krn slides

Upload: tricky-dicky-two

Post on 06-Apr-2018

226 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/3/2019 Krn Slides

    1/10

    A significant potash development

    in an established mining jurisdiction

    Forward Looking Statements

    1

    Certain statements in this presentation may constitute "forward-looking" statements which involveknown and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results,performance or achievements of the Corporation, or industry results, to be materially different from anyfuture results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.When used in this presentation, such statements use such words as "may", "would", "could", "will","intend", "expect", "believe", "plan", "anticipate", "estimate" and other similar terminology. Thesestatements reflect the Corporation's current expectations regarding future events and operatingperformance and speak only as of the date of this presentation. Forward-looking statements involvesignificant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results,and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A

    number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in theforward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, the factors discussed in the final prospectusfiled on December 6, 2010. Although the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation arebased upon what management of the Corporation believes are reasonable assumptions, theCorporation cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with these forward-lookingstatements. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this presentation and areexpressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement. Subject to applicable securities laws,neither the Corporation nor the Underwriters assume any obligation to update or revise them to reflectnew events or circumstances.

    1

  • 8/3/2019 Krn Slides

    2/10

  • 8/3/2019 Krn Slides

    3/10

    Significant Growth Expected inPotash Demand

    4

    Drivers

    Increasing world population

    Changing diet profile indeveloping world

    Decreasing arable land

    Increasing use of biofuels

    Source: British Sulphur

    Demand for PotashKCl(mmt)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    2014

    2015

    2016

    2017

    2018

    2019

    CAGR:2.8%

    Forecast

    An Established Potash Mining Jurisdiction

    5

    Saskatoon

    SASKATCHEWAN

    KP 360

    NN

    Town of

    Wynyard

    AgriumVanscoy

    PCSCory

    PCS

    AllanMosaic

    ColonsayPCS

    Lanigan

    PCSPatience Lake

    YellowheadHwy

    (TransCanadaHw

    y)

    CanadianPacificRailway

    HighwaysHighways RailwaysRailways Potash Belt CR 837km250 10050 75 km252500 1001005050 7575

    SASKATCHEWAN

    Largest potash producing region in the world

    Existing infrastructure includes rail, roads, power and water

    Karnalyte

    Resources

  • 8/3/2019 Krn Slides

    4/10

    Significant Mineral Resource

    6

    Drill Hole Summary Schematics

    Source: Preliminary Assessment, Wynyard Carnallite Project, Subsurface Mineral Permit KP 360,Saskatchewan, Canada, August 26, 2010; available at www.sedar.comNote: All technical informat ion herein has been derived from the Preliminary Assessment. For a list of the QPs whoprepared or supervised the preparation of the technical information, please see the Preliminary Assessment. 6

    ResourcesCategory

    KClGrade Range %

    KCl Resourcemmt

    Indicated 13%17% 56.2

    Inferred 13%19% 186.3

    7

    Carnallite Resource Amenable to Solution Mining

    Water soluble oreamenable to solutionmining

    Allows for lower capex &shorter construction

    timeline than conventionalmining

    Low environmental impactthan conventional mining

    Solution Mining Conventional Mining

    Extraction Summary: Miners travel downthe shaft to the mining level to break upand retrieve the ore

    Deposit Features: Shallow to deep

    Mine Depth: Up to ~1,000 metres

    Typical Mining Method: 1) room andpillar; 2) drill and blast

    Extraction Summary: Heated brine (saltand water solution) is injected into the mineand salt from the walls

    Deposit Features: Deeper deposits /irregular shaped

    Mine Depth: Up to ~3,000 metres

    Typical Mining Method: Salt dissolutionand brine pumping (solution is brought tothe surface to be processed)

    Shaft

    Ore Skips

    MiningMachines Conveyor

    Extraction Injection

    Brine Tank

  • 8/3/2019 Krn Slides

    5/10

    Key Project Milestones Achieved

    8

    Designed by Foster Wheeler

    NI 43-101 compliant Preliminary Assessment complete

    Drilling complete

    3D seismic complete Conceptual mine plan and

    plant design complete

    $744

    $911$991

    $1,059

    $1,480

    $1,750

    Attractive Capex for New Potash Solution Mine

    Source: Company Filings as at November 1,20109

    Conventional

    Solution

    Mining Methodology

    Estimated Capex (US$/tonne)

    Karnalyte(Wynyard Carnallite

    Project)

    Potash One(Legacy Project)

    Western Potash(Milestone Project)

    MagIndustries(Kouilou Project)

    BHP Billiton(Jansen Project) *

    Agrium(Triton Project)

    2.0 2.9 2.5 1.2 8.0 2.0Capacity (mmt/yr)

    * The Conference Board of Canada (October 2010)

