ekonometrika - yoga sanjaya (tugas kelas 03 juni 2016)

7/25/2019 Ekonometrika - Yoga Sanjaya (Tugas Kelas 03 Juni 2016)

1/36


2/36

47 418.182 444.084 6.0359167445

48 427.273 453.265 6.0574231532

49 436.364 463.31 6.0784767574

50 445.455 472.969 6.0990962317

51 454.546 482.439 6.1192991186

52 463.636 491.758 6.1390997616

53 472.727 501.581 6.1585180548

54 481.818 510.945 6.1775664494

55 490.909 520.762 6.1962587746

56 500 531.02 6.2146080984

57 509.091 539.782 6.2326267825

58 518.182 550.235 6.2503265319

59 527.273 559.563 6.267718441

60 536.364 569 6.2848130351

61 545.455 578.798 6.3016203087

62 554.545 587.946 6.3181479577

63 563.636 598.419 6.3344086531

64 572.727 607.679 6.3504091634

65 581.818 616.941 6.366157684

66 590.909 627.46 6.3816620292

67 600 636.359 6.3969296552

68 609.091 646.169 6.4119676818

69 618.182 655.586 6.4267829125

70 627.273 665.127 6.4413818526

71 636.363 675.115 6.4557691552

72 645.454 685.118 6.4699539452

73 654.545 694.45 6.4839403378

74 663.636 704.15 6.4977338064

75 672.727 713.994 6.511339601

76 681.818 723.138 6.5247627601

77 690.909 733.144 6.5380081219

78 700 742.442 6.551080335

79 709.09 751.889 6.5639824578

80 718.181 762.311 6.5767216264

81 727.272 771.316 6.5893005479

82 736.363 781.117 6.6017232037

83 745.454 790.826 6.6139934287

84 754.545 800.404 6.6261149186

85 763.636 809.78 6.6380912358

86 772.727 819.438 6.6499258167

87 781.818 829.122 6.6616219769

88 790.908 838.556 6.6731816525

89 799.999 848.705 6.6846104777

90 809.09 858.489 6.6959101593

91 818.181 867.642 6.7070835835

92 827.272 876.98 6.7181335406

93 836.363 887.38 6.7290627294

94 845.454 897.078 6.7398737612


3/36

95 854.545 906.554 6.7505691635

96 863.635 915.931 6.7611502258

97 872.726 925.588 6.7716216463

98 881.817 935.222 6.7819845515

99 890.908 944.776 6.7922411674

100 899.999 954.698 6.8023936522

Sum 44999.984 47760.708 577.6544392996

Mean (Bar) 449.99984 477.60708 5.776544393

n 100

Sx 1.0918717545

Sy 1.175010429

r 0.9936209433 y'Caping(i) = i ! Bi " #i

r$ 0.9872825789 = %0&3535 ! 1&069

Sanar e*ia+i'Caping 0.1331820839

Bi 1.0692784808

i %0.3534791

+e(B1'Caping) 0.0720564071

+e(B2'Caping) 0.0122590432

(,iung) 87.6675377433

(a-e) 2.306

(,iung)"+e(B2'Caping) 0.0282693537

(,iung)"+e(B1'Caping) 0.1661620748

1.0692784808 / 0.0282693537

1.0570194375 = B2'Cpg= 1.081537524

B1'Caping/2"+e(B1) %3.5680652562 / 0.1661620748

%0.4255355071 = B1'Cpg= %0.2814226929

yCaping(i) = B1'Caping ! B2'Caping " #i

= 40&5129 ! 1&07188 #i

ari Bi yang i apa

menunuan -a,

+a,am er+e-u u

arena niai Bii

B2'Caping/2"+e(B2)


4/36

-1.4610179073 0 2.1345733255 %5.776544393 %7.2842734199 33.36846512

2.3480363559 4.872106688 5.5132747286 %3.5692594799 %3.4752191567 12.73961323

2.9820896345 8.41250633 8.8928585883 %2.8761122993 %2.8411658781 8.272021958

3.387470261 10.92895631 11.4749547694

%2.4706471912 %2.4357852516 6.1040975433.678526042 12.913812 13.5315538419 %2.1829651187 %2.1447294706 4.76533671

3.8964219392 14.56737313 15.1821039283 %1.9598215674 %1.9268335734 3.840900576

4.0667163951 15.99220934 16.5381822382 %1.7775183439 %1.7565391175 3.159571463

4.2164441939 17.2488987 17.7784016401 %1.6233650451 %1.6068113187 2.635314069

4.3530354213 18.37590581 18.9489173793 %1.4898316881 %1.4702200913 2.219598459

4.4709871525 19.39959619 19.989726118 %1.3720471247 %1.3522683601 1.882513312

4.5745460164 20.33882826 20.9264712566 %1.2666853868 %1.2487094962 1.604491869

4.6741177231 21.20759244 21.8473764895 %1.171374207 %1.1491377895 1.372117533

4.7558634673 22.01657564 22.6182373198 %1.0843619967 %1.0673920453 1.17584094

4.8323137267 22.77413917 23.3512559529 %1.0043185839 %0.9909417859 1.008655818

4.9105570987 23.48695698 24.1135710194 %0.9302100073 %0.9126984139 0.865290658

4.9803478932 24.16044719 24.8038651369 %0.861216612 %0.8429076195 0.741694053

5.0457771873 24.79907295 25.4598674243 %0.7966776326 %0.7774783253 0.63469525

5.1007258145 25.40649222 26.0174038351 %0.7360590769 %0.7225296981 0.541782965

5.1590725404 25.98597893 26.6160294776 %0.6788999441 %0.6641829722 0.460905134

5.2138482099 26.54013976 27.1842131561 %0.6248320796 %0.6094073027 0.390415128

5.2624984607 27.07127338 27.6938900487 %0.5735382063 %0.5607570519 0.328946074

5.3129251514 27.58137041 28.2271736648 %0.5247475183 %0.5103303612 0.275359958

5.3586831313 28.07216692 28.715484902 %0.4782270264 %0.4645723813 0.228701089

5.4048911459 28.54518661 29.2128482991 %0.4337748291 %0.4183643667 0.1881606025.4467503026 29.00177465 29.6670888591 %0.3912148161 %0.37650521 0.153049032

5.4890410266 29.44312485 30.1295713918 %0.3503924549 %0.334214486 0.122774872

5.5253453636 29.87030192 30.5294413873 %0.3111714033 %0.297910149 0.096827642

5.5640183656 30.28425964 30.9583003729 %0.273430762 %0.259237147 0.074764382

5.598603424 30.68585602 31.3443602994 %0.2370628268 %0.2246520886 0.056198784

5.6370050045 31.07582359 31.7758254207 %0.2019750291 %0.1862505081 0.040793912

5.6682796416 31.45495027 32.1293940955 %0.1680730981 %0.154975871 0.028248566

5.702184532 31.823831 32.5149084365 %0.1352829205 %0.1210709807 0.018301469

5.7343957369 32.18304817 32.8832944678 %0.1035338895 %0.0888597757 0.010719266

5.7644949358 32.53313452 33.2294018643 %0.0727619183 %0.0587605769 0.0052942975.7931111646 32.87457871 33.5601369654 %0.0429086611 %0.030144348 0.001841153

