rapat teknis finalisasi muatan raperpres cekungan bandung - asep sofyan2.pptx

7/23/2019 Rapat Teknis Finalisasi Muatan Raperpres Cekungan Bandung - Asep Sofyan2.pptx

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Daya Dukung dan DayaTampung Lingkungan diCekungan Bandung

Rapat Teknis FinalisasiMuatan RaperpresCekungan BandungBandung, 13 November!1"

Dr# $sep %o&yan, %T, MTProdi Teknik Lingkungan, FTSL ITBEmail: [email protected],

P: !"#$%%&!%!!&



Isi presen'asi

•Penger'ian dan (e'odePerhi'ungan )aya )ukung

dan )aya Tampung•)aya )ukung dan )aya Tampung *ekungan

Bandung

•Pendeka'an +S yang le-ih

memperhi'ungkan daya



Penger'ian )aya )ukung dan )aya Tampung // $%0%!!&1

• Daya dukung lingkungan 'idup adalah kemampuan lingkungan hidup

un'uk mendukung perikehidupanmanusia, makhluk hidup lain, dankeseim-angan an'arkeduanya.

• Daya tampung lingkungan 'idup adalah kemampuan lingkungan hidupun'uk menyerap 2a', energi,dan0a'au komponen lain yang masuk

a'au dimasukkan kedalamnya.



Daya Tampung %el&(uri)*ation



Daya Tampung



$paka' daya dukung lingkungan+

Berapa banyak manusia bisa

didukung bumi tanpaef: mmcconeghy

B

ennett: Christian Science Monitor

mailto:[email protected]






Daya dukung lingkungan

“Jumlah maksimum manusia dalamruang tertentu yang diberikan

(wilayah, kota, negara) yang dapat

didukung secara berkelanjutan…. “3ef: (. (c*oneghy

lachaos'ra4c.gif



Ecological Foo'prin' 5erses *arrying *apaci'y



Ecological Foo'prin'6e7ak Ekologis1• Ecological Footprint adalah ala' -an'u un'uk dapa' ki'a

pergunakan dalam mengukur penggunaan sum-erdaya dankemampuan menampung lim-ah dari populasi manusiadihu-ungkan dengan kemampuan lahan, -iasanya dinya'akandalam hek'ar.

• Ecological Footprint dapa' digunakan se-agai ukuran pres'asiki'a dalam mendukung ke-erlan7u'an -umi ini, dan men7adiindika'or 'er-aik dan e9sien dalam mendukung ke-erlan7u'ankehidupan. la' ukur ini men7adi pen'ing dalam kon'eks un'ukmenge'ahui apakah kegia'an konsumsi yang ki'a lakukan masihdalam -a'as daya dukung lingkungan a'aukah sudah

mele;a'inya, dengan ka'a lain masih surplus a'aukah sudahdalam de9si' penurunan kualitas1 ekologi.

• Ecological Footprint secara sederhana dapa' di'en'ukan denganmenelusuri -erapa -esarnya konsumsi sum-erdaya alam -aik-erupa produk a'aupun 7asa1, ser'a sampah yang ki'a produksidan dise'arakan dengan area permukaan -umi yang produk'if

secara -iologis dalam sa'uan luasan hek'ar ha1.



6e7ak Ekologis

• )i merika se'iap orang

memerlukan <,=a0orang

• 3a'a>ra'a dunia ? #,=a0orang

• 6ika seluruh duniamencapai <,= a0orang,maka diperlukan $ plane'-umi



Skenario 6e7ak Ekologis



orld Popula'ion



Popula'ion predic'ions

en.;ikipedia.or



*arrying *apaci'y

• ey (oint- .e *an read a *arrying*apa*ity grap' to predi*t *'angesin population si/e

Time

P o p u

l a ti on

siz e

Graph line = Populationsize at a specific time

Dotted line = Carrying Capacity



wrong

(opulation 0rot'Curves

Time

%mart (retty %mart

%tupid Really %tupid

( o p u l a t i o n

CC

good

Tech-

nology

SPICOSA Training Support Pack WP13 [email protected]



