teknikal saham harian - bnisekuritas.co.id · roti ↘ trading buy 1200 ... trend bearish &...

5
TEKNIKAL SAHAM HARIAN ANALISA & REKOMENDASI www.bnisekuritas.co.id Selasa, 15 Agustus 2017 Peluang kenaikan dari Pola bullish harami & Di Atas 5.800. IHSG menunjukkan momentum netral & rawan profit taking selama bertahan di bawah 5.843-5.910, didukung Stochastic netral, Fase Akumulasi selama di atas 5.749, Trend Netral selama di atas 5.668, closed di bawah 5-Day MA di 5.804, candle bullish harami, trend Volume menurun, menunjukkan peluang kenaikan terbatas jangka pendek, karena momen- tum bullish moderate & rawan profit taking selama di bawah 5.863-5.910. IHSG diperkirakan masih berpeluang menuju target 5.566 DONE/5.630 DONE/5.750 DONE/5.852 DONE/5.910/5.953/5.998, selama di atas 5.577. Resist: 5.805/5.834/5.847/5.778. Support: 5.792/5.775/5.749/5.725. Perkiraan 5.780 - 5.840. Improving : Sektor yang mulai mengalami kenaikan Leading : Sektor yang telah mengalami kenaikan dan tertinggi dari sektor lainnya Lagging : Sektor yang belum meningkat namun berpeluang meningkat Weakening : Sektor terlemah di IHSG Grafik Rotasi Sektor di IHSG Charts Interpretation Group Constituents Ticker Name JAKAGRI JAKARTA AGRICULTURAL INDEX JAKBIND JAKARTA BASIC INDUSTRY & CHEMICAL JAKCONS JAKARTA CONSUMER GOODS JAKFIN JAKARTA FINANCE INDEX JAKINFR JAKARTA INFRASTRUCTURE UTILITY TRANSPORTATION JAKMIND JAKARTA MISCELLANEOUS INDUSTRIES JAKMINE JAKARTA MINING INDEX JAKPROP JAKARTA CONSTRUCTION PROPERTY REAL ESTATE RESEARCH Senior Analyst : Andri Zakarias Siregar ([email protected]) Research Analysts : Venia Allani Meissalina ([email protected]), Indah Lestari ([email protected]) Technical Support 2 Support 1 Price Resist 1 Resist 2 IHSG 5.749/5.725 5.792/5.775 5,801 5.805/5.834 5.847/5.778

Upload: dodung

Post on 07-Apr-2019

226 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

1

TEKNIKAL SAHAM HARIAN ANALISA & REKOMENDASI

www.bnisekuritas.co.id

Selasa, 15 Agustus 2017

Peluang kenaikan dari Pola bullish harami & Di Atas 5.800. IHSG menunjukkan momentum netral & rawan profit taking selama bertahan di bawah 5.843-5.910, didukung Stochastic netral, Fase Akumulasi selama di atas 5.749, Trend Netral selama di atas 5.668, closed di bawah 5-Day MA di 5.804, candle bullish harami, trend Volume menurun, menunjukkan peluang kenaikan terbatas jangka pendek, karena momen-tum bullish moderate & rawan profit taking selama di bawah 5.863-5.910. IHSG diperkirakan masih berpeluang menuju target 5.566 DONE/5.630 DONE/5.750 DONE/5.852 DONE/5.910/5.953/5.998, selama di atas 5.577. Resist: 5.805/5.834/5.847/5.778. Support: 5.792/5.775/5.749/5.725. Perkiraan 5.780 - 5.840.

Improving : Sektor yang mulai mengalami kenaikan Leading : Sektor yang telah mengalami kenaikan dan tertinggi dari sektor lainnya Lagging : Sektor yang belum meningkat namun berpeluang meningkat Weakening : Sektor terlemah di IHSG

Grafik Rotasi Sektor di IHSG

Charts Interpretation

Group Constituents

Ticker Name

JAKAGRI JAKARTA AGRICULTURAL INDEX JAKBIND JAKARTA BASIC INDUSTRY & CHEMICAL JAKCONS JAKARTA CONSUMER GOODS JAKFIN JAKARTA FINANCE INDEX JAKINFR JAKARTA INFRASTRUCTURE UTILITY TRANSPORTATION JAKMIND JAKARTA MISCELLANEOUS INDUSTRIES JAKMINE JAKARTA MINING INDEX JAKPROP JAKARTA CONSTRUCTION PROPERTY REAL ESTATE

RESEARCH

Senior Analyst : Andri Zakarias Siregar ([email protected]) Research Analysts : Venia Allani Meissalina ([email protected]), Indah Lestari ([email protected])