5.8231642317 33.20783013 33.9092416691 %0.0139208469 %9.1280935%005 0.00019379

5.8504970033 33.53330308 34.2283151855 0.014250292 0.0272414907 0.000203071

5.8790626322 33.85138034 34.5633774335 0.0416495139 0.0558071196 0.001734682

5.9036437517 34.16241634 34.8530095472 0.0683179957 0.0803882391 0.004667349

5.9303574652 34.46673997 35.1691396648 0.0942937048 0.1071019526 0.008891303

5.956189639 34.76462453 35.4761950159 0.1196089743 0.1329341264 0.014306307

5.9804566823 35.05642029 35.7658621284 0.1443018552 0.1572011697 0.020823025

6.004304264 35.34235982 36.0516696949 0.1683996623 0.1810487514 0.028358446

6.0288735239 35.62269139 36.3473159672 0.1919304033 0.2056180113 0.036837286.0522256302 35.89764742 36.6294350789 0.2149201541 0.2289701176 0.046190673

6 0734822263 36 16744576 36 8871863534 0 2373932322 0 2502267137 0 056355547

ln'y ln'x ln'y ln'x-ln'xbar ln'y-ln'ybar ln'x-ln'xbar)


5/36

6.0960137337 36.43229095 37.1613834418 0.2593723515 0.2727582211 0.067274017

6.1164769434 36.69237526 37.4112901992 0.2808787602 0.2932214308 0.078892878

6.1383963765 36.94787969 37.6799100747 0.3019323644 0.3151408639 0.091163153

6.1590298472 37.19897484 37.9336486591 0.3225518387 0.3357743346 0.104039689

6.1788544879 37.4458217 38.1782427828 0.3427547256 0.3555989753 0.117480802

6.1979867256 37.68854588 38.4150394503 0.3625553686 0.374731213 0.131446395

6.2177651098 37.92734463 38.6606029608 0.3819736619 0.3945095972 0.145903878

6.2362619523 38.16232724 38.8909631379 0.4010220564 0.4130064397 0.16081869

6.2552931236 38.3936228 39.1286920617 0.4197143816 0.432037611 0.176160162

6.2747996853 38.62135382 39.3731110908 0.4380637054 0.4515441727 0.19189981

6.2911653543 38.84563661 39.5787615157 0.4560823895 0.4679098417 0.208011146

6.3103454597 39.06658176 39.8204598207 0.4737821389 0.4870899471 0.224469515

6.3271561219 39.28429446 40.0329045915 0.491174048 0.5039006093 0.241251945

6.3438804341 39.49887489 40.2448189625 0.5082686421 0.5206249215 0.258337013

6.3609535393 39.71041852 40.4617299295 0.5250759157 0.5376980267 0.275704717

6.3766351069 39.91899362 40.6614752871 0.5416035647 0.5533795943 0.293334421

6.3942911775 40.12473298 40.8869596626 0.5578642601 0.5710356649 0.311212533

6.409646782 40.32769654 41.0835718703 0.5738647704 0.5863912694 0.329320775

6.4247733953 40.52796366 41.2777131815 0.5896132911 0.6015178827 0.347643833

6.441679924 40.72561026 41.4952402427 0.6051176362 0.6184244113 0.366167354

6.4557628695 40.92070901 41.6768742272 0.6203852622 0.6325073569 0.384877874

6.4710610795 41.11332955 41.8746314943 0.6354232888 0.6478055669 0.403762756

6.4855294922 41.3035386 42.0620927936 0.6502385195 0.6622739795 0.422810132

6.4999779999 41.49140017 42.2497139987 0.6648374596 0.6767224873 0.442008848

6.5148830467 41.67695539 42.4437011126 0.6792247622 0.6916275341 0.461346278

6.5295910862 41.86030405 42.635559753 0.6934095522 0.7063355736 0.480816807

6.5431201654 42.0414823 42.8124214984 0.7073959448 0.7198646528 0.500409023

6.5569914016 42.22054462 42.9941362412 0.7211894134 0.733735889 0.52011417

6.5708745589 42.3975434 43.1763924694 0.734795208 0.7476190463 0.539923998

6.5836000753 42.57252908 43.3437899517 0.7482183671 0.7603445627 0.559830725

6.5973421355 42.7455502 43.5249232532 0.7614637289 0.7740866229 0.57982701

6.6099447531 42.91665356 43.6913696397 0.774535942 0.7866892405 0.599905926

6.6225887067 43.08586571 43.8586811777 0.7874380648 0.7993331941 0.620058706

6.6363546089 43.25326735 44.0412024951 0.8001772334 0.8130990963 0.640283605

6.6480981469 43.41888171 44.1972089711 0.8127561549 0.8248426343 0.660572567

6.6607249466 43.58274926 44.3652568137 0.8251788107 0.8374694339 0.68092007

6.6730779689 43.74490908 44.5299695784 0.8374490358 0.8498224562 0.701320887

6.6851166002 43.90539891 44.6907839582 0.8495705256 0.8618610876 0.721770078

6.6967626058 44.06425526 44.8466293989 0.8615468428 0.8735070932 0.742262962

6.7086187394 44.22151337 45.0055653911 0.8733814237 0.8853632268 0.762795111

6.7203673096 44.37720736 45.1633367755 0.8850775839 0.897111797 0.78336233

6.731681365 44.53135337 45.3155339994 0.8966372595 0.9084258523 0.803958375

6.7437116583 44.68401724 45.4776469306 0.9080660847 0.9204561457 0.824584014

6.7551738672 44.83521286 45.6323739762 0.9193657663 0.9319183546 0.845233412

6.7657791872 44.9849702 45.7757680098 0.9305391905 0.9425236746 0.865903185

6.7764841871 45.13331827 45.9207379379 0.9415891476 0.9532286745 0.886590123

6.7882733009 45.28028522 46.0806544083 0.9525183364 0.9650177883 0.907291181

6.7991428148 45.42589832 46.228343016 0.9633293682 0.9758873022 0.928003472


6/36

6.8096505982 45.57018403 46.3713412695 0.9740247705 0.9863950856 0.948724254

6.8199410343 45.71315238 46.5115957117 0.9846058328 0.9966855217 0.969448646

6.8304292112 45.85485972 46.6547632097 0.9950772533 1.0071736986 0.99017874

6.8407839343 45.99531446 46.7963248352 1.0054401585 1.0175284216 1.010909912

6.8509478624 46.13454008 46.9354866128 1.0156967744 1.0276923497 1.031639937

6.8613950601 46.2725594 47.0787421708 1.0258492592 1.0381395475 1.052366703

582.3255513 3454.8727 3527.714778 2.6645353%014 %1.8118840%013 118.0262089

5.823255513 34.548727 35.27714778 0 %1.6076029%015 1.180262089

#i

,arga

p agre+i

0 1 2 3 4 5

%2

%1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Trendline


7/36

Y'Caping Y-Y'Caping (Y-Y'Caping)