2se o& %ystem

Cost o& %ystemRe*overy

Degree o&

Resilien*e

Time to $*t

'e %$F makes t'e s*ienti)*e*onomi* models to guide Management o.'en to a*t, .'at to do, 4o to do it

(re*autionary (oli*y is ne*essary in a rapidly *'anging orld

SPICOSA Training Support Pack WP13 tom_hopkin!ncu"edu



determined #y

uch aa#o$e it

WO%& 'A()* water, carrying capacity, pop. size increases,

limiting factors, food, pop. size decreases, space

#elow it

Carrying

Capacity

+imiting

,actor

Space

Water ,oodPopulation

decreae

Population

increae



S'udi +asus:

+e'ersediaan ir Bakudi *ekungan Bandung



Si'u *ipanun7ang, Ak'o-er%!#=

• Sum-er air -akuP)( Bandung

• Si'u *ipanun7ang'elah kering dan'idak -isadimanfaa'kan

• Bagaimanakondisi air -aku#!>%! 'ahun ke

depan



Si'u *ileunca Ak'o-er %!#=

• Si'u *ileuncasum-er air-aku P)(

Bandung

• *adangan airhanya un'uk #<

hari lagi, 7ika'idak ada hu7an

• Bagaimana

kondisi #!>%!

SEC(ETSI )S



%aguling D$M Sumedang

Caru'

Su-ang

*ian7ur Ma5alaya

3ancaekek

/7ungBerung

Ban7aran

Dayeu'kolot

*imahi

Ba'u7a7ar

0n .ayang

• Berkurangnya &ungsikaasan lindung 6'utandan non 'utan7

• Berkembangnya

permukiman tanpaperen*anaan yang baik

• 8rosi, La'an ritis• Limba' peternakan• (ola (ertanian yang

tidak sesuai dengankaida' konservasi

• Limba'

9ndustri,domestik,sampa'

• (engendaliantata ruang

Segmen # C. ayang>6.(a7alaya1Segmen % 6. (a7alaya>6. )ayeuh+olo'1Segmen $ 6. )ayeuhkolo'>. /7ung

(ermasala'an Citarum4ulu

SEC(ETSI )S*IT3/( /L/ )PE3(SLD

1

3• Dominan genangan ban5ir• %ampa'

S/(BE3: BPL) 6B3, %!!&



%egmen 1 - 4ulu sungai di 0unung .ayang : ;embatan Ma5alaya6ab#Bandung < ab#%umedang7

(8RM$%$L$4$N

%80M8N 1

S/(BE3 FATA: Ber-agai sum-er BBS *T3(, 3+0)C>+PL BELT3

a# 0n# .ayang, 'ulumata air %ungai

Citarum

Neglasari, ertasari

Neglasari, ertasari

= (ola peman&aatan la'an menimbulkan tingginya erosi danair larian



%egmen - ;embatan Ma5alaya : ;embatanDayeu' olot6ab#Bandung < ota Bandung7

S/(BE3 FATA: BPL) 6B3(ermukiman di bantaran sungai Cikapundung

CisirungLimba' 9ndustri

(8RM$%$L$4$N

%80M8N

= (erilaku masyarakat 69ndustridan Ruma' Tangga7 yangmenyebabkan buruknyakualitas air dan ban5ir

L k h # Id 'i9k i



Langkah #. Iden'i9kasi+omponen

%o*ietal $*tions

DrivingFor*es

(ressures

%tate

Broad Socie'alProcesses

From socie'alac'i5i'ies

a'er, Land, air,-iodi5ersi'y, or

clima'e

To res'ore andenhance 'heen5ironmen'

