tema vi (ing de yac iii)

8/10/2019 Tema Vi (Ing de Yac III)

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IGEIEA DE ACIIE III

EA I: D DE EDICCI

D: I. J .I

: 2 2012 (A)C: 001002 003004

FACLAD DE INGENIEIAECELA DE EOLEO


2/93

OFEO: ING. JOGE LI AMO (DOCENE INEIGADO) INGENIEA DE ACIMIENO III

, : , , , ,

.

1. IDCCI

TEMA VI: METODOS DE PREDICCION


3/93


4/93


E , . , .

2. E ED DE EDICCI EFEC



5/93


3. CAIFICACI DE D DE EDICCI DE ACED A AAIABE E AFECA E BEA


.

E G G G E B H, .


6/93


4. ED DE EDICCI A EDIA


M B L

M D

M

M C, G M


7/93


4. ED DE EDICCI DE BCEEEE


L :

E , , .

F , .

D .

L , , .

, .

L ( ), .


8/93




L .

F .

L

.


9/93




A

E

D


10/93




A ,

E

,


11/93




E

, A A ,


12/93




E

,


13/93




E

, A ,


14/93




E

, A


15/93




E

, A A ,


16/93




E

, ,


17/93




E

,


18/93




E

, A ,


19/93




E

A , A A ,


20/93




E

,


21/93




E

,


22/93




A :L :

1. C

.

2. C .

3. C , , , , (A) .


23/93




D :L :

1. , , .

2. , .

3. C , ,N , , A , , , .

4. 1,2 ,3 .

5. C A=A.

6. C , , , .


24/93


5. ED DE EDICCI DE DAA


E D

. :

E , ,

.

E , , : , .

F .

.


25/93




L .

L .

L .

L :


26/93




C

C K1>K2>K3>K


27/93


28/93




C C (I F)

(D IC)

NL

L

X

m

hL

hXhLC

totalArea

invadidaAreaCE

NL

mi

i

NL

i

i

m

i

NL

miiii

m

mvertical

+=

=

= +=

+=

+=

==

1

1

1 1*

L ::


29/93




(D IC)

=

=m

i

rw

w

iitwm

k

L

AKPq

1

3

*

***10*127.1

=

+

=m

i

ro

io

rw

iw

iitom

k

XL

kX

AKPq

1

3

**

***10*127.1

am

o

or

oi

oippm EC

SSVN **

==

pm

p

N

N pompm dNRAPW

1

**

wpmopmim WNW ** +=om

wmm

q

qRAP =

E :


30/93




(D IC)

E , . E . E :

1. O .

2. C M.

3. C (=1), C1 ,1 ,1 ,N1 ,A1 ,1 ,1 1.

4. 3 2,3,,NL.

5. .


31/93




C C (I F) A=1

(D GFIC)

C, A


32/93




C C (I F) A=5

(D GFIC)

C, A


33/93




C C (I F) A=25

(D GFIC)

C, A


34/93




C C (I F) A=100

(D GFIC)

C, A


35/93




C E B A

L , , ; , , . , , D . E , M

K .


36/93




C


37/93




C

G A N. E A=0, N

I


38/93




C


39/93




C

E :.


40/93




D GFIC DE D DE ECEACI

E , D C. E C.

L

45 60% ; , C

N

R p

=

oi

oip

p

SVRN

**=


41/93




D GFIC DE JH

J 1956 A M C *(1*A

0.2) . L , C.


42/93




D GFIC DE JH


43/93




D GFIC DE JH


44/93




CEDIIE AA A EDICCI

I

1. D C .

2. C M. C ( ).

3. C A: 1,5,25,100

4. C E M .


45/93




CEDIIE AA A EDICCI

I

5. C ,N, A.

6. A N, E A=0 , N .

7. I A N .

8. C =++*B, =N*B.


46/93




CEDIIE AA A EDICCI

I

10. C . E :


47/93




CEDIIE AA A EDICCI

, , , C A, E :

J

:

D J .E . L C.

oi

aoip

p

ESVRN

***=

oi

aoipp

ESVRN

***=


48/93


6. ED DE EDICCI


BEA


49/93



6. ED DE EDICCI

BEA


50/93



6. ED DE EDICCI

BEA


51/93



6. ED DE EDICCI

BEA


52/93



6. ED DE EDICCI

BEA


53/93



6. ED DE EDICCI

BEA


54/93


6. ED DE EDICCI DE IE


E 1949 ,

, , . L :

1. F L .

2. L .

3. C ,

; , , .

4. .

O OS CC O


55/93




4. E

.

5. L .

6. A .

D

.

, . L

TEMA VI METODOS DE PREDICCION


56/93




L

, . L . M, . :

TEMA VI METODOS DE PREDICCION


57/93




L 10 ( ). E 11 .



58/93




C



59/93




E B (E)

L :



60/93




D A A

E A :

D K = K =.

)1(*

*''

'

aa

aw

CMC

MCf

+=

W

O

a

a

C

MCRAP

*

)1(

*'

'

=



61/93




D

:

D

:

tww qfq = ( ) two qfq = 1

( )

oi

vaoroip

vadp

EESSV

EEENN

***

***

==



62/93




D

:

D

:

tww qfq = ( ) two qfq = 1

=

=

==

n

i avgo

pipi

n

i Q

NNtt

1

1

1



63/93



L :

1. A () (C)

2. D (10 ) C . E C =0, 0.1,0.2,.1.

3. C N, A, .




64/93



L :




65/93


L :




66/93


7. ED DE EDICCI DE CAIG, GEFFE E

E C, G M , , , 5 .

E , , : , ,

; 100 % .C . L 4 :

E 1: ,

, . E .



67/93



E 2: .

E 3: . L . A ,

. L 3.

E 4:C .

E . L .



68/93





69/93





70/93



C C, G


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tema vi (ing de yac iii)

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