53.06063926 42.0779287809 %0.3534791 %1.107538807 1.2266422098

12.07714819 12.4039589197 2.00672316 0.341313197 0.1164946987

8.072223547 8.1715121263 2.74789052 0.234199112 0.054849224

5.933049792 6.0179659901 3.18144564 0.206024624 0.04244614554.599864502 4.6818696234 3.48905789 0.189468155 0.0358981818

3.71268762 3.776249994 3.72766048 0.168761455 0.0284804286

3.085429671 3.1222805032 3.9225934 0.144122997 0.0207714382

2.581842614 2.6084413288 4.0874262 0.12901799 0.0166456418

2.161547117 2.1903804805 4.23021055 0.122824873 0.0150859494

1.828629718 1.8553759153 4.35615505 0.114832105 0.0131864123

1.559275406 1.5817220712 4.46881609 0.10572993 0.0111788181

1.320517659 1.3460703669 4.57073028 0.103387443 0.0106889634

1.139325778 1.1574393695 4.66377056 0.092092903 0.0084811028

0.981965623 0.9952212512 4.74935926 0.082954464 0.0068814430.833018395 0.8490011983 4.82860197 0.08195513 0.0067166433

0.710493255 0.7259260443 4.90237512 0.077972771 0.006079753

0.604472546 0.6193995916 4.97138526 0.074391923 0.0055341583

0.522049165 0.5318245426 5.03620338 0.064522433 0.0041631444

0.441139021 0.4509137827 5.09732241 0.061750129 0.0038130784

0.371377261 0.3807772323 5.15513602 0.058712194 0.0034471217

0.314448471 0.3216155937 5.20998345 0.05251501 0.0027578263

0.260437078 0.2677945905 5.26215428 0.050770868 0.002577681

0.215827497 0.2221710685 5.31189764 0.046785487 0.0021888818

0.175028743 0.1814759317 5.35942942 0.045461724 0.00206676830.141756173 0.1472944165 5.40493793 0.041812374 0.0017482746

0.111699323 0.1171062342 5.4485884 0.040452626 0.0016364149

0.088750457 0.0927011191 5.49052663 0.034818736 0.0012123444

0.067203898 0.0708834106 5.53088188 0.033136483 0.0010980265

0.050468561 0.0532566592 5.56976933 0.028834091 0.0008314048

0.034689252 0.0376179518 5.60728796 0.029717044 0.0008831027

0.024017521 0.0260472748 5.64353857 0.024741076 0.0006121208

0.014658182 0.0163788358 5.6786004 0.023584135 0.0005562114

0.00789606 0.0091999982 5.71254895 0.021846784 0.000477282

0.003452805 0.0042755323 5.74545276 0.019042177 0.00036260450.000908682 0.0012934536 5.7773742 0.01573696 0.0002476519

8.3322%009 1.270707926429%006 5.80837025 0.014793981 0.0002188619

0.000742099 0.0003881992 5.83849304 0.01200396 0.0001440951

0.003114435 0.0023243394 5.86779044 0.011272191 0.0001270623

0.006462269 0.0054919634 5.89630648 0.007337276 5.38356257%005

0.011470828 0.0100990399 5.92408174 0.006275723 3.93847013%005

0.017671482 0.0159001145 5.95115081 0.005038824 2.53897480%005

0.024712208 0.0226844204 5.97755438 0.002902301 8.42335204%006

0.03277865 0.0304885486 6.00332165 0.000982616 9.65534904%007

0.042278767 0.0394643478 6.02848256 0.000390961 1.52850667%0070.052427315 0.049210293 6.05306501 %0.000839378 7.04555903%007

