
0.5 2.2 718.0 230552.31.0 3.2 736.7 171633.31.4 3.9 842.0 183040.62.2 5.5 831.5 126215.52.7 6.7 764.8 87188.63.2 7.7 798.3 82272.14.3 11.0 769.1 53991.15.1 13.4 654.8 31961.06.5 19.0 541.1 15431.78.2 26.8 475.0 8409.8
10.0 37.9 372.9 3663.712.0 53.7 366.7 2506.257.0 191.0 7870.8 996866.1
(log t)2 t0.5 I.t0.5 I2t0.5
0.5 2.2 728.4 237278.01.0 3.2 746.9 176428.51.4 3.9 854.5 188529.02.2 5.5 842.6 129608.22.7 6.7 774.7 89464.83.2 7.7 809.3 84546.04.3 11.0 781.5 55758.55.1 13.4 664.8 32939.36.5 19.0 549.2 15896.78.2 26.8 482.7 8684.3
10.0 37.9 379.0 3785.312.0 53.7 373.1 2593.457.0 191.0 7986.6 1025511.9
(log t)2 t0.5 I.t0.5 I2t0.5
0.5 2.2 778.9 271321.21.0 3.2 796.6 200658.81.4 3.9 915.4 216340.12.2 5.5 896.5 146726.62.7 6.7 822.9 100937.93.2 7.7 862.5 96031.54.3 11.0 842.2 64747.95.1 13.4 713.1 37900.56.5 19.0 588.5 18253.58.2 26.8 520.1 10080.0
10.0 37.9 408.8 4404.312.0 53.7 403.8 3037.957.0 191.0 8549.1 1170440.2
(log t)2 t0.5 I.t0.5 I2t0.5
0.5 2.2 799.7 286002.01.0 3.2 817.0 211089.01.4 3.9 940.4 228347.62.2 5.5 918.7 154083.92.7 6.7 842.7 105863.23.2 7.7 884.4 100973.34.3 11.0 867.2 68644.75.1 13.4 733.0 40044.56.5 19.0 604.7 19271.38.2 26.8 535.4 10684.9
10.0 37.9 421.1 4672.712.0 53.7 416.4 3231.257.0 191.0 8780.7 1232908.4
(log t)2 t0.5 I.t0.5 I2t0.5
0.5 2.2 820.5 301069.61.0 3.2 837.5 221783.51.4 3.9 965.5 240679.52.2 5.5 940.9 161621.22.7 6.7 862.5 110905.83.2 7.7 906.3 106039.14.3 11.0 892.1 72655.35.1 13.4 752.9 42247.56.5 19.0 620.9 20316.78.2 26.8 550.8 11307.5
10.0 37.9 433.4 4949.112.0 53.7 429.1 3430.457.0 191.0 9012.3 1297005.2
(log t)2 t0.5 I.t0.5 I2t0.5
Periode Ulang 2 Tahun
No t I terukurI prediksi Selisih
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro Talbot Sherman Ishiguro1 5 212.2 175.4 287.7 347.4 -36.8 75.6 135.22 10 157.3 158.4 183.4 177.7 1.2 26.2 20.53 15 141.6 144.4 141.0 129.3 2.8 -0.6 -12.34 30 104.3 114.2 89.9 80.0 9.9 -14.4 -24.35 45 79.4 94.4 69.1 61.9 15.0 -10.3 -17.46 60 69.9 80.5 57.3 52.0 10.6 -12.6 -17.97 120 43.5 50.6 36.5 34.8 7.1 -7.0 -8.78 180 31.4 36.9 28.1 27.7 5.5 -3.4 -3.79 360 18.5 20.4 17.9 19.0 1.8 -0.6 0.5
10 720 11.0 10.7 11.4 13.2 -0.3 0.4 2.211 1440 6.0 5.5 7.3 9.2 -0.5 1.2 3.212 2880 4.1 2.8 4.6 6.4 -1.3 0.6 2.4
Deviasi 1.3 4.6 6.6
Periode Ulang 5 Tahun
No t I terukurI prediksi Selisih
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro Talbot Sherman Ishiguro1 5 268.0 218.2 355.0 415.0 -49.8 87.0 147.02 10 196.0 1071.1 228.1 220.7 875.0 32.1 24.63 15 180.4 714.0 176.2 162.3 533.6 -4.3 -18.14 30 128.6 357.0 113.2 101.7 228.4 -15.4 -27.05 45 97.1 238.0 87.4 79.0 140.9 -9.7 -18.16 60 86.9 178.5 72.8 66.5 91.6 -14.1 -20.47 120 57.2 89.3 46.8 44.7 32.1 -10.4 -12.58 180 40.3 59.5 36.1 35.7 19.2 -4.2 -4.79 360 23.6 29.8 23.2 24.5 6.1 -0.4 0.9