Technical

Support 2 Support 1 Price Resist 1 Resist 2IHSG 5.749/5.725 5.792/5.775 5,801 5.805/5.834 5.847/5.778

2

JAKAGRI

TABEL TEKNIKAL SAHAM

* Rekomendasi sangat tergantung trend pergerakan harga dan pendekatan teknikal lainnya * Jika ada rekomendasi BUY, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran R1, R2 * Jika ada rekomendasi SELL, maka harga cenderung bergerak ke target dikisaran S1, S2 * Buy on Support = masih uptrend dengan resiko tinggi atau mendekati resist, namun jika resist berhasil ditembus bisa jadi up- trend baru * Spec. BUY = Dalam down trend dengan resiko tinggi, namun jika berhasil rebound bisa jadi reversal * Acc. BUY = Strategi perdagangan dengan melakukan cicil beli atau average BUY di harga open dikisaran S1, S2 * Trading Buy = Perdagangan Intraday untuk sesi 1 dan sesi 2 * Support & resistance ini ditentukan berdasarkan rumus pivot, bisa berbeda dengan perhitungan support dan resistance ber- dasarkan pola grafik * Jika harga naik diatas 5 -DAY MA, maka ada kemungkinan kenaikan berlanjut * Jika harga bergerak dibawah 5-DAY MA, maka kecenderungan harga akan melemah dulu * Harga disekitar Resist (R1 atau R2) merupakan level untuk mengambil profit * Stoploss adalah kisaran terjadinya perubahan arah jadi trend turun * Blue Chip mengacu pada saham perusahaan yang memiliki kapitalisasi pasar cukup besar (total asset > Rp. 5 T), biasanya mem- berikan dividen secara reguler * 2nd Liners adalah saham lapisan kedua yang memiliki total asset antara Rp. 1 T dan Rp. 5 T (kapitalisasi sedang) * 3rd Liners adalah saham lapisan terakhir yang memiliki total asset di bawah Rp. 1 T (kapitalisasi rendah)

JAKBIND JAKINFR JAKMINE

Senior Analyst : Andri Zakarias Siregar ([email protected]) Research Analysts : Venia Allani Meissalina ([email protected]), Indah Lestari ([email protected])

RESEARCH Technical

Ticker TrendLast Price

R2 R15-DAY

MA S1 S2 Commentary

BBRI ↗ AKUMULASI BUY 15075 15500 15100 15005 14950 14425 Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi

HMSP ↘ TRADING BUY 3380 3530 3420 3422 3360 3200 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Distribusi

MNCN ↘ BUY ON WEAKNESS 1440 1690 1495 1512 1410 1150 Stochastic Oversold; MACD Distribusi

SMGR ↗ AKUMULASI BUY 10975 11500 11000 10790 10900 10100 Stochastic Overbought; MACD Akumulasi

APLN ↗ TRADING BUY 240 260 244 230 236 204 Stochastic Bullish; MACD Akumulasi

BEST ↗ BUY ON WEAKNESS 304 334 312 303 300 264 Stochastic Netral; MACD Distribusi

MIKA ↗ TRADING BUY 2300 2480 2320 2282 2270 2000 Stochastic Netral; MACD Akumulasi

ROTI ↘ TRADING BUY 1200 1245 1210 1210 1185 1120 Stochastic Bearish; MACD Distribusi

Strategy

BLUE CHIP

2nd & 3rd LINERS

3

Trend Bullish & Akumulasi selama di atas 2.470, candle bullish harami, stochastic bullish. Rekomendasi: TRADING BUY target 2.780/2.840 stop loss di bawah 2.680.

Trend Bullish & Distribusi selama di bawah 8.325, candle bullish harami, stochastic netral. Rekomendasi: TRADING BUY target 8.000/8.200 stop loss di bawah 7.650.

TABEL TEKNIKAL SAHAM

BBTN ASII

Trend Bearish & distribusi selama di bawah 1.940, candle Bullish harami, stochastic netral. Rekomendasi: TRADING BUY Target 1.840/1.870 stop loss bawah 1.660.

BSDE

Trend Bearish & Distribusi selama di bawah 2.240, candle bullish one white soldier, stochastic netral. Rekomendasi: TRADING BUY target 2.160/2.200 stop loss di bawah 2.050.