0 062613408 0 0594021283 6 07709499 0 003612761 0 000013052

ln'y-ln'ybar) -ln'xbar)*(ln'y-ln'y


8/36

0.074397047 0.0707459412 6.10059679 %0.004583053 2.10043731%005

0.085978807 0.0823596719 6.12359313 %0.007116183 5.06400632%005

0.099313764 0.0951512262 6.14610529 %0.007708916 5.94273870%005

0.112744404 0.108304629 6.16815325 %0.009123405 8.32365269%005

0.126450631 0.1218832292 6.18975576 %0.010901277 0.0001188378

0.140423482 0.135860813 6.21092817 %0.012941441 0.0001674809

0.155637822 0.1506922755 6.23169173 %0.01392662 0.0001939507

0.170574319 0.1656246918 6.25205977 %0.015797815 0.000249571

0.186656497 0.1813323987 6.27204707 %0.016753945 0.0002806947

0.20389214 0.1978051135 6.29166761 %0.016867921 0.0002845267

0.21893962 0.2134054387 6.3109346 %0.019769243 0.000390823

0.237256617 0.230774517 6.32986056 %0.019515099 0.0003808391

0.253915824 0.2475029021 6.34845735 %0.02130123 0.0004537424

0.271050309 0.2646173219 6.36673623 %0.0228558 0.0005223876

0.289119168 0.2823322838 6.38470789 %0.023754351 0.0005642692

0.306228975 0.2997123609 6.40238055 %0.025745442 0.0006628278

0.326081731 0.3185603887 6.41976776 %0.025476584 0.0006490563

0.343854721 0.3365092912 6.43687676 %0.02722998 0.0007414718

0.361823763 0.3546629385 6.45371632 %0.028942921 0.0008376927

0.382448753 0.374219518 6.47029478 %0.028614855 0.00081881

0.400065557 0.3923982425 6.48662012 %0.030857254 0.0009521701

0.419652052 0.4116307438 6.50269996 %0.031638882 0.0010010189

0.438606824 0.430636052 6.51854157 %0.033012077 0.0010897972

0.457953325 0.4499104593 6.5341519 %0.034173901 0.0011678555

0.478348646 0.4697705474 6.54953593 %0.034652888 0.0012008226

0.498909943 0.4897798338 6.56470343 %0.035112339 0.0012328763

0.518205118 0.5092293361 6.57965877 %0.036538608 0.0013350699

0.538368355 0.5291625554 6.59440783 %0.037416431 0.0013999893

0.558934238 0.5493468926 6.60895622 %0.038081657 0.0014502126

0.578123854 0.5689037671 6.62330931 %0.039709236 0.0015768234

0.5992101 0.5894388864 6.63747229 %0.040130156 0.0016104294

0.618879961 0.609319092 6.65145013 %0.041505375 0.0017226961

0.638933555 0.6294253835 6.66524609 %0.042657384 0.0018196524

0.66113014 0.6506233854 6.67886781 %0.0425132 0.0018073722

0.680365371 0.6703959278 6.69231818 %0.044220032 0.0019554112

0.701355053 0.6910620315 6.70560146 %0.044876511 0.0020139012

0.722198207 0.7116829965 6.71872175 %0.045643776 0.0020833543

0.742804534 0.7322117772 6.73168299 %0.046566393 0.002168429

0.763014642 0.7525672784 6.74448901 %0.047726406 0.0022778098

0.783868043 0.7732597956 6.75714347 %0.048524735 0.0023546499

0.804809576 0.7940135417 6.76964993 %0.049282617 0.0024287764

0.825237529 0.8145284667 6.78201044 %0.050329074 0.0025330157

0.847239516 0.8358350083 6.79423104 %0.050519378 0.0025522075

0.86847182 0.8567738322 6.80631354 %0.051139675 0.0026152664

0.888350877 0.8770552172 6.81826104 %0.052481857 0.0027543454

0.908644906 0.8975497751 6.83007653 %0.053592339 0.0028721388

0.931259332 0.9191971383 6.84176287 %0.053489571 0.0028611342

0.952356027 0.9401008982 6.85332288 %0.054180061 0.002935479


9/36

0.972975265 0.9607732469 6.86475924 %0.055108641 0.0030369623

0.993382029 0.9813423782 6.87607334 %0.056132307 0.0031508359

1.014398859 1.0022156376 6.88727021 %0.056840995 0.0032308987

1.035364089 1.0230639375 6.89835104 %0.057567104 0.0033139714

1.056151566 1.0438238047 6.90931822 %0.058370354 0.0034070982

1.07773372 1.0649746858 6.92017405 %0.05877899 0.0034549697

136.6843013 126.2028853519 582.325551 %1.7342%013 1.7382718115

1.366843013 1.2620288535 5.82325551 %1.7342%015 0.0173827181

6 7 8

0 100 200 300 400 500 6000

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Chart Title


10/36


11/36


12/36

00 800 900 1000


13/36

No. x y

1 1 2.714984 0

2 2 2.429597 0.6931471806

3 3 2.240912 1.0986122887

4 4 2.051545 1.3862943611

5 5 1.631695 1.6094379124

6 6 1.587742 1.7917594692

7 7 1.48354 1.9459101491

8 8 1.45693 2.0794415417

9 9 1.414332 2.1972245773

10 10 1.46425 2.302585093

11 11 1.367713 2.3978952728

12 12 1.351799 2.4849066498

13 13 1.210635 2.5649493575

14 14 1.331779 2.6390573296

15 15 1.326929 2.7080502011

16 16 1.263458 2.7725887222

17 17 1.166279 2.8332133441

18 18 1.228939 2.8903717579

19 19 1.137756 2.9444389792

20 20 1.087664 2.9957322736

21 21 1.053441 3.0445224377

22 22 1.014831 3.0910424534

23 23 1.029253 3.1354942159

24 24 0.995069 3.178053830325 25 1.117022 3.2188758249

26 26 1.010563 3.258096538

27 27 0.943396 3.295836866

28 28 1.005002 3.3322045102

29 29 0.915283 3.36729583

30 30 1.031923 3.4011973817

31 31 0.872133 3.4339872045

32 32 0.964909 3.4657359028

33 33 0.869083 3.4965075615

34 34 0.884254 3.526360524635 35 0.955646 3.5553480615

36 36 0.896753 3.5835189385

37 37 0.851862 3.6109179126

38 38 0.978747 3.6375861597

39 39 0.801378 3.6635616461

40 40 0.88659 3.6888794541

41 41 0.856537 3.7135720667

42 42 0.790937 3.7376696183

43 43 0.809017 3.7612001157

44 44 0.870961 3.784189633945 45 0.813478 3.8066624898

46 46 0 768091 3 8286413965

ln'x


14/36

47 47 0.769241 3.8501476017

48 48 0.777897 3.8712010109

49 49 0.783198 3.8918202981

50 50 0.804985 3.9120230054

51 51 0.744025 3.9318256327

52 52 0.731475 3.9512437186

53 53 0.781849 3.9702919136

54 54 0.796137 3.9889840466

55 55 0.850995 4.0073331852

56 56 0.781471 4.0253516907

57 57 0.705922 4.0430512678

58 58 0.797109 4.0604430105

59 59 0.838609 4.0775374439

60 60 0.801312 4.0943445622

61 61 0.749579 4.1108738642

62 62 0.686223 4.127134385

63 63 0.725704 4.1431347264

64 64 0.737114 4.1588830834

65 65 0.74882 4.1743872699

66 66 0.793329 4.189654742

67 67 0.744976 4.2046926194

68 68 0.674705 4.2195077052

69 69 0.689183 4.2341065046

70 70 0.683737 4.248495242

71 71 0.736062 4.262679877

72 72 0.741674 4.276666119

73 73 0.755646 4.2904594411

74 74 0.705262 4.3040650932

75 75 0.755773 4.3174881135

76 76 0.715965 4.3307333403

77 77 0.698079 4.3438054219

78 78 0.710622 4.3567088267

79 79 0.703204 4.3694478525

80 80 0.695325 4.3820266347

81 81 0.749377 4.3944491547

82 82 0.750485 4.4067192473

83 83 0.724753 4.4188406078

84 84 0.674036 4.4308167988

85 85 0.66562 4.4426512565

86 86 0.733331 4.4543472963

87 87 0.707731 4.4659081187

88 88 0.67737 4.4773368145

89 89 0.733825 4.4886363697

90 90 0.687378 4.4998096703

91 91 0.720413 4.5108595065

92 92 0.601604 4.521788577

93 93 0.726465 4.5325994932

94 94 0.725429 4.5432947823


15/36

95 95 0.672688 4.5538768916

96 96 0.710423 4.5643481915

97 97 0.685268 4.5747109785

98 98 0.638891 4.5849674787

99 99 0.701806 4.5951198501

100 100 0.597781 4.605170186

Sum 5050 94.234518 363.7393755556

Mean (Bar) 50.5 0.94234518 3.6373937556

n 100 i = +p:nen+ia ( i

Sx 0.9280531851 2.9278076003

Sy 0.3087117927 Bi = +p:nen+ia ( Bi

r %0.9826421741 0.7211771151

r$ 0.9655856422

Sanar e*ia+i'Caping 0.057560905 y'Caping(i) = i ! Bi " #i

B" %0.3268705199 = 2&9278 ! 0&7212

" 1.0742538837

+e(B1'Caping) 0.0233931883

+e(B2'Caping) 0.0062335745

(,iung) %52.7039496261

(a-e) 2

(,iung)"+e(B2'Caping) 0.0143746227

(,iung)"+e(B1'Caping) 0.0539446921

%0.3268705199 / 0.0143746227

%0.3331040943 = B2'Cpg= %0.3206369454

B1'Caping/2"+e(B1) 17.4493064346 / 0.0539446921

1.0508606954 = B1'Cpg= 1.0976470719

yCaping(i) = B1'Caping ! B2'Caping " #i

= 10&98204 ! (%0&3633) #i

ii,a ari niai Bi +

+a,am er,aap ,ar

;1&3& arena apa

ea, iea+an -a,

ma+yaraa erari

namun ia ,arga i

er+e-u.