10 720 14.4 14.9 14.9 17.0 0.4 0.5 2.611 1440 8.0 7.4 9.6 11.9 -0.5 1.6 3.912 2880 5.5 3.7 6.2 8.3 -1.8 0.7 2.8
Deviasi 156.3 5.3 6.8
Periode Ulang 10 Tahun
No t I terukurI prediksi Selisih
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro Talbot Sherman Ishiguro1 5 297.2 240.7 390.3 451.7 -56.5 93.1 154.5
2 10 216.3 218.8 251.6 243.3 2.5 35.2 26.93 15 200.8 200.6 194.6 179.7 -0.1 -6.2 -21.14 30 141.4 160.5 125.4 113.0 19.1 -16.0 -28.45 45 106.4 133.7 97.0 87.9 27.3 -9.4 -18.56 60 95.8 114.6 80.8 74.1 18.8 -14.9 -21.77 120 64.3 72.9 52.1 49.8 8.6 -12.2 -14.58 180 45.0 53.5 40.3 39.8 8.5 -4.7 -5.29 360 26.3 29.7 26.0 27.4 3.4 -0.3 1.1
10 720 16.2 15.7 16.7 19.0 -0.5 0.5 2.811 1440 9.0 8.1 10.8 13.3 -0.9 1.8 4.312 2880 6.2 4.1 7.0 9.3 -2.1 0.7 3.1
Deviasi 2.3 5.6 7.0
Periode Ulang 20 Tahun
No t I terukurI prediksi Selisih
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro Talbot Sherman Ishiguro1 5 321.1 259.2 419.2 482.1 -61.9 98.1 161.02 10 233.0 235.9 270.7 261.9 2.9 37.8 28.93 15 217.4 216.4 209.6 193.9 -0.9 -7.7 -23.54 30 151.8 173.5 135.4 122.3 21.7 -16.4 -29.65 45 114.0 144.8 104.8 95.2 30.8 -9.2 -18.86 60 103.1 124.2 87.4 80.3 21.2 -15.6 -22.87 120 70.2 79.2 56.5 54.1 9.0 -13.7 -16.18 180 48.8 58.1 43.7 43.2 9.3 -5.1 -5.69 360 28.5 32.3 28.2 29.8 3.8 -0.3 1.2
10 720 17.7 17.1 18.2 20.7 -0.6 0.5 3.011 1440 9.8 8.8 11.8 14.4 -1.0 2.0 4.612 2880 6.8 4.5 7.6 10.1 -2.3 0.8 3.3
Deviasi 2.7 5.9 7.1
Periode Ulang 25 Tahun
No t I terukurI prediksi Selisih
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro Talbot Sherman Ishiguro1 5 325.8 262.8 424.8 488.1 -62.9 99.1 162.32 10 236.2 239.2 274.5 265.5 3.0 38.3 29.33 15 220.6 219.5 212.6 196.6 -1.1 -8.1 -24.04 30 153.8 176.0 137.3 124.1 22.2 -16.5 -29.85 45 115.5 146.9 106.4 96.7 31.4 -9.1 -18.86 60 104.5 126.1 88.7 81.5 21.6 -15.7 -23.07 120 71.3 80.4 57.3 54.9 9.1 -14.0 -16.58 180 49.5 59.1 44.4 43.9 9.5 -5.2 -5.7
9 360 28.9 32.9 28.7 30.2 3.9 -0.3 1.310 720 18.0 17.4 18.5 21.0 -0.6 0.5 3.011 1440 10.0 9.0 12.0 14.6 -1.0 2.0 4.712 2880 7.0 4.6 7.7 10.3 -2.4 0.8 3.3
Deviasi 2.7 6.0 7.2
Periode Ulang 50 Tahun
No t I terukurI prediksi Selisih
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro Talbot Sherman Ishiguro1 5 348.3 280.3 452.2 517.0 -68.0 103.8 168.72 10 251.9 255.4 292.6 283.0 3.5 40.7 31.13 15 236.3 234.5 226.8 210.1 -1.8 -9.5 -26.34 30 163.7 188.3 146.8 132.8 24.7 -16.9 -30.95 45 122.7 157.4 113.8 103.6 34.7 -8.9 -19.16 60 111.3 135.1 95.0 87.4 23.8 -16.4 -24.07 120 76.9 86.4 61.5 58.9 9.5 -15.4 -18.08 180 53.2 63.4 47.6 47.1 10.3 -5.5 -6.19 360 31.0 35.3 30.8 32.4 4.3 -0.2 1.4