ADHI

Senior Analyst : Andri Zakarias Siregar ([email protected]) Research Analysts : Venia Allani Meissalina ([email protected]), Indah Lestari ([email protected])

LSIP PWON

Trend Bearish & Fase Distribusi; Candle Bearish Closing Marubozu, Stochastic Bearish. Rekomendasi: BUY 1.375-1.380 target 1.425/1.430 stop loss di bawah 1.310.

Trend Bullish & Fase Distribusi; Candle Long Legged Doji, Stochastic Bearish. Rekomendasi: TRADING BUY target 675/695 stop loss di bawah 580.

RESEARCH Technical

Support 2 Support 1 Price Resist 1 Resist 2LSIP 1.310/1.280 1.365/1.345 1,385 1.395/1.400 1.425/1.450

Support 2 Support 1 Price Resist 1 Resist 2PWON 555/505 630/600 645 660/675 700/750

Support 2 Support 1 Price Resist 1 Resist 2BBTN 2.660/2.630 2.720/2.700 2,740 2.760/2.780 2.820/2.860

Support 2 Support 1 Price Resist 1 Resist 2ASII 7.625/7.500 7.800/7.700 7,850 7.925/8.000 8.075/8.200

Support 2 Support 1 Price Resist 1 Resist 2BSDE 1.740/1.700 1.800/1.770 1,810 1.830/1.860 1.900/1.940

Support 2 Support 1 Price Resist 1 Resist 2ADHI 2.040/2.000 2.100/2.060 2,110 2.130/2.160 2.200/2.240

4

EQUITY TEAM CM : +62 21 25543946 (Hunting) Fax No : +62 21 57935831 Sukanto ext. 3997 [email protected] Equity Division Head Jufrani Amsal ext. 3957 [email protected] Channel Distribution Division Head Entis Sutisman ext. 3945 [email protected] Head of Equity Bussiness Department Fian Pusparini ext. 3958 [email protected] Head of Institutional Relation Yulinda ext. 3950 [email protected] Institutional Sales Teguh Hendro ext. 3948 [email protected] Institutional Sales Danovan Yazir ext. 3929 [email protected] Institutional Sales Dharmawan P. ext. 3916 [email protected] Institutional Sales Fachrial Bayu ext. 3966 [email protected] Institutional Sales Fian Puspa Rini ext. 3919 [email protected] Head of Client Relation Dini Desita ext. 3981 [email protected] Client Relation Putri Erinasari ext. 3920 [email protected] Client Relation

Iffa Rizqi Izzata ext. 3931 [email protected] Client Relation

RESEARCH TEAM Research Division : +62 21 25543946 (Hunting) Fax No : +62 21 57935831 E-mail : [email protected]

Norico Gaman ext. 3934 [email protected] Head of Research Division Investment Strategy Andri Zakarias ext. 2054 [email protected] Head of Technical Analysis Market Strategy, Research Department Commodities, Stocks Currency, Bond Maxi Liesyaputra ext. 3968 [email protected] Head of Equity Property, Cement, Research Department Construction, Infrastructure Ariawan ext. 2098 [email protected] Head of Fixed Income Fixed Income Market, Research Department Corporate Bond, Government Bond Ankga Adiwirasta ext. 3986 [email protected] Equity Analyst Consumer Goods, Pharmaceutical, Health Care, Manufacture, Metal Mining Richard Jerry ext. 2032 [email protected] Equity Analyst Banking, Tower Infra., Telecommunication, e- Commerce Dessy Lapagu ext. 2051 [email protected] Equity Analyst Poultry, Corps, Fishing, Retail, Coal Mining Thennesia Debora ext. 2123 [email protected] Equity Analyst Transportation, Automotive, Heavy Equipment, Plantation Venia Allani ext. 2050 [email protected] Research Analyst Data Administrator Indah Lestari ext. 2073 [email protected] Research Analyst Data Administrator Ahmad Hapiz ext. 3987 [email protected] Fixed Income Analyst Fixed Income Market

RESEARCH Technical

MAIN OFFICE - JAKARTA PT BNI SEKURITAS

Sudirman Plaza, Indofood Tower 16th Floor, Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 76-78 Jakarta 12910, Indonesia

Phone: (62-21) 25543946 (Hunting) Fax: (62-21) 57935831

e-mail: [email protected] (General) Website: http://www.bnisekuritas.co.id

JAKARTA - Mangga Dua

Pertokoan Mangga Dua Blok E4 No. 7 Jl. Mangga Dua Raya, Jakarta Utara Phone: (62-21) 6123804-5,62203890

Fax: (62-21) 6123806 e-mail: [email protected]

JAKARTA - Puri Indah

Gedung Bank BNI Ruko Grand Puri Niaga Puri Kencana Blok K 6 no.2J 2K Puri Kembangan, Jakarta Barat