B2'Caping/2"+e(B2)


16/36

0.9987860602 0 0.997573594 %3.6373937556 1.1134889645 13.23063333

0.8877254 0.480453014 0.7880563858 %2.944246575 1.0024283043 8.668587894

0.8068829259 1.206948961 0.6510600561 %2.5387814669 0.9215858301 6.445411337

0.7185931678 1.921812056 0.5163761409

%2.2510993944 0.8332960721 5.0674484840.4896193518 2.590290394 0.2397271097 %2.0279558431 0.6043222561 4.112604902

0.4623128811 3.210401996 0.2137332 %1.8456342863 0.5770157854 3.406365919

0.3944311236 3.786566308 0.1555759113 %1.6914836065 0.5091340279 2.861116791

0.3763314821 4.324077125 0.1416253844 %1.5579522139 0.4910343864 2.427215101

0.3466573348 4.827795843 0.1201713078 %1.4401691782 0.4613602391 2.074087262

0.381343166 5.30189811 0.1454226102 %1.3348086626 0.4960460703 1.781714166

0.3131400019 5.749901739 0.0980566608 %1.2394984828 0.4278429061 1.536356489

0.3014362979 6.174761058 0.0908638417 %1.1524871058 0.4161392022 1.328226529

0.1911450153 6.578965206 0.0365364169 %1.0724443981 0.3058479196 1.150136987

0.2865156424 6.964623589 0.0820912134 %0.9983364259 0.4012185467 0.996675619

0.2828672498 7.333535892 0.080013881 %0.9293435545 0.3975701541 0.863679442

0.2338524063 7.687248223 0.0546869479 %0.8648050333 0.3485553106 0.747887746

0.1538183389 8.027097853 0.0236600814 %0.8041804115 0.2685212432 0.646706134

0.2061511955 8.354248899 0.0424983154 %0.7470219977 0.3208540998 0.558041865

0.1290579015 8.669720902 0.0166559419 %0.6929547764 0.2437608057 0.480186322

0.0840322772 8.974411855 0.0070614236 %0.641661482 0.1987351815 0.411729457

0.0520619489 9.269116874 0.0027104465 %0.5928713178 0.1667648532 0.3514964

0.0147220962 9.554543448 0.0002167401 %0.5463513022 0.1294250004 0.298499745

0.0288332964 9.831323978 0.000831359 %0.5018995396 0.1435362007 0.251903148

-0.0049431975 10.10002615 2.4435201E-005 %0.4593399252 0.1097597068 0.2109931670.1106662155 10.36116158 0.0122470113 %0.4185179307 0.2253691198 0.175157258

0.0105076013 10.61519305 0.0001104097 %0.3792972175 0.1252105056 0.143866379

-0.0582691481 10.86254065 0.0033952936 %0.3415568896 0.0564337562 0.116661109

0.0049895316 11.1035869 2.4895425E-005 %0.3051892454 0.1196924358 0.093140475

-0.0885219719 11.33868121 0.0078361395 %0.2700979256 0.0261809324 0.072952889

0.0314240519 11.56814363 0.000987471 %0.2361963739 0.1461269562 0.055788727

-0.1368133438 11.79226812 0.018717891 %0.2034065511 %0.0221104395 0.041374225

-0.0357214826 12.01132535 0.0012760243 %0.1716578528 0.0789814217 0.029466418

-0.1403166462 12.22556513 0.0196887612 %0.1408861941 %0.0256137419 0.01984892

-0.1230109273 12.43521855 0.0151316882 %0.1110332309 %0.008308023 0.012328378-0.0453677274 12.64049984 0.0020582307 %0.0820456941 0.0693351769 0.006731496

-0.1089748172 12.84160798 0.0118755108 %0.0538748171 0.0057280871 0.002902496

-0.1603307371 13.03872817 0.0257059453 %0.0264758429 %0.0456278328 0.00070097

-0.0214820968 13.23203307 0.0004614805 0.0001924042 0.0932208075 0.000000037

-0.2214225331 13.42168393 0.0490279382 0.0261678906 %0.1067196288 0.000684758

-0.1203726358 13.60783163 0.0144895714 0.0514856986 %0.0056697315 0.002650777

-0.1548577631 13.79061749 0.0239809268 0.0761783111 %0.0401548588 0.005803135

-0.2345369604 13.97017418 0.0550075858 0.1002758627 %0.1198340561 0.010055249

-0.2119353485 14.14662631 0.044916592 0.1238063601 %0.0972324443 0.015328015

-0.1381580793 14.32009119 0.0190876549 0.1467958784 %0.023455175 0.02154903-0.2064363963 14.49067931 0.0426159857 0.1692687342 %0.091733492 0.028651904

0 2638470633 14 65849494 0 0696152728 0 1912476409 0 149144159 0 03657566

ln'y ln'x ln'y ln'x-ln'xbar ln'y-ln'ybar ln'x-ln'xbar)


