proyeksi blok 50k ke 2017-2036

8/16/2019 Proyeksi Blok 50k Ke 2017-2036

1/10

PROYEKSI PENDUDUK BLOK I KECAMATAN SLA

Metode Aritmatik

Tahu !um"ah Peduduk Pertum#uha

Po Ka Ta$To !i%a &

2012 40589 0 0 43146 639.25 4

2013 41201 612 1.50779768 43146 639.25 3

2014 41656 455 1.10434213 43146 639.25 2

2015 42489 833 1.99971193 43146 639.25 1

2016 43146 657 1.54628257 43146 639.25 0

209081 2557 6.1581343

Ka = 639.25 r = 1.53953358

Metode Geometri


Po r !i%a &

2012 40589 0 0 43146 1.53953358 4

2013 41201 612 1.50779768 43146 1.53953358 32014 41656 455 1.10434213 43146 1.53953358 2

2015 42489 833 1.99971193 43146 1.53953358 1

2016 43146 657 1.54628257 43146 1.53953358 0

Metode Lea't S(uare

Tahu Tahu ke Y )Y )* a #

2012 1 40589 40589 1 39895.6 640.2

2013 2 41201 82402 4 39895.6 640.2

2014 3 41656 124968 9 39895.6 640.2

2015 4 42489 169956 16 39895.6 640.22016 5 43146 215730 25 39895.6 640.2

15 209081 633645 55

Rumu' Aritmatika Rumu' Geometri

P + Po , Ka-Ta$To. P + Po-/,r.0

KETERANGAN : KETERANGAN :

Pn = Jumlah pn!u!u" pa!a #ahun pr$%"&' r= ra#a(ra#a pr#um)uhan pn!u!u"

P$= Jumlah pn!u!u" pa!a a*al pr$%"&' P$=Jumlah pn!u!u" pa!a a*al pr$%

Ka= P$(Pn+Ta(T$ n= "urun *a"#u pr$%"&' Ta = Tahun a"h'r Pn= Jumlah pn!u!u" pa!a #ahun pr$

T$ =Tahun a*al

, =

, =


2/10

I KABUPATEN TEGAL

PTahu !m" Peduduk Yi Yi$mea -1i$mea.*

2012 40589 40589 (1227 1506020

40589 2013 41201 41228 (588 345685

41228 2014 41656 41868 51 2632

41868 2015 42489 42507 691 476859

42507 2016 43146 43146 1330 1768368

43146 209081 4099564.08

-an = 41816 #an!ar /'a&' = 905.49


2012 40589 40588 (1228 1507963

40588 2013 41201 41213 (603 363757

41213 2014 41656 41848 31 98441848 2015 42489 42492 676 456468

42492 2016 43146 43146 1330 1768368

43146 209081 4097539.61

-an = 41816.2 #an!ar /'a&' = 905.27

Y Tahu !m" Peduduk Yi Yi$mea -1i$mea.*

39896 2012 40589 39896 (1921 3688704

40536 2013 41201 40536 (1280 1639424

41176 2014 41656 41176 (640 409856

41816 2015 42489 41816 0 042456 2016 43146 42456 640 409856

209081 6147840.60

-an = 41816.2 #an!ar /'a&' = 1108.86

Rumu' La't S(uare

Y + a,#2

KETERANGAN:

"&' ) = n.(+n(

= n$mr !a#a #'ap #ahun "&'

, =

, =

, =

a = {(∑Y)(∑X(.+n(


3/10

Pro1ek'i Peduduk Metode Aritmatik Pro1ek'i Pe

Tahu Po Ka Ta$To P Tahu Po

2017 43146 639 1 43785 2017 43146

2018 43146 639 2 44425 2018 43146

2019 43146 639 3 45064 2019 43146

2020 43146 639 4 45703 2020 43146

2021 43146 639 5 46342 2021 43146

2022 43146 639 6 46982 2022 43146

2023 43146 639 7 47621 2023 43146

2024 43146 639 8 48260 2024 43146

2025 43146 639 9 48899 2025 43146

2026 43146 639 10 49539 2026 43146

2027 43146 639 11 50178 2027 43146

2028 43146 639 12 50817 2028 43146

2029 43146 639 13 51456 2029 431462030 43146 639 14 52096 2030 43146

2031 43146 639 15 52735 2031 43146

2032 43146 639 16 53374 2032 43146

2033 43146 639 17 54013 2033 43146

2034 43146 639 18 54653 2034 43146

2035 43146 639 19 55292 2035 43146

2036 43146 639 20 55931 2036 43146


4/10

duduk Metode Geometri Pro1ek'i Peduduk Metode Lea't S(u

r P Tahu ) a #

0.015395 1 43810 2017 5 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 2 44485 2018 6 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 3 45170 2019 7 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 4 45865 2020 8 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 5 46571 2021 9 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 6 47288 2022 10 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 7 48016 2023 11 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 8 48755 2024 12 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 9 49506 2025 13 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 10 50268 2026 14 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 11 51042 2027 15 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 12 51828 2028 16 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 13 52626 2029 17 39895.6 640.20.015395 14 53436 2030 18 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 15 54259 2031 19 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 16 55094 2032 20 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 17 55942 2033 21 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 18 56803 2034 22 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 19 57678 2035 23 39895.6 640.2

