the basics of oil trading ep. 3

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The Basics of Oil Trading Ep. 3 Case Studies By Enzo Adhitya & Rekhmen Abadi

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Page 1: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

The Basics of Oil Trading Ep. 3Case StudiesBy Enzo Adhitya & Rekhmen Abadi

Page 2: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

Crude Oil WTI • Harga kembali uji tembus zona penting (key support range)!

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OIL WTI: UJI KEY SUPPORT RANGE $40

Page 4: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

OIL WTI: UJI KEY SUPPORT RANGE $40

OPEC Meeting 168 (4/Des/2015):

Tidak menyebut batas produksi, sehingga asumsinya masih mempertahankan batas produksi sebelumnya 30 juta bph.

ATAU tidak berkeberatan dengan produksi minyak OPEC terkini, dengan data terakhir Oktober 2015 adalah sebesar 31.76 jt bph.

Page 5: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

OIL WTI: UJI KEY SUPPORT RANGE $40

U.S. Oil Rig Count turun lagi

Penurunan dalam 13 dari 14 pekan terakhir

Tekanan oil rig merupakan bukti bahwa market share strategy OPEC bekerja!

545 adalah level terendah oil rig AS sejak Juni 2010

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OIL WTI: KEY SUPPORT RANGE

Page 7: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

OIL WTI: NEXT FOCUS!

FOMC Meeting (15-16/Des/2015) – probabilitas kenaikan suku bunga AS kini >70% (versus <40% Oktober sebelumnya!

Page 8: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

USD: Menguat mengantisipiasi FOMC Meeting Desember 2015

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What Do The Charts Say?

Page 10: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

TRAINING PART 3: CASE STUDIES

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CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

The highest price

The Opening Price

The Closing Price

The Lowest Price

The highest price

The Opening Price

The Closing Price

The Lowest Price

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SUPPORT & RESISTANCE

Support Line

Support Line

Resistance Line

Resistance Line

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NEW TREND

Resistance Line

Support Line

Sell

Sell

Buy

Buy

New Direction

New Direction

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CANDLESTICKS PATTERNSDOUBLE TOP & DOUBLE BOTTOM (REVERSAL PATTERN)

B

A C

A

B

C

Page 15: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

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CANDLESTICKS PATTERNSHEAD AND SHOULDER (REVERSAL FORMATION)

Neckline

B

A C

Page 17: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

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CANDLESTICKS PATTERNSTRIANGLE (Continuation or Reversal Pattern)

Symmetrical Triangles Decending Triangles

Ascending Triangles

Page 19: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

TREND

Page 20: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

Moving Averages Simple and Exponential

Page 21: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

Moving Averages Simple and Exponential

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Relative Strength Index RSI

Page 23: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

Relative Strength Index RSI

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BOLLINGER BANDS

Page 25: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

KEEP IT SIMPLE!!!!

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CASE STUDY

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CASE STUDY

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CASE STUDY

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CASE STUDY

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CASE STUDY

Page 31: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

CASE STUDY

Page 32: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

CASE STUDY

Page 33: The Basics of Oil Trading ep. 3

CASE STUDY

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CASE STUDY

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COMPLETE USAGE

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