17/36

-0.2623509646 14.82363655 0.0688280286 0.2127538462 %0.1476480603 0.045264199

-0.2511611543 14.98619727 0.0630819254 0.2338072554 %0.13645825 0.054665833

-0.2443697414 15.14626523 0.0597165705 0.2544265426 %0.1296668371 0.064732866

-0.2169316353 15.30392399 0.0470593344 0.2746292499 %0.102228731 0.075421225

-0.2956806426 15.45925281 0.0874270424 0.2944318772 %0.1809777383 0.08669013

-0.3126922355 15.61232692 0.0977764341 0.313849963 %0.1979893312 0.098501799

-0.2460936517 15.76321788 0.0605620854 0.332898158 %0.1313907474 0.110821184

-0.2279839974 15.91199372 0.0519767031 0.351590291 %0.1132810931 0.123615733

-0.1613490259 16.05871926 0.0260335081 0.3699394297 %0.0466461216 0.136855182

-0.2465772379 16.20345623 0.0608003343 0.3879579352 %0.1318743337 0.150511359

-0.3482505292 16.34626355 0.1212784311 0.4056575123 %0.2335476249 0.164558017

-0.2267638467 16.48719744 0.0514218422 0.423049255 %0.1120609424 0.178970672

-0.1760107121 16.62631161 0.0309797708 0.4401436884 %0.0613078079 0.193726466

-0.2215048946 16.76365739 0.0490644184 0.4569508067 %0.1068019904 0.20880404

-0.2882435634 16.89928393 0.0830843518 0.4734801086 %0.1735406591 0.224183413

-0.3765526312 17.03323823 0.1417918841 0.4897406295 %0.2618497269 0.239845884

-0.3206130608 17.16556536 0.1027927348 0.5057409708 %0.2059101565 0.25577393

-0.3050127176 17.2963085 0.0930327579 0.5214893278 %0.1903098133 0.271951119

-0.2892566448 17.42550908 0.0836694065 0.5369935143 %0.1745537405 0.288362034

-0.2315172632 17.55320686 0.0536002432 0.5522609865 %0.1168143589 0.304992197

-0.2944032759 17.67944002 0.0866732889 0.5672988638 %0.1797003716 0.321828001

-0.3934797207 17.80424527 0.1548262906 0.5821139496 %0.2787768164 0.33885665

-0.3722484409 17.92765789 0.1385689018 0.596712749 %0.2575455366 0.356066105

-0.3801819382 18.04971182 0.1445383062 0.6111014865 %0.2654790339 0.373445027

-0.3064409247 18.17043973 0.0939060403 0.6252861215 %0.1917380204 0.390982734

-0.2988454855 18.28987309 0.0893086242 0.6392723635 %0.1841425812 0.408669155

-0.2801822664 18.40804222 0.0785021024 0.6530656856 %0.1654793622 0.42649479

-0.349185914 18.52497633 0.1219308025 0.6666713376 %0.2344830097 0.444450672

-0.2800142124 18.64070361 0.0784079592 0.680094358 %0.1653113082 0.462528336

-0.3341239959 18.75525126 0.1116388446 0.6933395847 %0.2194210916 0.48071978

-0.3594230021 18.86864554 0.1291848944 0.7064116663 %0.2447200978 0.499017442

-0.3416146361 18.9809118 0.1167005596 0.7193150711 %0.2269117318 0.517414172

-0.3521082443 19.09207454 0.1239802157 0.7320540969 %0.2374053401 0.535903201

-0.3633759168 19.20215743 0.1320420569 0.7446328791 %0.2486730125 0.554478125

-0.2885130843 19.31118337 0.0832397998 0.7570553991 %0.17381018 0.573132877

-0.2870356148 19.41917452 0.0823894442 0.7693254917 %0.1723327105 0.591861712

-0.3219243718 19.52615232 0.1036353012 0.7814468522 %0.2072214676 0.610659183

-0.394471757 19.6321375 0.1556079671 0.7934230433 %0.2797688528 0.629520126

-0.4070363418 19.73715019 0.1656785836 0.8052575009 %0.2923334376 0.648439643

-0.3101581101 19.84120984 0.0961980533 0.8169535407 %0.1954552058 0.667413088

-0.345691201 19.94433532 0.1195024064 0.8285143631 %0.2309882967 0.68643605

-0.3895376266 20.04654495 0.1517395625 0.8399430589 %0.2748347223 0.705504342

-0.3094846984 20.14785646 0.0957807786 0.8512426142 %0.1947817941 0.724613988

-0.3748709197 20.24828707 0.1405282065 0.8624159148 %0.2601680155 0.74376121

-0.3279306203 20.34785349 0.1075384917 0.873465751 %0.213227716 0.762942418

-0.5081558574 20.44657194 0.2582223754 0.8843948215 %0.3934529532 0.7821542

-0.3195649733 20.54445817 0.1021217722 0.8952057376 %0.204862069 0.801393313

-0.320992075 20.64152748 0.1030359122 0.9059010267 %0.2062891707 0.82065667


18/36

-0.3964736527 20.73779474 0.1571913573 0.916483136 %0.2817707484 0.839941339

-0.3418947117 20.83327441 0.1168919939 0.9269544359 %0.2271918074 0.859244526

-0.3779452764 20.92798054 0.1428426319 0.9373172229 %0.2632423721 0.878563576

-0.4480214182 21.02192678 0.2007231912 0.9475737231 %0.3333185139 0.897895961

-0.3540982664 21.11512644 0.1253855823 0.9577260946 %0.2393953621 0.917239272

-0.5145308128 21.20759244 0.2647419574 0.9677764304 %0.3998279086 0.936591219

%11.4702904 1408.3303 10.75066975 %3.996803%014 %3.4972025%015 85.26698873

%0.1147029 14.083303 0.107506697 %3.286260%016 0 0.852669887

" )

" )

#i

a,am ini -er+ia een+i arena niai Bi1. au& ea+i+ia+ perminaan

ga +a,am inea+i+ paa ,arga ;1&3%;3 namun ea+i+ paa ,arga ;0&5%

ii,a paa renine -a,a rennya yaiu er-ua eaa+. +eperi yang

a e+pea+i ma+yaraa er,aap +a,am er+e-u urang& an

paa +a,am er+e-u ,anya ia ,arga +a,am er+e-u i-aa, ;1&3

a+ ;1&3 maa ,anya -e-erapa ma+yaraa yang erari engan +,am

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

%0.6

%0.4

%0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

Permintaan

Harga Saham


19/36

Y'Caping Y-Y'Caping (Y-Y'Caping)

1.239857674 %4.0501978062 1.07425388 %0.075467823 0.0056953924

1.004862505 %2.9513961015 0.8476845 0.040040896 0.0016032733

0.849320442 %2.3397050257 0.71514991 0.091733012 0.0084149455

0.694382344 %1.8758322833 0.62111513 0.097478043 0.00950196880.365205389 %1.2255388504 0.54817608 %0.058556725 0.00342889

0.332947217 %1.0649601173 0.48858053 %0.026267653 0.0006899896

0.259217458 %0.8611918617 0.43819322 %0.043762098 0.0019151212

0.241114769 %0.7650081094 0.39454575 %0.018214264 0.0003317594

0.21285327 %0.6644367964 0.35604594 %0.009388609 0.000088146

0.246061704 %0.6621265916 0.3216067 0.059736469 0.0035684457

0.183049552 %0.530310633 0.29045261 0.022687393 0.0005147178

0.173171836 %0.4795950647 0.26201116 0.039425143 0.0015543419

0.09354295 %0.3280048881 0.23584755 %0.044702538 0.0019983169

0.160976322 %0.4005510899 0.21162384 0.0748918 0.00560878170.158062027 %0.3694792601 0.18907211 0.093795143 0.0087975289

0.121490805 %0.301432387 0.16797637 0.06587604 0.0043396526

0.072103658 %0.2159395238 0.14815996 0.005658374 3.20171961%005

0.102947353 %0.2396850706 0.12947656 0.076674631 0.005878999

0.05941933 %0.1689152146 0.11180358 0.017254318 0.0002977115

0.039495672 %0.1275207111 0.09503732 %0.011005041 0.0001211109

0.027810516 %0.0988700983 0.07908925 %0.027027303 0.0007304751

0.016750831 %0.0707115175 0.06388323 %0.049161134 0.0024168171

0.020602641 %0.072040753 0.04935326 %0.020519963 0.0004210689

0.012047193 %0.0504170155 0.03544178 %0.040384973 0.00163094610.05079124 %0.0943210177 0.02209827 0.088567946 0.0078442811

0.015677671 %0.0474919964 0.00927817 0.001229427 1.51149045%006

0.003184769 %0.0192753382 %0.00305803 %0.055211122 0.003048268

0.014326279 %0.0365288442 %0.01494554 0.019935069 0.000397407

0.000685441 %0.0070714155 %0.02641585 %0.062106117 0.0038571698

0.021353087 %0.0345146572 %0.03749727 0.068921325 0.004750149

0.000488872 0.0044974082 %0.0482153 %0.088598045 0.0078496135

0.006238065 %0.0135577813 %0.05859301 0.02287153 0.0005231069

0.000656064 0.0036086226 %0.06865136 %0.071665285 0.0051359131

6.9023%005 0.0009224666 %0.07840941 %0.044601513 0.0019892950.004807367 %0.0056886527 %0.08788459 0.042516858 0.0018076832

