lole lolp keandalan sistem tenaga listrik
TRANSCRIPT
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8/17/2019 LOLE LOLP keandalan sistem tenaga listrik
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Agung Try Laksono 2213105009Kehandalan
1. Hitung LOLE dengan peak load 10 !" dengan kapa sitas terpasang 200
#$
( x1, y 1 )=(0,180)
( x2, y2 )=(100,64)
y− y1
y 2− y1=
x− x1
x2− x 1
y−180
64−180=
x−0
100−0
y−180
−116=
x
100
100 ( y−180)= x−116
100 y−18000= x−116
x=100 y−18000
−116
indi%idual pro&a&ility denga 'O()0*01
+)1,0*01)0*99-)0*01
0 1 +5-0 1 0*995 ) 0*950991/0 5 +/-1 5 0*99/ 0*011 ) 0*0/0290 10 +3-2 10 0*993 0*012 ) 0*0091120 10 +2-3 10 0*992 0*013 ) 0*00000910 5 +1-/ 5 0*991 0*01/ ) 0*00000009/5200 1 +0-5 1 0*990 0*015 ) 0*0000000001
Total Ti#e tk 4apa6itiy in ser%i6e
200 !" tk ) 0
10 !" tk )100 (160)−18000
−116=17,24
120 !" tk )100 (120 )−18000
−116=51,72
0 !" tk )100 (80 )−18000
−116=86,21
/0 !" tk )71000 !" tk )7100
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8/17/2019 LOLE LOLP keandalan sistem tenaga listrik
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Agung Try Laksono 2213105009Kehandalan
Capacitiy
Out of
service
(MW)
Capacitiy
In service
(MW)
Individual
Probabilit
y
Total Time
tk (%)
LOL (%)
0 200 0*950991 0/0 10 0*0/029 17,24 0*0*20199
0 120 0*0091 51,72 0.502201
120 0 0*000009 86,21 0*00005
910 /0 0*0000000
9/5
100 0*000009/5
200 0 0*0000000
001
100 0*00000000
01LOL TOT!L "#$&"'"
'&
Kon%ersi kedala# tahunLOLE Hr8Thn4 ) "#$&"'"'&% *+
, *#-"$.-* /r0t/n
2. Hitung LOLE dengan peak load 10 !" dengan kapa sitas terpasang 200
#$
( x1, y 1 )=(0,180)
( x2, y2 )=(100,64)
y− y1
y 2− y1=
x− x1
x2− x 1
y−160
64−160=
x−0
100−0
y−1860−96
= x
100
100 ( y−160)= x−96
100 y−16000= x−96
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8/17/2019 LOLE LOLP keandalan sistem tenaga listrik
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Agung Try Laksono 2213105009Kehandalan
x=100 y−16000
−96
indi%idual pro&a&ility denga 'O()0*03+)1,0*03)0*9-)0*03
0 1 +5-0 1 0*95 ) 0*53/0/0 5 +/-1 5 0*9/ 0*031 ) 0*3913290 10 +3-2 10 0*93 0*032 ) 0*0021/1120 10 +2-3 10 0*92 0*033 ) 0*0002/5010 5 +1-/ 5 0*91 0*03/ ) 0*00000/9200 1 +0-5 1 0*90 0*035 ) 0*00000002
Total Ti#e tk 4apa6itiy in ser%i6e200 !" tk ) 0
10 !" tk ) 0
120 !" tk )100 (120 )−18000
−116=41,67
0 !" tk )100 (80 )−18000
−116=83 ,4
/0 !" tk )71000 !" tk )7100
Capacitiy
Out ofservice
(MW)
Capacitiy
In service(MW)
Individual
Probability
Total Time
tk (%)
LOL (%)
0 200 0*53/0 0/0 10 0*391329 0 0
0 120 0*0021/1 41,67 0
120 0 0*0002/50 83,4 0*3/2215/
10 /0 0*00000/9 100 0*000/9200 0 0*0000000
2
100 0*000002
LOL TOT!L "#**'"+
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8/17/2019 LOLE LOLP keandalan sistem tenaga listrik
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Agung Try Laksono 2213105009Kehandalan
.
Kon%ersi kedala# tahunLOLE Hr8Thn4 ) "#**'"+.% *+
, '#*-+**$$& /r0t/n