9mpa*tsuman ell-eing

Ecosys'emSer5ices

%T8( 1# .'at is 'appeningto t'e environment and

'y+

%T8( # .'atare t'e*onse>uen*es&or t'eenvironment and'umanity+

%T8( 3# .'at is beingdone and 'o is ite?e*tive+

To help socie'yadap' 'oimpac's

a'uraldis'ur-ances



Langka' # 4ubungan antar omponen dalam Matriks

8a*' element in t'e @'ypermatriA 'as a *orresponding *on*ept

in %88$.ater



Langkah $. +erangka Ber9kir

Drivers

(ressures

%tate

Responses

9mpa*t

Resour*es state variables 6>ualityand >uantity, per *apita s'are7

4ealt', e*ologi*al,e*onomi*al < so*ial

losses

(oli*ies,legislation,investments

,te*'nology,aareness,

tari?s,

treatmentandre*y*ling,

et*#

Demograp'i*8*onomi*

developmentTe*'nology$gri*ultural

(oli*ies

9n*reasing s*ar*ity,9n*reasing Demands ,se*toral utili/ation <*ompetition, aste

dis*'arge

R e s p

o n s e

s

8 ? e

* t i v e n e s s

Par'ial con'rol



Drainage

o; much

;a'erdemand,and ;here

genera'ionforecas'

0 S'ransfer and'rea'men's'ra'egy

Iden'i9ca'ion

of ;a'erresourcesop'ions

Water supply

Wastewater

'rea'men'

dischargeloca'ionop'ions

S 'ransferand discharge 0

'rea'men's'ra'egy

Land use plan

En5ironmen'alpro'ec'ion plan

Sdischarge

loca'ion andlimi'a'ion

cons'rain's

3uno

genera'ion

a'erproduc'ion and

'ransfers'ra'egy

Urban development planObjectives:- Provision of basic municipal services objectives- Protection of environmental recreational an! cultural values- "ncrease! urban attractiveness an! lan! value

Components:

2rban .ater Management - t'e Traditional$pproa*'

Langkah <. (engu-ah Pendeka'an



Drainage

o; much;a'er

demand,and ;here

genera'ion

forecas'

0 S'ransfer and'rea'men's'ra'egy

Iden'i9ca'ionof ;a'er

resourcesop'ions

Water supply

Wastewater

'rea'men'

dischargeloca'ionop'ions

S'orm ;a'er 'ransferand discharge 0 'rea'men'

s'ra'egy

Land use plan

En5ironmen'alpro'ec'ion plan

S'orm ;a'erdischarge

loca'ion andlimi'a'ion

cons'rain's

3unogenera'io

n

a'erproduc'ion and

'ransfers'ra'egy

: storm # gre$ %ater reuse3

3

: %ater !eman! management

Urban development planObjectives:- Provision of basic municipal services objectives-

Protection of environmental recreational an! cultural values- "ncrease! urban attractiveness an! lan! value

Components:

1

: treate! %ater reuse1: storm%ater capture

E

: retro&tE

: Filtration through vegetation: locali'e! (() s$stems"

"

Creeninfras'ruc'ure

solu'ions

9ntegrated 2.M- t'e (roposed $pproa*'



Con*eptual Design



T'e (ro*ess o& T'inking Development



noledge *apture 9ntegrate in&ormation on 09%maps

.ater Distribution %ystem

%eerage %ystem

$verage 4ours o& .ater

Langkah =. In'egrasi )a'a dan Informasi



Scenario : Iden'ifying Themes, Targe's, Po'en'ial

Policies, and Indica'ors

Langkah G. Penyusunan Skenario



Ela-ora'ing a Scenario

Boundaries•

Spatial•Temporal

Boundaries•Spatial•Temporal

Story of the Present •Historic context•Important features•Actors and events•Major issues of concern

Story of the Present •Historic context•Important features•Actors and events•

Major issues of concern

Driving Forces•Trends and processes

at play

Driving Forces•Trends and processes

at play

Important themes•Important elements

of the story

Important themes•Important elements

of the story

Images ofthe Future

Images ofthe Future

Critical Uncertainties•Resolution affects future course

Critical Uncertainties•Resolution affects future course

StakeholdersStakeholders

Narrative•Coherent vision

Quantification•Technical rigor

Narrative•Coherent visionQuantification•Technical rigor

S i I di ' * d K 'i' 'i l



Popula'ion

=

G

H

"

&

#!

#&"! %!!! %!%! %!<! %!G!

- i l l i o n

s o

f p e o p

l e Income

!

=,!!!

#!,!!!

#=,!!!

%!,!!!

#&"! %!!! %!%! %!<! %!G!

I p e r c a p

i ' a

Energy

!

%!!

<!!

G!!

"!!

#&"! %!!! %!%! %!<! %!G!

# !

# "

6 o u l e Fores' rea

$,=!!

