KONDISI PEMASARAN DAN PERDAGANGANPRODUK AGROINDUSTRI INDONESIADI DALAM DAN LUAR NEGERIRapolo Hutabarat

Asosiasi Produsen Oleochemical Indonesia

Webinar Nasional Agroindustri

Fakultas Teknologi Industri – Institut Pertanian Bogor

9 November 2020

AGENDA

a. Tanah Airku Indonesiab. Komoditi Utama Perkebunanc. Perkebunan Utama dalam Angka

PENDAHULUAN01

a. Definisi Agroindustrib. Tujuan Hilirisasi

HILIRISASI PRODUK AGRO ~ INDUSTRIALISASI02

a. Jumlah dan Kapasitasb. Program Biodiesel Indonesiac. Kontribusi Ekspor Sawit Terhadap APBN

INDUSTRI HILIR SAWIT INDONESIA03

a. Geographical Strategy dan Infrastrukturb. Demografi dan GDP

STRATEGI PEMASARAN dan PERDAGANGAN04

a. Dunia Terus Berubahb. Arah Pemerintahc. Perundingan Dagang Indonesia

KONDISI PEMASARAN dan PERDAGANGAN05

a. VUCA (Volatility ~ Uncertainty ~ Complexity ~ Ambiguity)b. Konsistensi Regulasic. Sistem Logistik

INDONESIA SEBAGAI PEMAIN GLOBAL06

Indonesia"Gemah Ripah Loh Jinawi"

Lagu"Rayuan Pulau Kelapa"

Kekayaan alam yang melimpah ruah:

• SD hayati di darat & laut• SD minyak & gas

• SD mineral

a. Tanah Airku Indonesia

Tanaman Perkebunan ~ 140 jenis (Kepmen No. 104/KPTS/HK.140/M/2/2020:

b. Komoditi Utama Perkebunan

01. PENDAHULUAN

01. PENDAHULUAN

c. Perkebunan Utama Dalam Angka

PERKEBUNANSERAPAN TENAGA KERJA (ORANG)

LUAS

(JT. HA)

PRODUKSI

(JT. TON)

NILAI ESKPOR

(U$ MILIAR)

2016 2017 2018 2019 2019 2019

Kelapa Sawit 5,341,873 6,731,823 6,865,017 16,38 47,15 19,25

Kelapa 6,861,363 6,839,545 6,836,616 3,50 2,92 0,15*

Karet 2,479,158 2,497,177 2,509,617 3,68 3,54 5,10*

Kopi 1,875,215 1,881,641 1,888,028 1,24 0,73 1,18*

Kakao 1,761,538 1,777,715 1,764,163 1,68 0,59 1,12*

Tebu 1,343,478 1,300,245 1,326,384 0,45 2,45 0,05 (M+G)*

Pangan 19.224.635 18.060.056 18.428.186 19,89 - -

Pertanian 38.291.111 39.678.453 38.700.530 37,13 - -

*Tahun 2017Sumber: Statistik Perkebunan Indonesia 2017-2019, KementanBadan Pusat Statistik, 2020

02. HILIRISASI PRODUK AGRO ~ INDUSTRIALISASI

• Agroindustri merupakan bagian dari kompleks industri pertanian sejak produksi bahan pertanian primer, industripengolahan atau transformasi sampai penggunaannya oleh konsumen.

• Agroindustri merupakan kegiatan yang saling berhubungan (interelasi) produksi, pengolahan, pengangkutan,penyimpanan, pendanaan, pemasaran dan distribusi produk pertanian.

• Dari pandangan para pakar sosial ekonomi, agroindustri (pengolahan hasil pertanian) merupakan bagian dari limasubsistem agribisnis yang disepakati, yaitu subsistem penyediaan sarana produksi dan peralatan, usaha tani,pengolahan hasil, pemasaran, sarana dan pembinaan.

a. Definisi Agroindustri

b. Tujuan Hilirisasi

NILAI TAMBAHALIH TEKNOLOGI LAPANGAN KERJA PAJAKINVESTASI

03. INDUSTRI HILIR SAWIT INDONESIAa. Jumlah dan Kapasitas 2019

a. Pabrik Kelapa Sawit: 867 Unit

c. Industri Biodiesel: 19 industri

kapasitas 12 Juta KL/tahun

d. Industri Olechemical: 21 industri

kapasitas 11,3 juta ton/tahun

b. Industri Refineri: 86 Industri

kapasitas 56 Juta ton/tahun

Industri HilirRefinery.