0.000032811 %0.0003085996 %0.09709281 %0.011882002 0.000141182

0.002081899 0.0012080353 %0.10604873 %0.054282005 0.0029465361

0.008690119 1.793607215639%005 %0.1147658 0.093283699 0.0087018484

0.011389079 %0.0027926276 %0.12325642 %0.098166117 0.0096365865

3.2146%005 %0.0002919101 %0.13153206 0.011159426 0.0001245328

0.001612413 %0.0030589293 %0.13960335 %0.015254415 0.0002326972

0.014360201 %0.0120164634 %0.14748013 %0.087056833 0.0075788921

0.009454148 %0.012037995 %0.15517155 %0.056763795 0.0032221284

0.000550145 %0.003443123 %0.16268615 0.02452807 0.00060162620.008415034 %0.0155276121 %0.17003186 %0.036404533 0.00132529

0 02224398 0 0285234686 0 17721612 0 086630943 0 0075049203

ln'y-ln'ybar) -ln'xbar)*(ln'y-ln'y


20/36

0.02179995 %0.0314126927 %0.18424586 %0.0781051 0.0061004066

0.018620854 %0.0319049289 %0.1911276 %0.060033551 0.0036040272

0.016813489 %0.0329906851 %0.19786744 %0.046502301 0.002162464

0.010450713 %0.0280749997 %0.20447111 %0.012460525 0.0001552647

0.032752942 %0.0532856152 %0.21094401 %0.084736638 0.0071802977

0.039199775 %0.0621389443 %0.2172912 %0.095401031 0.0091013566

0.017263529 %0.0437397378 %0.2235175 %0.022576153 0.0005096827

0.012832606 %0.0398285325 %0.22962741 0.001643408 2.70079017%006

0.002175861 %0.0172562396 %0.2356252 0.074276172 0.0055169497

0.01739084 %0.0511616942 %0.24151492 %0.005062322 2.56271009%005

0.054544493 %0.0947403485 %0.24730039 %0.100950143 0.0101909314

0.012557655 %0.0474072982 %0.25298523 0.026221388 0.0006875612

0.003758647 %0.0269842447 %0.2585729 0.082562188 0.006816515

0.011406665 %0.0488032557 %0.26406665 0.042561757 0.0018115032

0.03011636 %0.0821680501 %0.26946959 %0.01877397 0.0003524619

0.068565279 %0.1282384501 %0.27478468 %0.101767953 0.0103567162

0.042398993 %0.1041372025 %0.28001472 %0.040598342 0.0016482254

0.036217825 %0.0992445366 %0.28516239 %0.019850326 0.0003940354

0.030469008 %0.0937342266 %0.29023025 0.000973609 9.47913931%007

0.013645594 %0.0645120131 %0.29522074 0.063703477 0.004058133

0.032292224 %0.1019438166 %0.30013618 0.005732903 3.28661762%005

0.077716513 %0.1622798737 %0.30497879 %0.088500927 0.0078324141

0.066329703 %0.1536807052 %0.30975071 %0.06249773 0.0039059663

0.070479117 %0.1622346323 %0.31445396 %0.065727973 0.0043201665

0.036763468 %0.1198911231 %0.3190905 0.012649579 0.0001600119

0.03390849 %0.1177172631 %0.32366219 0.024816709 0.000615869

0.027383419 %0.1080688931 %0.32817082 0.047988558 0.0023029017

0.054982282 %0.1563231017 %0.33261811 %0.016567803 0.0002744921

0.027327829 %0.112427288 %0.3370057 0.056991488 0.0032480297

0.048145615 %0.1521333285 %0.34133517 0.007211179 5.20011012%005

0.059887926 %0.1728731321 %0.34560805 %0.013814949 0.0001908528

0.051488934 %0.1632210285 %0.3498258 0.008211159 6.74231391%005

0.056361295 %0.1737935518 %0.35398981 0.001881563 3.54028000%006

0.061838267 %0.1851701013 %0.35810144 %0.005274476 2.78200994%005

0.030209979 %0.1315839352 %0.362162 0.073648912 0.0054241622

0.029698563 %0.1325799472 %0.36617273 0.079137113 0.0062626826

0.042940737 %0.1619325635 %0.37013484 0.048210471 0.0023242495

0.078270611 %0.2219750546 %0.37404951 %0.02042225 0.0004170683

0.085458839 %0.2354036934 %0.37791784 %0.0291185 0.000847887

0.038202737 %0.1596778225 %0.38174093 0.071582823 0.0051241005

0.053355593 %0.1913771215 %0.38551982 0.039828624 0.0015863193

0.075534125 %0.2308455173 %0.38925553 %0.000282098 7.95792422%008

0.037939947 %0.1658065636 %0.39294902 0.083464322 0.006966293

0.067687396 %0.224373037 %0.39660124 0.021730323 0.0004722069

0.045466059 %0.1862471071 %0.40021311 0.072282488 0.0052247581

0.154805226 %0.3479677543 %0.4037855 %0.104370358 0.0108931716

0.041968467 %0.1833936996 %0.40731927 0.087754296 0.0077008164

0.042555222 %0.1868775715 %0.41081524 0.089823169 0.0080682017


21/36

0.079394755 %0.2582381391 %0.41427422 0.017800571 0.0003168603

0.051616117 %0.2105964537 %0.41769698 0.075802271 0.0057459843

0.069296546 %0.2467416092 %0.42108427 0.043138996 0.001860973

0.111101232 %0.3158438652 %0.42443682 %0.023584598 0.0005562333

0.057310139 %0.2292751852 %0.42775533 0.073657064 0.0054253631

0.159862356 %0.3869440261 %0.43104049 %0.083490324 0.0069706341

9.434994123 %27.8712649358 %11.4702904 %9.7145%015 0.3246992632

0.094349941 %0.2787126494 %0.1147029 %9.8810%017 0.0032469926

4 4.5 5

0 20 40

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

Harga Saham


22/36


23/36


24/36

60 80 100 120

Permintaan


25/36

S ?