$,H=!

<,!!!

<,%=!

#&"! %!!! %!%! %!<! %!G!

m i l l i o n h

a

Food

%,=!!

%,G!!

%,H!!

%,"!!

%,&!!

$,!!!

#&"! %!!! %!%! %!<! %!G!

k c a l 0 c a p i ' a

0 d a y

a'ional EJui'y

#&"! %!!! %!%! %!<! %!G!

i n c o m e o

f l o ; e s '

: h i g h e s '

a 5 e r a g e o 5 e r c o u n

' r i e s

# : "

# : G

# : #=

a'er S'ress

!

#

%

$

<

=

G

#&"! %!!! %!%! %!<! %!G!

- i l l i o n s o

f p e o p

l e

Creenhouse Cases

!

<

"

#%

#G

#&"! %!!! %!%! %!<! %!G!

* a r - o n

E m

i s s i o n s

. C ' * 1

unger

!.!

!.%

!.<

!.G

!."

#.!

#&"! %!!! %!%! %!<! %!G!

- i l l i o n s o

f p e o p

l e

(arke' Forces Polic 3eform Crea' Transi'ions

Scenario Indica'ors *ompared Kuan'i'a'i5ely



Langkah H (enggunakan Kuan'i'a'i5enalysis ToolsM

(CI**0S*ECE h''p:00;;;.cgd.ucar.edu0cas0;igley0magicc0

EP h''p:00;;;.;eap%#.org0

LEP h''p:00forums.sei-.org0leap0

I(P*T h''p:00;;;.ifpri.org0'hemes0impac'.h'm

I(CE h''p:00;;;.ciesin.org0da'ase's0ri5m0image%.!>home.h'ml

K/EST h''p:00;;;.en5ision'ools.com h''p:00;;;.-asinfu'ures.ne'0

IFs h''p:00;;;.du.edu0N-hughes0ifs.h'ml

IPT>S h''p:00ipa'>s.k->crea'i5e.ne'0

Poles'ar h''p:00;;;.sei-.org0poles'ar0

S'ella, Oensim, C(S, (a'la-, Ecel, e'c., e'c.,

e'c.

more specific

more generic

8Aample Tools-

http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/wigley/magicc/

http://www.weap21.org/

http://forums.seib.org/leap/

http://www.ifpri.org/themes/impact.htm

http://www.ciesin.org/datasets/rivm/image2.0-home.html

http://www.envisiontools.com/

http://www.basinfutures.net/

http://www.du.edu/~bhughes/ifs.html

http://ipat-s.kb-creative.net/

http://www.seib.org/polestar/

http://www.seib.org/polestar/

http://ipat-s.kb-creative.net/

http://www.du.edu/~bhughes/ifs.html

http://www.basinfutures.net/

http://www.envisiontools.com/

http://www.ciesin.org/datasets/rivm/image2.0-home.html

http://www.ifpri.org/themes/impact.htm

http://forums.seib.org/leap/

http://www.weap21.org/

http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/wigley/magicc/



C3+ dan Peru-ahan Iklim



Sum-er )aya ir



Perencanaan Energi



Generic Tools/System Dynamic: Contoh

Vensim, Stella, etc



Model Description Causal !oop Diagram

• (ain

feed-ackloops

• 3ed 'e'sand 'hick

arro;sindica'ene;ly addedi'ems.

40

"rice H

Demand H

Supply H

Relative#age

Total !a$or Supply

Supply M

"rice M

Demand M

%&

%&

&

%

&

%

&

"opulation

'ood per capita

(et )irth&

%

&

&

&

(aturalResource

Regenerating

&

&

&

&

%

&

Man madecapital

&

&

R

)

)

R

)

)

)

)

R

R

R

&Depreciation

&

%

)

Popula'ion

a'ural 3esource

ar5es'ing

La-or

(an>made *api'al (anufac'uring&

!a$or for H

!a$or for M

&

&

&

%

&

&



Au'pu'



Eample of Scenario End Pic'ure

Langkah ". (em-ua' Timeline



Eample of scenario 'imeline

rapat teknis finalisasi muatan raperpres cekungan bandung - asep sofyan2.pptx

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