GIMNI & AIMMI

Industri HilirOleochemical

APOLIN

Industri HilirBiodiesel

APROBI

Perkebunan Sawit

b. Program Biodiesel Indonesia

1. PP No. 24/2015: Penghimpunan Dana Perkebunan

2. Perpres No. 61/2015: Penghimpunan & Penggunaan Danabun

3. Perpres No. 66/2018: Penghimpunan & Penggunaan Danabun

1. PMK No. 133/2015: Tarif BLU ~ CPO U$ 50/ton

2. PMK No. 57/2020: Tarif BLU ~ CPO U$ 55/ton

ALOKASI 1 2 3 4 5 6 78

(2019)

9

(2020)

Periode Nov15-Apr16 Mei-Ok16 Nov16-Apr17 Mei-Ok17 Nov17-Apr18 PSO Mei-Des18 Non PSO Sep-Des18 B20 B30

Target (Jt KL) 1,848 1,530 1,530 1,373 1,407 1,950 0,940 6,2 9,6

03. INDUSTRI HILIR SAWIT INDONESIA

c. Kontribusi Ekspor Sawit Terhadap APBN

No Asumsi APBN 2017 2018 2019 RAPBN 2020

1 Jumlah (Rp Triliun) 2.080,5 2.220,7 2.461,1 2.528,8

2 Pertumbuhan Ekonomi (%) 5,1 5,4 5,3 5,3

a. World Bank 5,3 5,2 5,1 5,2

b. IMF 5,3 5,3 5,2 5,1

3 Laju Inflasi (%) 4,0 3,5 3,5 3,1

4 Tingkat Kemiskinan (%) 10,5 10,0 9,5 9,0

5 Tingkat Pengangguran (%) 5,6 5,3 5,1 4,8

6 Kurs Rupiah/U$ 13,300 13,400 15,000 14,400

Nilai Ekspor M. Sawit (Miliar U$) 23,20 22,08 19,24 19,40 (Est)

(Triliun Rupiah) 308,56 295,87 288,60

% Ekspor M. Sawit Terhadap APBN 14,83% 13,32% 11,73%

Volume Ekspor Oleochemical (Jt ton) 2,74 3,18 3,73 (Estimasi)

Nilai Ekspor Oleochemical (Miliar US$) 2,37 2,03 2,57 (Estimasi)

04. STRATEGI PEMASARAN DAN PERDAGANGAN a. Geographical Strategy dan Infrastruktur

Infrastruktur:

- Akses jalan sentra produksi ke industri

- Akses transportasi dari industri ke pelabuhan

- Sistem logistik & administrasi kepelabuhanan

- Letak pelabuhan hub internasional & fasilitasnya

- Tersedianya energi yang ramah lingkungan

04. STRATEGI PEMASARAN DAN PERDAGANGAN b. Demografi dan GDP

KAWASANPOPULASI

(JUTA JIWA)

LUAS

(KM2)

KEPADATAN

(ORG/KM2)

PERSENTASE

PENDUDUK

GDP/ORANG

(NOMINAL) (MILIAR US$)

Asia 4,641,054,775 31,033,131 150 59.54% 7,350

Afrika 1,340,598,147 29,648,481 45 17.20% 1,930

Eropa 747,636,026 22,134,900 34 9.59% 29,410

Amerika Utara 592,072,212 21,330,000 28 7.60% 49,240

Amerika Selatan 430,759,766 17,461,112 25 5.53% 8,560

Australia/Oceania 42,677,813 8,486,460 5 0.55% 53,220

NEGARA (JUTA JIWA) LUAS (KM2) (ORG/KM2) % PENDUDUK GDP/ORANG (US$)

China 1,439,323,776 9,388,211 153 18.47 % 10,839

India 1,380,004,385 2,973,190 464 17.70 % 1,877

Amerika Serikat 331,002,651 9,147,420 36 4.25 % 63,051

Indonesia 273,523,615 1,811,570 151 3.51 % 4,038

Pakistan 220,892,340 770,880 287 2.83 % 1,265

Brazil 212,559,417 8,358,140 25 2.73 % 6,450

Nigeria 206,139,589 910,770 226 2.64 % 2,149

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_continents_by_GDP_(nominal)#GDP_(nominal)_by_continents