26/36

22 1.1813719608 %0.1521189608 %0.7437541305

23 1.1721958099 %0.1771268099 %0.8660248259

24 1.1630196591 %0.0459976591 %0.2248960206

25 1.1538435082 %0.1432805082 %0.7005403488

26 1.1446673574 %0.2012713574 %0.9840745867

27 1.1354912066 %0.1304892066 %0.6379999304

28 1.1263150557 %0.2110320557 %1.031797498129 1.1171389049 %0.0852159049 %0.4166455052

30 1.1079627541 %0.2358297541 %1.1530407046

31 1.0987866032 %0.1338776032 %0.6545667936

32 1.0896104524 %0.2205274524 %1.0782232721

33 1.0804343016 %0.1961803016 %0.9591829243

34 1.0712581507 %0.1156121507 %0.5652616493

35 1.0620819999 %0.1653289999 %0.808341879

36 1.0529058491 %0.2010438491 %0.9829622317

37 1.0437296982 %0.0649826982 %0.3177194347

38 1.0345535474 %0.2331755474 %1.140063511139 1.0253773966 %0.1387873966 %0.6785722105

40 1.0162012457 %0.1596642457 %0.7806452375

41 1.0070250949 %0.2160880949 %1.0565179536

42 0.9978489441 %0.1888319441 %0.9232546532

43 0.9886727932 %0.1177117932 %0.5755274161

44 0.9794966424 %0.1660186424 %0.811713743

45 0.9703204915 %0.2022294915 %0.9887591849

46 0.9611443407 %0.1919033407 %0.9382716106

47 0.9519681899 %0.1740711899 %0.851085005

48 0.942792039 %0.159594039 %0.7803019765

49 0.9336158882 %0.1286308882 %0.6289140679

50 0.9244397374 %0.1804147374 %0.8821004657

51 0.9152635865 %0.1837885865 %0.898596202

52 0.9060874357 %0.1242384357 %0.6074380818

53 0.8969112849 %0.1007742849 %0.4927149794

54 0.887735134 %0.036740134 %0.1796332706

55 0.8785589832 %0.0970879832 %0.4746915714

56 0.8693828324 %0.1634608324 %0.799207861

57 0.8602066815 %0.0630976815 %0.3085030362

58 0.8510305307 %0.0124215307 %0.0607324999

59 0.8418543799 %0.0405423799 %0.1982235635

60 0.832678229 %0.083099229 %0.4062964572

61 0.8235020782 %0.1372790782 %0.6711976004

62 0.8143259274 %0.0886219274 %0.4332985461

63 0.8051497765 %0.0680357765 %0.3326468282

64 0.7959736257 %0.0471536257 %0.2305478798

65 0.7867974749 0.0065315251 0.0319345385

66 0.777621324 %0.032645324 %0.1596125457


27/36

67 0.7684451732 %0.0937401732 %0.4583231482

68 0.7592690223 %0.0700860223 %0.3426710803

69 0.7500928715 %0.0663558715 %0.3244332809

70 0.7409167207 %0.0048547207 %0.0237361506

71 0.7317405698 0.0099334302 0.048567448

72 0.722564419 0.033081581 0.1617455338

73 0.7133882682 %0.0081262682 %0.03973170474 0.7042121173 0.0515608827 0.2520962493

75 0.6950359665 0.0209290335 0.1023281715

76 0.6858598157 0.0122191843 0.0597431693

77 0.6766836648 0.0339383352 0.1659344558

78 0.667507514 0.035696486 0.1745305699

79 0.6583313632 0.0369936368 0.18087272

80 0.6491552123 0.1002217877 0.4900136589

81 0.6399790615 0.1105059385 0.5402958829

82 0.6308029107 0.0939500893 0.4593494898

83 0.6216267598 0.0524092402 0.256244117584 0.612450609 0.053169391 0.2599607175

85 0.6032744582 0.1300565418 0.6358845059

86 0.5940983073 0.1136326927 0.5555834994

87 0.5849221565 0.0924478435 0.4520045702

88 0.5757460056 0.1580789944 0.7728944795

89 0.5665698548 0.1208081452 0.5906663873

90 0.557393704 0.163019296 0.7970490606

91 0.5482175531 0.0533864469 0.2610219671

92 0.5390414023 0.1874235977 0.9163688356

93 0.5298652515 0.1955637485 0.956168416

94 0.5206891006 0.1519988994 0.7431671152

95 0.5115129498 0.1989100502 0.9725294644

96 0.502336799 0.182931201 0.8944041932

97 0.4931606481 0.1457303519 0.7125183514

98 0.4839844973 0.2178215027 1.0649930919

99 0.4748083465 0.1229726535 0.6012493022


28/36

! Signi"cance !

161.07897305 2.4866529462852%022

P#vaue $o%er 9&' ())er 9&' $o%er 9&,*' ())er 9&,*'

1.80975%054 1.3085342571 1.4763126028 1.3085342571 1.47631260282.48665%022 %0.010611115 %0.0077411867 %0.010611115 %0.0077411867

A?BBEFE@> ?


29/36

21.7171717172 0.710622

22.7272727273 0.715965

23.7373737374 0.720413

24.7474747475 0.724753

25.7575757576 0.725429

26.7676767677 0.725704

27.7777777778 0.72646528.7878787879 0.731475

29.797979798 0.733331

30.8080808081 0.733825

31.8181818182 0.736062

32.8282828283 0.737114

33.8383838384 0.741674

34.8484848485 0.744025

35.8585858586 0.744976

36.8686868687 0.74882

37.8787878788 0.74937738.8888888889 0.749579

39.898989899 0.750485

40.9090909091 0.755646

41.9191919192 0.755773

42.9292929293 0.768091

43.9393939394 0.769241

44.9494949495 0.777897

45.9595959596 0.781471

46.9696969697 0.781849

47.9797979798 0.783198

48.9898989899 0.790937

50 0.793329

51.0101010101 0.796137

52.0202020202 0.797109

53.0303030303 0.801312

54.0404040404 0.801378

55.0505050505 0.804985

56.0606060606 0.809017

57.0707070707 0.813478

58.0808080808 0.838609

59.0909090909 0.850995

60.101010101 0.851862

61.1111111111 0.856537

62.1212121212 0.869083

63.1313131313 0.870961

64.1414141414 0.872133

65.1515151515 0.884254

66.1616161616 0.88659


30/36

67.1717171717 0.896753

68.1818181818 0.915283

69.1919191919 0.943396

70.202020202 0.955646

71.2121212121 0.964909

72.2222222222 0.978747

73.2323232323 0.99506974.2424242424 1.005002

75.2525252525 1.010563

76.2626262626 1.014831

77.2727272727 1.029253

78.2828282828 1.031923

79.2929292929 1.053441

80.303030303 1.087664

81.3131313131 1.117022

82.3232323232 1.137756

83.3333333333 1.16627984.3434343434 1.210635

85.3535353535 1.228939

86.3636363636 1.263458

87.3737373737 1.326929

88.3838383838 1.331779

89.3939393939 1.351799

90.404040404 1.367713

91.4141414141 1.414332

92.4242424242 1.45693

93.4343434343 1.46425

94.4444444444 1.48354

95.4545454545 1.587742

96.4646464646 1.631695

97.4747474747 2.051545

98.4848484848 2.240912

99.4949494949 2.429597


31/36

40 60 80 100 120

e"id#al Plot

0 20 40 60 80 100

0

2

4 $ine %it

&+

0 20 40 60 80 100 1

0

2

4

Normal Probability Plot

Sample Per,entile

&+


32/36


33/36


34/36

120

lot

C:umn

Areie 2&714984

0


35/36


36/36

ekonometrika - yoga sanjaya (tugas kelas 03 juni 2016)

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