Phone: (62-21) 58357464 Fax: (62-21) 58357465

e-mail: [email protected]

JAKARTA - Central Park Central Park, APL Tower Podomoro City

Jl. Letjen S. Parman Kav 28, Tanjung Duren Selatan, Petamburan Phone: (62-21) 29034215

Fax: (62-21) 29034216 email: [email protected]

JAKARTA – Wisma Bumiputera

Wisma Bumiputera Lt. 6 Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 75 Jakarta 12910

Phone: (62-21) 2523349 Fax: (62-21) 2523350

e-mail: [email protected]

BANDUNG Jl. Perintis Kemerdekaan 3

Bandung - 40117 Phone: (62-22) 4200697 / 4216314

Fax: (62-22) 4220604 e-mail: [email protected]

YOGYAKARTA

Jl. Laksda Adisucipto 137, Yogyakarta - 55282 Phone: (62-274) 581001-584032

Fax: (62-274) 584023 e-mail: [email protected]

SOLO

Jl. Honggo Wongso No. 24, Surakarta Phone: (62-271) 729667, 730525

Fax: (62-271) 729668 e-mail: [email protected]

SURABAYA

Jl. Gubernur Suryo No. 36, Surabaya Phone: (62-31) 5320912

Fax: (62-31) 5318425 e-mail: [email protected]

This document is not intended to be an offer, or a satisfaction of an offer, to buy or sell relevant securities (i.e. securities mentioned herein or of the same issuer and options, warrants or rights to or interest in any such securities). The information and opinions contained in this document have been compiled from or arrived at in good faith from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made by BNI SEKURITAS or any other member of the BNI Group, including any other member of the BNI Group from whom this document may be received, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. All opinions and estimates in this report constitute our judgment as of this date and are subject to change without notice.

Dokumen ini tidak diperuntukan sebagai suatu penawaran, atau permohonan dari suatu penawaran, permintaan untuk membeli atau menjual efek dan segala hal yang berhubungan dengan efek (seperti efek yang disebutkan disini, atau dari emiten yang sama, dari waran atau hak memesan efek atau kepentingan lain dari efek tersebut). Seluruh informasi dan opini yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini dengan cara baik telah dihimpun dari atau berasal dari sumber-sumber yang dapat dipercaya dan diandalkan. Tidak ada pengatasnamaan atau jaminan, baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung dari BNI SEKURITAS atau pun pihak-pihak lain dari Grup BNI, termasuk pihak-pihak lain dari Grup BNI dari mana dokumen ini dapat diperoleh, terhadap keakuratan atau kelengkapan dari informasi yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini. Seluruh pendapat dan perkiraan dalam laporan ini merupakan pertim-bangan kami pada tanggal tertera dan dapat berubah sewaktu-waktu tanpa pemberitahuan.

MALANG

Jl. Buring No. 58, Malang Phone: (62-341) 321214,321213,321430

Fax: (62-341) 356876 e-mail: [email protected]

DENPASAR

Komplek Pertokoan Diponegoro Megah Blok A5-6 Lantai 2 Jl. Diponegoro No. 100, Denpasar - Bali

Phone: (62-361) 264376, 2753389 Fax: (62-361) 229170

e-mail: [email protected]

MEDAN Jl. Pemuda No. 12, Medan - 20151

Phone: (62-61) 4579616 Fax: (62-61) 4579656

e-mail: [email protected]

PALEMBANG Jl. Jend. Sudirman 132, Palembang - 30126

Phone: (62-711) 361969 Fax: (62-711) 319663

e-mail: [email protected]

PEKANBARU Jl. Riau, No. 124, Lt. 2, Pekanbaru Phone: (62-761) 46757, 839698

Fax: (62-761) 856279 e-mail: [email protected]

MANADO

BNI KLN Megamas, Lt. 3, Kawasan Mega Mas Blok I C1 Jl. Piere Tendean, No. 20, Manado

Phone: (62-431) 847256 Fax: (62-24) 847256

e-mail: [email protected]

ACEH Kantor Cabang BNI Banda Aceh Lt.2

Jl. KH. Ahmad Dahlan No. 111, Banda Aceh Phone: (62-651) 31109

Fax: (62-651) 31107

BANJARMASIN Gd. Bank BNI Antasari Lt. 2

Jl. Pangeran Antasari No. 44 RT 008, Banjarmasin Phone: (62-511) 3253735

Fax: (62-651) 3253754 e-mail: [email protected]

RESEARCH Technical