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)_per_capita

05. KONDISI PEMASARAN dan PERDAGANGANa. Dunia Terus Berubah

• Regional dan Global Supply Chain

• Revolusi Industri 4.0 dan Era Digital

• Kerjasama Perdagangan Internasional

b. Arah Pemerintah

ARAHAN PRESIDEN RI

• Perang Dagang (US - China; US - EU dll)

• Sistem Perdagangan Multilateral ~ belum pasti

• Pandemi Covid-19 ~ Resesi (recovery setiap negara)

Ekspor dan Investasi merupakankunci pertumbuhan ekonomi

nasional

Perlu terobosan untuk menggenjotkinerja ekspor ke negara non

tadisional

Potensi pasar non tradisional perlu digali dan dikembangkan

Perundingan FTA/PTA Indonesia harus segera diselesaikan

05. KONDISI PEMASARAN dan PERDAGANGAN

c. Perundingan Dagang IndonesiaPERJANJIAN DAGANG TELAH DIBERLAKUKAN

1. Indonesia-Japan EPA Signed: 2007Implemented: 2008 [General Review IJEPA] Concluded: 21 June 2019 Current Status: Negotiation for Protocol to Amend IJEPA Target of Conclusion: 2020

11. ASEAN-Korea FTA (AKFTA) Signed: 22 November 2015, Implemented: 12 November 2018 (3rd Protocol to Amend TIG)

2. Indonesia-Pakistan PTA Signed: 2012Implemented: 2013 [Protocol to Amend IPPTA]: Signed: 27 January 2018 Implemented: 1 March 2019

12. ASEAN-China FTA (ACFTA) Signed: 12 November 2017, Implemented: 1 Agustus 2019 (Upgrading Protocol ACFTA)

3. Indonesia-Palestine Trade Facilitation for Certain Products MoU Signed: 12 December 2017 Implemented: : 21 February 2019

13. ASEAN-Hong Kong, China FTA & Investment Agreement Signed: 12 November 2017, Implemented: 4 Juli 2020

4. Indonesia-Chile CEPA (Trade in Goods) Signed: 14 December 2017, Implemented: 10 August 2019Current Status: Preparation to start Trade in Services negotiations (2020)

14. ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS) Signed: 11 November 2018, ratification process (10th Packages of Commitments)

5. Indonesia-Australia CEPA Signed: 4 March 2019, Implementation: 5 July 2020 15. ASEAN Agreement on E-Commerce Signed: 22 Januari 2019, ratification process

6. Indonesia-EFTA CEPA Signed: 16 December 2018, Current Status: ratification process Target of Implementation: As soon as possible

16. ASEAN Trade in Goods Agreement (ATIGA) Signed: 22 January 2019, Implemented: 20 September 2020

7. Indonesia-Mozambique PTA Signed: 27 August 2019, Current Status: ratification process Target of Implementation: 2020

17. ASEAN-Japan Comprehensive Economic Partnership Signed: 2 March 2019, ratification process (AJ Investment, Services & MNP Agreement)

8. ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand FTA (AANZFTA) Signed: 26 August 2014, Implemented: 1 Maret 2019 (1st Protocol to Amend)

18. ASEAN Comprehensive Investment Agreement (ACIA) Signed: 23 April 2019, ratification process (4th Protocol to Amend)

9. ASEAN-India Trade in Services Agreement Signed: 13 November 2014, Implemented: 12 November 2018

19. ASEAN Trade in Services Agreement (ATISA) Signed: 23 April 2019, ratification process

10. ASEAN Agreement on Medical Device Directive Signed: 21 November 2014, Implemented: 12 November 2018

20. Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA) [concluded7 December 2013, Implemented: 22 November 2017]

05. KONDISI PEMASARAN dan PERDAGANGAN

PERJANJIAN DAGANG TAHAP PERUNDINGAN

1. Indonesia-Korea CEPA Negotiations Concluded: 25 November 2019,

Current Status: Legal scrubbing and translation, Target for Signing:

2020

8. Indonesia-Mauritius PTA Negotiation Started: 2019; Current Status:

1st Round (August 2019)

2. Indonesia-European Union CEPA Started: 2017; Current Status:

Intersessional Meeting (June 2020); Target of Conclusion: By the end

of 2020

9. Indonesia-Morocco PTA Current Status: Launch of Negotiations (June

2018)