0.015395 20 58566 2036 24 39895.6 640.2


5/10

are

Y

43097

43737

44377

45017

45657

46298

46938

47578

48218

48858

49499

50139

5077951419

52059

52700

53340

53980

54620

55260


6/10

PROYEKSI PENDUDUK BLOK II KECAMATAN SLA

Metode Aritmatik


Po Ka Ta$To !i%a &

2012 28951 0 0 30488 384.25 4

2013 29282 331 1.14331111 30488 384.25 3

2014 29649 367 1.25332969 30488 384.25 2

2015 30131 482 1.62568721 30488 384.25 1

2016 30488 357 1.18482626 30488 384.25 0

148501 1537 5.20715427

Ka = 384.25 r = 1.30178857

Metode Geometri


Po r !i%a &

2012 28951 0 0 30488 1.30178857 4

2013 29282 331 1.14331111 30488 1.30178857 32014 29649 367 1.25332969 30488 1.30178857 2

2015 30131 482 1.62568721 30488 1.30178857 1

2016 30488 357 1.18482626 30488 1.30178857 0

Metode Lea't S(uare

Tahu Tahu ke Y )Y )* a #

2012 1 28951 28951 1 28523.3 392.3

2013 2 29282 58564 4 28523.3 392.3

2014 3 29649 88947 9 28523.3 392.3

2015 4 30131 120524 16 28523.3 392.32016 5 30488 152440 25 28523.3 392.3

15 148501 449426 55

Rumu' Aritmatika Rumu' Geometri

P + Po , Ka-Ta$To. P + Po-/,r.0

KETERANGAN : KETERANGAN :

Pn = Jumlah pn!u!u" pa!a #ahun pr$%"&' r= ra#a(ra#a pr#um)uhan pn!u!u"

P$= Jumlah pn!u!u" pa!a a*al pr$%"&' P$=Jumlah pn!u!u" pa!a a*al pr$%

Ka= P$(Pn+Ta(T$ n= "urun *a"#u pr$%"&' Ta = Tahun a"h'r Pn= Jumlah pn!u!u" pa!a #ahun pr$

T$ =Tahun a*al

, =

, =


7/10

I KABUPATEN TEGAL


2012 28951 28951 (749 561301

28951 2013 29282 29335 (365 133189

29335 2014 29649 29720 19 372

29720 2015 30131 30104 404 162853

30104 2016 30488 30488 788 620629

30488 148501 1478343.08

-an = 29700 #an!ar /'a&' = 543.75


2012 28951 28951 (749 561609

28951 2013 29282 29328 (373 138777

29328 2014 29649 29709 9 8629709 2015 30131 30096 396 156825

30096 2016 30488 30488 788 620629

30488 148501 1477925.04

-an = 29700.2 #an!ar /'a&' = 543.68

Y Tahu !m" Peduduk Yi Yi$mea -1i$mea.*

28523 2012 28951 28523 (1177 1385094

28916 2013 29282 28916 (785 615597

29308 2014 29649 29308 (392 153899

29700 2015 30131 29700 0 030093 2016 30488 30093 392 153899

148501 2308489.35

-an = 29700.2 #an!ar /'a&' = 679.48

Rumu' La't S(uare

Y + a,#2

KETERANGAN:

"&' ) = n.(+n(

= n$mr !a#a #'ap #ahun "&'

, =

, =

, =

a = {(∑Y)(∑X(.+n(


8/10

Pro1ek'i Peduduk Metode Aritmatik Pro1ek'i Pe

Tahu Po Ka Ta$To P Tahu Po

2017 30488 384 1 30872 2017 30488

2018 30488 384 2 31257 2018 30488

2019 30488 384 3 31641 2019 30488

2020 30488 384 4 32025 2020 30488

2021 30488 384 5 32409 2021 30488

2022 30488 384 6 32794 2022 30488

2023 30488 384 7 33178 2023 30488

2024 30488 384 8 33562 2024 30488

2025 30488 384 9 33946 2025 30488

2026 30488 384 10 34331 2026 30488

2027 30488 384 11 34715 2027 30488

2028 30488 384 12 35099 2028 30488

2029 30488 384 13 35483 2029 304882030 30488 384 14 35868 2030 30488

2031 30488 384 15 36252 2031 30488

2032 30488 384 16 36636 2032 30488

2033 30488 384 17 37020 2033 30488

2034 30488 384 18 37405 2034 30488

2035 30488 384 19 37789 2035 30488

2036 30488 384 20 38173 2036 30488


9/10

duduk Metode Geometri Pro1ek'i Peduduk Metode Lea't S(u

r P Tahu ) a #

0.013018 1 30885 2017 5 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 2 31287 2018 6 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 3 31694 2019 7 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 4 32107 2020 8 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 5 32525 2021 9 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 6 32948 2022 10 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 7 33377 2023 11 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 8 33812 2024 12 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 9 34252 2025 13 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 10 34698 2026 14 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 11 35149 2027 15 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 12 35607 2028 16 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 13 36070 2029 17 28523.3 392.30.013018 14 36540 2030 18 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 15 37016 2031 19 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 16 37498 2032 20 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 17 37986 2033 21 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 18 38480 2034 22 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 19 38981 2035 23 28523.3 392.3

0.013018 20 39489 2036 24 28523.3 392.3


10/10

are

Y

30485

30877

31269

31662

32054

32446

32839

33231

33623

34016

34408

34800

3519235585

35977

36369

36762

37154

37546

37939

proyeksi blok 50k ke 2017-2036

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