  • 8/3/2019 Krn Slides

    6/10

    Summary Cost Estimates

    10

    C$ million 2 million mt/y operation (1) 500,000 mt/y operation

    Brine Processing Plant $632.7 $174.1

    Brine Field Costs 258.6 73.1

    Brine Disposal and Process Water 38.4 11.0

    Indirect Costs 165.4 54.9

    External Infrastructure 104.5 39.9

    Other 307.8 55.6

    TOTAL CAPEX $1,507.4 $408.9

    Estimated Operating Expenditures (per annum) $294.3 $76.9

    Estimated Operating Expenditures (per tonne) $147.1 $153.7

    2 million mt/y operation (1,2) 500,000 mt/y operation (2)

    Mine Production (million tonnes) 47.6 14.8

    Discount Rate 11% 11%

    NPV (after tax, C$ million) $1,766.8 $295.3

    IRR (after tax) 34% 21%

    Preliminary Economic Evaluation for 2 million and 500,000 mt/y Operation

    Source: Preliminary Assessment1. Based on specific multiplication factors (weighted average factor of 3.69)2. Based on a potash price of C$460/tonne potash FOB Vancouver

    Cost Estimates for 2 million and 500,000 mt/y Operation (C$ million)

    2011 2012 2013 2014

    Feasibility

    Plant construction

    500,000 tonnecommissioning

    Moving to Production

    1111

    Geological Analysis

    Environmental Impact

    Staged project roll-out mitigates pre-construction risk

    Above indicative work plan assumes that plant construction and commissioning can be completedwithin 24 to 30 months following commencement of mine development. Mine development assumedto commence following completion of the planned feasibility study, which the company aims tocomplete during 2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Krn Slides

    7/10

    Proven & Committed Management Team

    Ron Love, CAVP, Finance & CFO16 Years Experience

    Siu Ma, MBA, P.Eng.VP, Engineering and R&D30 Years Experience

    Henry Kerkhoven, MBAVP, Administration30 Years Experience

    Robin Phinney, P.Eng.President & CEO30 Years Experience in Process, Design & Engineering

    Robert MacgillivrayVP, Marketing30 Years Experience

    Julius BrinkmanVP, Corporate Development27 Years Experience

    12

    Michael RobinsonUnderground Operations Manager

    18 Years Experience

    Geology

    Process Engineering

    Logistics

    Marketing

    FinanceRon OlchowskiSurface Operations Manager

    30 Years Experience

    12

    MANAGEMENT TEAM EXPERTISE

    Strong Corporate Governance

    Bruce Townsend, Chairman* 28 years experience with Potash Corp.

    Former Director of Financial Analysis Nitrogen Operations with PCS

    Ian Brown, CA, Director* Chartered Accountant with over 20 years of financial and capital markets experience

    Current and former director of Bonavista Energy Trust, Cathedral Energy Services,PetroBakken Energy, Petrobank Energy and Resources and TSX Group

    Mark Wayne, Director* Over 20 years experience in corporate finance and related matters

    Current director of Alamos Gold, Antares Minerals and Tanqueray Resources

    Paul Sharpe, Director Partner with Perley-Robertson, Hill & McDougall LLP

    Robin Phinney, President & CEO

    Ronald Love, CFO

    13* Independent director for the purposes of NI 58-101

    13

  • 8/3/2019 Krn Slides

    8/10

    14

    Quality Products

    Potash Granular Pellets Low sodium content

    Uniform size granular pellets Moisture resistant

    leads to better handling and storage

    Suited for bulk blending

    Industrial Grade PotashCompacted Flake

    End Markets

    Sell potash granular pellets intoNorth American agriculture market

    Industrial-grade potash

    Potential sale of magnesium oxideto industrial markets

    Product to meet market demands forpurity, ease of handling and bulkblending

    Potash compacted flake

    for bulk handling

    50.2 million tonnes magnesiumchloride indicated resource

    15

  • 8/3/2019 Krn Slides

    9/10

    Opportunity for Expansion

    20 km420 km4

    16

    QuillLakes

    Town ofWynyard

    NN

    2007 / 2008 3D Seismic (35km2)

    Mineral & SurfaceOwned by Karnalyte

    2009 3D Seismic (71km2)

    Highways

    Railways

    Drill HolesKP360 Permit Area (340km2)

    YellowheadHwy (Trans Canada Hwy)

    CanadianPacificRailway

    KP 360

    Karnalyte

    Resources

    Mineral resource should support 28 years of production at 2mmt/yr Relates to only 7.5% of land covered by KP360

    16

    Market Data

    Listing

    Symbol

    Recent share price

    52-week range

    Shares outstanding

    Market capitalization

    17

    Toronto Stock Exchange

    KRN

    $10.75 (2/15/2011)

    $7.07 - $13.00

    20.6 million

    $216.0 million (2/15/2011)

  • 8/3/2019 Krn Slides

    10/10

    18

    Investment highlights

    Strong potash industry fundamentals

    Attractive jurisdiction with existing infrastructure

    Significant potash resource

    Attractive project profile Carnallite resource amenable to solution mining

    Key project milestone: completed NI 43-101 compliant scoping study

    Lower capex than a conventional mine

    Staged construction approach expected to mitigate construction and financing risk

    Experienced management team and Board

    Opportunity for resource expansion and sale of magnesium

    d A significant potash developmentin an established mining jurisdiction