3. Indonesia-Turkey CEPA Started: 2018; Current Status: : Intersessional

CN Meeting (Aug 2020) Target of Conclusion: By the end of 2020

10. Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) Started: 2013,

Current Status: Substantially Concluded, Target for Signing:

November 2020

4. Indonesia-Pakistan TIGA Started: 2019; Current Status: 1st Round

(August 2019) Target of Conclusion: 2021

11. ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) Established: 2015, Current

Status: on-going review

5. Indonesia-Tunisia PTA Started: 2019; Current Status: Intersessional

Meeting (Jan 2020) Target of Conclusion: 2020

12. General Review ASEAN Trade in Goods Agreement Signed: 2010,

Current Status: on-going review

6. Indonesia-Bangladesh PTA Started: 2018; Current Status: 2nd Round

(July 2019) Target of Conclusion: 2020

13. Review ASEAN-India FTA (AIFTA) Signed: 2009, Current Status: on-

going review

7. Indonesia-Iran PTA Started: 2018; Current Status: Intersessional

Meeting (Apr 2019) Target of Conclusion: 2020

14. Review ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand FTA Signed: 2009, Current

Status: on-going review

05. KONDISI PEMASARAN dan PERDAGANGANPERJANJIAN DAGANG TAHAP PENJAJAKAN

1. Indonesia-South African Customs Union (SACU) Current Status: Being

proposed (2017), waiting for SACU response

10. Indonesia-Ecuador Current Status: Being proposed (2018), on progress

for the establishment of JFS

2. Indonesia-Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) PTA

Current Status: Being proposed (2017), waiting for ECOWAS response

11. Indonesia-MERCOSUR Current Status: Scoping Paper has been proposed

by MERCOSUR (Aug 2020)

3. Indonesia-East African Community (EAC) PTA Current Status: Being

proposed (2017), waiting for EAC response

12. Indonesia-US Limited Trade Deal (LTD) Current Status: Being proposed

(2020), Indonesia is conducting internal study

4. Indonesia-Djibouti PTA Current Status: Launch of JFS (Aug 2019), on

progress for the establishment of JFS

13. Indonesia-Fiji PTA Current Status: Indonesia has conclude internal study

(2019). Waiting for Fiji’s response

5. Indonesia-Algeria PTA Current Status: Being proposed (2020), waiting for

Algeria response

14. . Indonesia-Papua New Guinea PTA Current Status: Initiated by MoFA

Indonesia (2019)

6. Indonesia-Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Current Status: Being

proposed (2018), waiting for GCC internal study

15. Indonesia-Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) Current Status: Being

proposed (2017). Agreed to conduct Joint Study (2020) and preparing

TOR Joint Study

7. Indonesia-Sri Lanka FTA Current Status: Launch of JFS (Jan 2018), SL

currently on moratorium for new FTAs16. ASEAN-Canada FTA Current Status: 2 nd Exploratory Discussion (2019)

8. Indonesia-Colombia PTA Current Status: Being proposed (2019), JFS is

currently ongoing

17. ASEAN-European Union FTA Current Status: Setting up Framework

Parameters for Negotiation

9. Indonesia-Peru FTA Current Status: Finished JFS (2017), pending on the

issue of scope of negotiations

06. INDONESIA SEBAGAI PEMAIN GLOBAL

a. VUCA

c. Konsistensi Regulasi

• Vision : Melampaui zamannya

• Understanding: Pemahaman

• Clarity : Kejelasan

• Agility : Tangkas

• Volatility : Bergejolak

• Uncertainty : Ketidakpastian

• Complexity : Rumit

• Ambiguity : Kabur

Fleksibilitas

• Regulasi harus meningkatkan daya saing industri

• SDA Indonesia harus dihilirisasi ~ nilai tambah

b. Sistem Logistik

Cetak Biru Pengembangan Sistem Logistik Nasional (Sislognas) Peraturan Presiden No. 26/2012

Subsektor-subsektor transportasi sebagai bagian dari sistem logistik justru diatur dalam bentuk UU

1. UU No. 23/2007 tentang Perkeretaapian

2. UU No. 17/2008 tentang Pelayaran

3. UU No. 1/2009 tentang Penerbangan

4. UU No. 22/2009 tentang Lalu Lintas dan Angkutan Jalan

Terima Kasih

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