10 720 19.4 18.7 19.9 22.5 -0.7 0.6 3.111 1440 10.8 9.7 12.9 15.7 -1.1 2.1 5.012 2880 7.5 4.9 8.4 11.0 -2.6 0.8 3.5
Deviasi 3.0 6.3 7.4
Periode Ulang 75 Tahun
No t I terukurI prediksi Selisih
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro Talbot Sherman Ishiguro1 5 357.6 287.5 463.4 529.0 -70.1 105.8 171.42 10 258.4 262.0 300.1 290.3 3.6 41.7 31.93 15 242.8 240.7 232.7 215.6 -2.1 -10.1 -27.24 30 167.7 193.4 150.6 136.4 25.7 -17.1 -31.35 45 125.6 161.7 116.8 106.4 36.0 -8.8 -19.26 60 114.2 138.9 97.5 89.8 24.7 -16.6 -24.47 120 79.2 88.8 63.1 60.5 9.6 -16.0 -18.78 180 54.6 65.3 49.0 48.4 10.6 -5.7 -6.29 360 31.9 36.4 31.7 33.3 4.5 -0.2 1.5
10 720 20.0 19.3 20.5 23.2 -0.7 0.6 3.211 1440 11.1 9.9 13.3 16.2 -1.2 2.2 5.112 2880 7.8 5.0 8.6 11.3 -2.7 0.8 3.6
Deviasi 3.2 6.4 7.5
Periode Ulang 100 Tahun
No t I terukurI prediksi Selisih
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro Talbot Sherman Ishiguro1 5 366.9 294.7 474.7 541.0 -72.2 107.8 174.12 10 264.8 268.7 307.5 297.5 3.8 42.7 32.73 15 249.3 246.8 238.5 221.1 -2.5 -10.7 -28.24 30 171.8 198.5 154.5 140.0 26.7 -17.3 -31.85 45 128.6 166.0 119.9 109.2 37.4 -8.7 -19.36 60 117.0 142.6 100.1 92.2 25.6 -16.9 -24.87 120 81.4 91.2 64.8 62.1 9.8 -16.6 -19.38 180 56.1 67.1 50.3 49.7 10.9 -5.8 -6.49 360 32.7 37.4 32.6 34.3 4.6 -0.1 1.5
10 720 20.5 19.8 21.1 23.8 -0.7 0.6 3.311 1440 11.4 10.2 13.7 16.6 -1.2 2.3 5.212 2880 8.0 5.2 8.9 11.6 -2.8 0.9 3.7
Deviasi 3.3 6.5 7.6
RATA - RATA
No t I terukurI prediksi
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro1 5 312.1 252.4 408.4 471.42 10 226.7 338.7 263.6 255.03 15 211.2 277.1 204.0 188.64 30 147.9 195.2 131.6 118.85 45 111.2 155.4 101.9 92.56 60 100.3 130.1 85.0 78.07 120 68.0 79.9 54.8 52.58 180 47.4 57.9 42.4 41.99 360 27.7 31.8 27.4 28.9
10 720 17.2 16.7 17.7 20.011 1440 9.5 8.6 11.4 14.012 2880 6.6 4.4 7.4 9.8
Talbot:
Sherman:
Ishiguro:
Talbot:
Sherman:
Ishiguro:
Talbot:
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Ishiguro:
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Sherman:
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Ishiguro:
Talbot:
Sherman:
Ishiguro:
Talbot:
Sherman:
Ishiguro:
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Talbot:
Sherman:
Ishiguro:
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0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 35000.0
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Kurva Intensitas - Durasi - Frekuensi
I - Terukur I - Talbot I - Sherman I - Ishoguro
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