apakah anda…?
Post on 03-Jan-2016
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APAKAH ANDA…?
OBESITAS
D O K T E R C H E FWhere healthylicious food is
made
dokterChef @dokterChef 021-111221 dokterchef.wordpress.com
TODAY’S MENU• About us• How it works• Behind the kitchen• The menus• Financial projection• Scenarios• Risk• Probability
ABOUT US
VISIONMenjadi penyedia layanan makanan khusus yang sehat,
mengutamakan kualitas produk dan pelayanan terbaik sehingga menjadi pilihan utama konsumen
MISSIONMemberikan solusi makanan sehat bagi konsumen demi kepuasan
pelanggan
NILAI•Personalisasi menu•Konsultasi gizi
HOW IT WORKS
VISIT THE WEBSITEVISIT THE WEBSITE
FILL THE FORM
FILL THE FORM
CALL THE DOCTORCALL THE DOCTOR
CALL THE NUTRISIONISTCALL THE
NUTRISIONIST
CHOOSE THE
PACKAGE
CHOOSE THE
PACKAGE
HOW IT WORKS
CHOOSE THE
PACKAGE
CHOOSE THE
PACKAGE
PER 2 WEEKSPER 2
WEEKS
PER MONTH
PER MONTH
PAYMENTPAYMENT
BEHIND THE KITCHEN
FahmirizaHead of Chef
Febrianto GamalDirector of Finance
Clara HalimHead of Nutritionist
Marvi IndraDirector of Operations
Agung BudimanHead of Culinary Advisor
THE MENUS
CHINESE
WESTERNINDONESIANKOREAN
SALAD
TODAY’S MENU• About us• How it works• Behind the kitchen• The menus• Financial projection• Variable Scenario• Probability• Risk
VARIABLE SCENARIO
• Market Share• Growth Sales• Price• Cost Of Goods Sold• Electricity, Water, Telephone Expense
SCENARIO - PESSIMIST
• Market share: 3%• Growth sales
• Growth price: 2% per year• Growth EWT expense: 3%• Cancel out expansion• Not able to buyback from the angel investors• NPV: (10.704.459)• IRR: 0
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
5% 7% 3% 1% -3% -5% -7% -4% -6%
SCENARIO – MOST LIKELY
• Market share: 4%• Growth sales
• Growth price
• Growth EWT expense = 2%• Expansion in the 7th year with add. investment Rp 254.196.000• NPV: 4.630.723.702 IRR: 67,8%
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
10% 15% 15% 20% 20% 25% 35% 15% 10%
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
5% 7% 7% 10% 10% 7% 7% 7% 5%
SCENARIO – OPTIMIST
• Market share: 4,5%• Growth sales
• Growth price
• Growth EWT expense: 2%• Expansion in the 6th year with add. investment Rp 254.196.000• NPV: 6.969.319.432 IRR: 101,8%
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
10% 15% 20% 20% 25% 35% 20% 15% 10%
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
5% 7% 7% 10% 10% 7% 7% 7% 5%
FINANCIAL PROJECTION
PROBABILITY
SCENARIO PROB NPV VARIANCE STD Z FOR NPV>0
PROB FOR
NPV>0
Pessimist 20% -10.704.458,68 3,7E+18
Most Likely 55% 4.630.723.702 6,5E+16
Optimist 25% 6.969.319.432 1,8E+18
100% 4.287.087.002 5,6E+18 2.357.486.456 1,8185 0,9655
RISK
PROBABILITY NPV RISIKO (BETA) Pessimist 25% (10.704.459) Most Likely 55% 4.630.723.702 Optimist 20% 6.969.319.432
100% 3.938.085.808 0,62
T H A N K Y O U
dokterChef @dokterChef 021-111221 dokterchef.wordpress.com
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